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09-20-2024IMPACT
Almeida and other farmers have started grappling with the nation’s worst drought in more than seven decades and above-average temperatures
An aerial view of a coffee plantation consumed by wildfires in a rural area of Caconde
BY Associated Press
Almeida expected to harvest 120 sacks of coffee beans this harvest season
the 2025 crop is already affected,” he told The Associated Press
pointing to a part of his plantation where flower buds died before blooming
it’s already compromised.”Brazil’s harvest season that ends this month was virtually flat from last year
but the ongoing drought is already complicating the start of the 2025/2026 season
according to a report Monday by the Center for Advanced Studies on Applied Economics at the University of Sao Paulo’s agribusiness school.At the same time
the world’s second-biggest coffee producer
Potential supply shortages in both countries have started driving up global coffee prices
according to the report.The market is closely monitoring how Brazilian coffee plants endure these adverse climate conditions
fail to turn into cherries or produce lower-quality beans
who coordinates the master’s program in agribusiness at the Getulio Vargas Foundation
a university in Sao Paulo.“It could result in a smaller coffee harvest,” Serigati said
“Since the market tends to anticipate these movements
we’ve already seen the price of arabica coffee in New York and robusta (coffee) in Europe trading at higher levels.”Coffee prices haven’t reached the record highs the world saw in the late 1970s
after a severe frost wiped out 70% of Brazil’s coffee plants
But they have been soaring in recent years.In August
the International Coffee Organization’s Composite Indicator Price — which combines the price of several types of green coffee beans — averaged $2.38 per pound
up nearly 55% from the same month a year ago.In part
prices are rising because of higher demand
frost and fire have damaged as much as one-fifth of arabica coffee producers’ growing areas in Brazil
a senior economist for food and beverage at Colorado-based CoBank.“It’s not looking like it will get that much better in the near term
They will need consistent rainfall to recover,” he said
manmade wildfires across Brazil have lately been ravaging protected areas and farms
One of them ripped through Caconde last week.Almeida
who is also a math teacher at a local public school
helped calculate the damage for a regional association
he estimates the blazes affected 519 hectares (1,282 acres)
30% pasture and 15% coffee plantations.On Almeida’s own land
The coffee he sells to a local cooperative is his livelihood and also pays for his son’s medical treatment.For smallholders
seeing years of cultivation reduced to ash is tough to reckon with
Martins ran through fire to save his bee boxes
he is finding the strength to continue forward.“Faith is a boat that helps us navigate life,” he said
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A farmer cuts down coffee plants destroyed by frost during extremely low temperatures near Caconde
2022 at 7:00 AM EDTBookmarkSaveLock This article is for subscribers only.Brazil’s coffee growers are seeing worrisome signs that trees debilitated by more than two years of frost and drought will need more than better weather to replenish dwindling bean stockpiles
While September rains helped trees blossom for the start of the new harvest season
farmers are concerned by what they’ve seen so far
while others produced unusually shaped flowers
Fruits are falling to the ground before they get a chance to grow
Brazil is on the edge of power rationing and major blackouts
and will need to rely heavily on importing supplies from Uruguay and Argentina through next month until the rainy season starts and dams are replenished
with countries like Chile also hoping to rely on Argentine gas to make it through a hydro crunch of their own.