Belgium — Pierre Ozer has been expecting these floods for decades
That’s how long climate scientists like him have been warning that devastating floods — like the ones that have killed more than 100 people
with many still unaccounted for in Germany and Belgium — would hit Europe more often as the world warms.
one of Belgium’s leading climatologists from the University of Liège
But nothing really happens … We just wait.”
The floods ripped through this part of Belgium and large parts of western Germany
the Netherlands and Luxembourg on Thursday.
Ozer was chain-smoking on a park bench in Angleur — a low-lying riverbank district in his home city of Liège
Just 24 hours earlier the bench had been deep underwater; a few meters away
“How many people dying are we going to accept?” Ozer said
Ozer calculated in his head how often such a flood might have happened before humans heated the climate by more than a degree
The River Meuse was flowing through Liège at the fastest rate ever recorded
Rainfall records have been smashed across the region
which is unusual because the rivers aren’t swelled by melting snow.
It’s “maybe once every 1,000 years,” he said. The question he said he cannot answer was how many times an event this extreme will recur between now and the end of the century, now that climate change is changing the way storms behave
It could be “like five or six times,” he said
“This is a brand new disaster” for the region
over such a vast area of northwestern Europe
Scientists were tracking the storm as it headed southwards throughout this week
and the European Flood Awareness System issued alerts of life-threatening floods to national authorities early in the week
But people were either told to evacuate too late
acting mayor Christine Defraigne called for an evacuation after the streets of Angleur were already underwater
POLITICO spoke to five people as they worked to clear their streets
all of whom said they had been taken by surprise by the storm
“It came at such a speed — we didn’t see it coming,” said John
He couldn’t reach his shop when the flood started; after a day of cleaning
“We had to watch our store disappear from afar,” he said
Ozer was helping his colleague Guénaël Devillet
who runs the geography department at the University of Liège
empty the ground floor of his home of water and flotsam
The buildings have a six-foot-high dark strip running along their walls
It picked up cars and tossed them down the street like bath toys — nearby a red SEAT has its back wheel embedded in the windscreen of a Citroën
his family decided to save some of their belongings from the water
but within half an hour the water had risen further — and soon
he said: “There were warnings to evacuate the city
but that was three hours after — over here
At least 18 people have died in Belgium, Interior Minister Annelies Verlinden said Friday. On Saturday, local police told media that two bodies had been found in Angleur
Eleven-year-old Inaya was trapped alone with her sister for seven hours on Wednesday after their parents went out and then could not return to them because their street had turned into a river
The pair sheltered on the top floor while the water ran through downstairs.
“I didn’t know if I was going to die,” she said
Ozer advises governments around the world — particularly in West Africa but also in Belgium — on flood risk management
He described what he has seen in the past few days as what he would expect in a country with extremely limited communication networks
The fact that people discovered the severity of the flood by watching it rise on their street is “crazy,” he said
who lives in a different part of Liège but whose basement was also flooded
said he had checked the local flood warning website on Tuesday night and was stunned to see that no warning had been issued.
Almost all the water of the summer falls in 36 hours,” he said
“You are a governor of a city or something like that
You check the website: Everything is under control.”
Liège narrowly escaped an even bigger catastrophe as the River Meuse reached a critical point near the city center before dropping overnight on Thursday
"For a few centimeters all the city of Liège would have been flooded," said Ozer
He said he would be conducting a full investigation to discover what had gone wrong in the Wallonia region
But he also said the inquiry should extend to regions in Germany where the death toll was even higher
something went wrong in all the other regions as well,” he said.
But instead of building to be ready for the next flood
Ozer said a local minister had told him on Friday that all of Wallonia’s money that had been set aside for improvements to adapt to climate change would now be spent on repairs
“It's a question of governance,” Ozer said
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The U.S. argument against the green transition felt “quiet and out of place,” said one official.
U.S. and European officials are sparring in meetings of the International Energy Agency, which helps guide global investments and policies.
The U.S. has used the U.K.-hosted energy summit to boost fossil fuels over the transition to net zero.
Acting Assistant Secretary Tommy Joyce also took aim at Joe Biden’s climate legacy.
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Residents wade through flood water on a flooded street in Angleur near Liege
2022 at 12:00 PM EDTBookmarkSaveLock This article is for subscribers only.Emissions of planet-warming greenhouse gases caused by human activities are directly responsible for long-term dry conditions in the Mediterranean basin and the increasing rainfall over the rest of Europe during winter
according to a study by the UK’s Met Office
The research, published in Journal of Climate, is the first to show the direct link between seasonal rainfall trends in Europe and climate change
Scientists compared climate scenarios with and without human influence
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floodwaters swept through an assisted living centre
Rescue workers across Germany and Belgium rushed Friday to prevent more deaths from some of the continent’s worst flooding in years as the number of dead surpassed 125 and the search went on for hundreds of missing people
the floodwaters also left thousands of Germans homeless after their dwellings were destroyed or deemed to be at risk
and elected officials began to worry about the lingering economic effects from lost homes and businesses
dikes on swollen rivers were at risk of collapsing
and crews raced to reinforce flood barriers
Sixty-three people perished in the German state of Rhineland-Palatinate
including 12 residents of an assisted living facility for disabled people in the town of Sinzig who were surprised by a sudden rush of water from the nearby Ahr River
German President Frank-Walter Steinmeier said he was “stunned” by the devastation and pledged support to the families of those killed and to cities and towns facing significant damage
our country stands together,” Steinmeier said in a televised statement
“It’s important that we show solidarity for those from whom the flood has taken everything.”
waters were receding across much of the affected regions
but officials feared that more bodies might be found in cars and trucks that were swept away
A harrowing rescue effort unfolded in the German town of Erftstadt
where people were trapped when the ground gave way and their homes collapsed
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