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Acre — The Acre antshrike is known from only one place on Earth: in the highlands of Serra do Divisor National Park in Brazil’s Acre state
known locally as choca-do-acre and scientifically as Thamnophilus divisorius
one of the 10 types of forests in this protected area on Brazil’s border with Peru
The park is home to numerous endemic animals and at least 1,163 plant species
making it one of the most biodiverse regions in the world
It’s also the only comprehensive Brazilian protected area located within the transition zone between the Andes and the Amazon
two projects have been proposed that would both build a highway to Peru bisecting the park
and allow for the privatization of the park’s territory
The proposals have been promoted by two politicians from Acre who are allies of President Jair Bolsonaro
The Bolsonaro administration has already embraced the highway plan
taking the first steps toward the construction of the Brazilian portion of the road
But it has not yet made public its position on a bill pending in Congress that would put an end to Serra do Divisor National Park
The existing BR-364 highway starts in the city of Limeira in São Paulo state
and runs more than 4,300 kilometers (nearly 2,700 miles) northwest to the town of Mâncio Lima in Acre
Successive Brazilian governments have weighed plans since the 1970s to extend it into Peru
giving Brazil a land route to the Pacific; the extension was even referred to in the decree establishing Serra do Divisor National Park in 1989
But when officials finally did inaugurate the Interoceanic Highway
670 km (415 mi) back down the BR-364 from Mâncio Lima
the largest city in the Juruá Valley region
They met with local and Peruvian officials
Bolsonaro touted the project in a Facebook live address
confirming he planned to open a new route from Brazil to the Pacific
echoing the speech of former president Lula da Silva in the 2000s
who oversaw the completion of the first Interoceanic Highway with his then counterpart from Peru
Toledo is now a fugitive from justice for alleged corruption in the awarding of public works contracts
including for the Peruvian section of the highway
Brazil’s National Transport Infrastructure Department (DNIT) published this May the call for bids on the project
budgeted at about 500 million reais ($95 million)
The department began analyzing the bids in June
It says there is still no detailed mapping of the federal highway
but that the Brazilian section will run about 120 km (75 mi)
will cut through Serra do Divisor National Park
Indigenous and riverine community leaders say they have not been consulted about the highway project
and have expressed concerns about negative socioenvironmental impacts
you were the first person to ask me about the highway,” Indigenous chief Joel Puyanawa told Folha in a conversation at his village’s cultural center
The Poyanawa Indigenous Territory lies 10 km (6 mi) up a dirt road from the urban center of Mâncio Lima
and lies in the area of direct influence of the highway
The environment minister defended the road project when he met with Indigenous leaders
telling them that “it is time for integration.”
“The entire surroundings of our land are already compromised,” said Joel Puyanawa
who was elected in 2020 to the Mâncio Lima City Council
“We already know the damage caused by the invasions
The white [people] live by hunting on our land and the environmental institutions have no policy to prevent it
How many millions of people are going to travel along it
He said he also fears the road will pass over a sacred zone
located outside the demarcated Indigenous land
where the Puyanawa people were captured as slaves by the military colonel and rubber baron Mâncio Lima to work on his plantation
Lima is today portrayed as a hero in Brazil’s official history
“This road threatens 100% of our land
it destroys our sacred site,” Joel Puyanawa said
“The damage done by the colonel was enough
it exterminates the history of our people.”
Yet local officials and businesspeople are betting on the highway to put an end to the geographic isolation of this westernmost region of the country
is a staunch supporter of the planned highway extension
to the point that he even cleared some 40 km (25 mi) of path along the likely route
and he says the connection with the Peruvian city of Pucallpa
would bring benefits to this town of 19,000 inhabitants
who live mainly from cattle ranching and farming
“The highway would connect the whole world and bring to our region
and Mâncio Lima would be the gateway,” Mayor Lima said
the Bolsonaro government renewed its promise to build and take BR-364 to the Peruvian border
inaugurated a bridge over the Madeira River
near the border between Acre and Rondônia states
de Freitas cited the expansion of the road to Pucallpa as one of the government’s road projects
The person most responsible for reviving the highway extension plan is Márcio Bittar
a federal senator representing Acre and self-declared staunch ally of Bolsonaro
He holds a strategic position as rapporteur of the 2021 national budget
which gives him the power to direct funds for the highway
But the money for the project isn’t there just yet
Bittar included in this year’s budget an addendum of 40 million reais ($7.6 million) for “studies and projects” to expand the highway
but Bolsonaro vetoed this expense as part of wider cuts to balance the federal budget amid the COVID-19 pandemic
When questioned by Folha on the cut during his inauguration
Bittar said there will be “the necessary money” of 18.5 billion reais ($3.5 billion) to build the road
sponsored a bill in November 2019 that would transform Serra do Divisor National Park into a so-called environmental protection area (APA)
such a change would strip the area of its existing protections
said he’s against downgrading the national park to an APA
and has not appeared keen on the highway project either
He was not present at any of the ministerial visits to discuss the road
he said the project is “medium to long term” and that the state has other priorities
such as increasing trade traffic through the existing Interoceanic Highway
Cameli said his main concern about the highway is the possible increase in Peruvian cocaine smuggling in Cruzeiro do Sul
the largest municipality neighboring Mâncio Lima and the main entry route into Acre
Borders need a greater presence of the rule of law,” he said
In light of how the highway project is being planned by the federal government and lawmakers
the Federal Public Ministry has initiated an investigation into irregularities in the project administration
said the objective is to ensure that “Indigenous communities are consulted in a free
prior and informed manner,” in accordance with Convention 169 of the International Labour Organization
Dias said the route of the highway should consider the possible presence of isolated Indigenous communities and that the licensing should be done by the federal environmental regulator
with the participation of Brazil’s Indigenous affairs agency
which is more susceptible to political pressures
Folha visited the northern region of Serra do Divisor National Park in late October and early November 2020
taking a nine-hour boat trip on the Moa River from Mâncio Lima to the Pé da Serra community
With three inns maintained by local residents
Pé da Serra is a base for tourists in search of waterfalls
One of the most beautiful and impressive sites is the Moa River canyon
It’s a 40-minute boat ride amid green mountains
a scenery more often associated with the Peruvian Amazon yet within sight of the Andes
Pé da Serra sits inside Serra do Divisor National Park
and is one of several settlements within the park that are home to a total of about 350 families
but most had already settled in the area when the park was created
the federal government has still not concluded their resettlement
Their electricity comes from diesel-powered generators and solar panels
The houses distributed along the banks of the river are close to the first mountain range
They get around in canoes with small motors
a single public telephone is all their communication with the outside world
Born and raised on the banks of the Moa River
41-year-old peasant Eva Maria Lima da Silva said she opposes both the downgrading of the national park and the construction of the highway extension
Also a cook at the pioneering Pousada do Miro restaurant
she said the existence of the park is what prevented the expansion of cattle ranching here
and that tourism is still the best economic alternative
How many jungles are preserved?” she said
said the road would be beneficial in reducing the community’s isolation: “Suddenly
But he disagreed with the proposal to downgrade the park — a project that residents were unaware of until we raised it with them
they’re going to take a lot of people out of here
and a lot of [residents] are going to have to leave,” Silva said
Neighbors of the park and historical inhabitants of the Moa River and Serra do Divisor
the Indigenous Nukini reject both the highway and park downgrade plans
He said he was not consulted about the project
and his people have demanded that part of the park be annexed to the Indigenous territory
“We are against it because we know it is going to cause a strong impact
It can increase access to contraband [cocaine trafficking]
And it will leave our sierra with a high risk of contamination
the sierra is a sacred place,” Paulo Nukini said in front of his village on the riverbank
“Brazil has lived until today without needing that passage there.”
The rich biodiversity and large number of endemic species in Serra do Divisor is due mainly to the varied altitude
ranging from 200-640 meters (650-2,100 feet)
It’s also home to three types of rivers that exist in the Amazon: white water (muddy)
And it’s the only integral protected zone in Brazil that contains a branch of the Andes
about 3,500 botanical collections have been made in the Serra do Divisor
with 1,163 species recorded,” says Federal University of Acre (Ufac) biologist Marcos Silveira
who has been studying the area for 24 years
“The number of vascular plant species [with sap-conducting vessels] represents 8.3% of the known diversity in the Amazon.”
Silveira is working with other researchers on a new paper that will show that the list of plant species recorded in the park has increased by 63% since 1997
three species are found in Serra do Divisor every two months: species that are either new to the park
we always have a great opportunity to collect new species
It’s impressive,” said Elder Morato
Two species of bees discovered in Serra do Divisor were named in his honor: Euglossa moratoi
one of about 30 species of orchid bees found in the park
one of about 60 native stingless honey bees
Another stingless bee discovered in the park is Celetrigona euclydiana
named in tribute to Brazilian writer Euclides da Cunha
was in Acre to help establish Brazil’s border with Peru
It is no exaggeration to say that everyone dreams of visiting it someday,” researchers Leandro Moraes (University of São Paulo)
Tomaz Melo (Federal University of Amazonas) and Raíssa Rainha wrote in a commentary
All three are affiliated with the National Institute of Amazon Research
the three biologists participated in a research expedition for a vertebrate census to commemorate the park’s 30th anniversary
They found nearly 80 species of amphibians and 40 species of lizards and snakes
of which at least five were new records for the park
which now has more than 500 cataloged bird species
One of them has become the mascot for the region: the choca-do-acre
“This wide-ranging diversity is only documented in other regions of the Amazon after decades of studies in the same place
we recorded it in less than 15 days of sampling
Many of these species are quite restricted to this region and are no longer found in the eastern direction of Acre,” the researchers wrote
Such diversity prompted the Ministry of Environment to apply to UNESCO in 2017 to recognize Serra do Divisor National Park as a Natural World Heritage Site
This distinction has only been granted to two other Amazonian regions: Manú National Park in Peru
a set of four conservation units in the state of Amazonas: Jaú
ended up being withdrawn days later due to pressure from Brazil’s National Defense Council
on the grounds that such a recognition posed a threat to national security
In her bill seeking to downgrade Serra do Divisor into an APA
Federal Deputy Mara Rocha used just 213 words to justify the end of the national park
She didn’t cite any environmental or economic studies making the case for the downgrade
she said the 846,300-hectare (2.1-million-acre) park
“meets the interests and needs of the people of Acre” because it is the “only region in the state that has rocks that can be extracted and used in construction to promote the economic development of the state.”
she said the goal is to allow human habitation inside the park
and that the “project is authored by Senator Márcio Bittar.”
Bittar distanced himself from his ally’s initiative
He said he is not such an “idiot” that he would present legislation to get rid of the park
which finances NGOs linked to the national media
made an Itaipu and a half” — a reference to Brazil’s biggest hydropower plant — “in thermoelectric
“If inside the reserve there is a stone deposit of less than a square kilometer
because the law says you can’t take it out
because I am not an idiot and I know that if I present such a bill
but she did not respond to the request for an interview
Acre has had a road link to the Pacific via Peru since 2010
the BR-364 highway meets the smaller BR-317
which runs 340 km (210 mi) to the town of Assis Brazil
it meets the Peruvian stretch of the Interoceanic Highway
providing access to three Pacific seaports
But this link has failed to fulfill the promise of transforming Acre into an export hub or a corridor to Asia
the highway caused an explosion of deforestation and illegal logging
and is at the center of a corruption scandal that has rocked the country’s politics
according to data from the Ministry of Economy and the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics
the latest year for which data are available
The other states that make up the northern region of Brazil saw their own exports grow much faster over the same period
“The highway has not changed Acre’s economic reality
an Acre businessman who heads the Confederation of Commercial and Business Associations of Brazil
“The expectation was that most of the transportation companies would make a cheaper route and go to China
Asked about the low economic impact of the highway a decade after it opened
Senator Bittar said the road is “not viable” because of its many turns and its high altitude through the Andes
“The highway that goes through Assis Brasil has a serious problem
It exits in the high cordillera and is more than 16,000 feet [4,900 m] high
it has so many curves that it is not viable,” he said
“The most important exit is through [the] Juruá [River]
because the cordillera has an altitude of 6,500 feet [2,000 m].”
Bolsonaro made the same point in September
but it omits the fact that the Peruvian section also has high-altitude sections: on the route from the border town of Pucallpa to the port of Callao in Lima
at an elevation of more than 4,300 m (14,200 ft)
Bittar said no official study has been completed on the economic impact of the highway
but proposed the creation of a binational committee to “gather all the documentation from both sides: what they have that interests us and what we have that interests them.”
said the new highway connecting between Cruzeiro do Sul to Pucallpa
And it would be a connection to a Peruvian city with a large commercial and industrial movement,” he said
He added there was political prestige attached to resuming the project
“There are new actors who want to build the highway,” Pinheiro said
“Everyone wants to have the stamp: ‘It was me who built the road.’”
Article translated by Historias sin Fronteras
Banner image: A lizard rests on a rock on the banks of the Moa River in Serra do Divisor National Park
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is one of the planet’s most biodiverse areas
but its nature and communities face threats from a road extension project that would connect Brazil and Peru (Image: Ramon Aquim)
Antônio Martins da Costa lives on the banks of the Azul river, inside the Serra do Divisor National Park, a protected area in the far-western Brazilian state of Acre
The rest he takes to market in Mâncio Lima
which is a nine-hour boat ride away from his community
he learned about a project to build a road inside the park
“Nobody came to talk to us about it,” he says
connecting the southern state of São Paulo with the state of Acre
Both the federal and state governments intend to extend it a further 230 km to connect Juruá in western Acre to Pucallpa
the road would cut 20 km into the Serra do Divisor park
home to isolated indigenous peoples and some of the greatest biodiversity on the planet
The highway aims to shorten the route from Brazil to Peruvian markets and seaports, facilitating the shipment of agricultural commodities from Brazil’s northern and central regions to Asia, especially China, which in 2021 accounted for 34% of Brazilian agribusiness exports
a section of what is known as the Pacific or Interoceanic Highway
already connects the border towns of Assis Brasil
the institutional coordinator of the Federation of Industries of Acre in Juruá
the new highway would shorten the journey to the Pacific
The existing BR-317 route crosses a mountainous region
is longer and winds more on its way to Peruvian ports
“This not only makes the stretch through Assis Brasil further away
The reduction in the distance from Rio Branco [the capital of Acre] to Lima by the new road would be around 1,600 km
the project has faced resistance from local and indigenous peoples over the changes it would bring to their territories
fear the impact on rare native species that inhabit the area’s 840,000 hectares of preserved Amazon forest
This map by InfoAmazonia shows the proposed route for the highway that would cut through the Serra do Divisor National Park
Zoom out to compare the three routes and hover over protected areas and settlements for more information
The railway will likely take a while to get off the drawing board
The Brazilian and Peruvian transport ministries and China’s National Development and Reform Commission
first agreed to look into the project in 2014
Around R$500 million (US$98 million) has been earmarked for the highway in this year’s federal budget
an initiative led by Márcio Bittar (of the União Brasil party)
a senator from Acre and an ally of state governor Gladson Cameli (Progressive)
Both are supporters of President Jair Bolsonaro (Partido Liberal)
Antônio da Costa is sceptical that the road
there is no planned overland connection to the highway
so residents would continue to travel to Mâncio Lima by boat
“The best that can happen is that we buy cheaper Peruvian products in the city,” he told Diálogo Chino and InfoAmazonia
João da Costa Silva also rejects the development and fears that the work will boost drug trafficking: “Our community is calm
But I am afraid that this calmness will change.”
Drug distribution routes already operate between Peru, one of the world’s largest producers of cocaine, and Brazil, its main consumer market in South America, according to the UN Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC)
the Poyanawa indigenous land is also set to be impacted by the motorway
when indigenous claims to the territory were formally recognised
its 24,000 hectares were largely occupied by pastures and rubber plantations
it stands as an example of successful preservation in the Amazon
Only 6% of the area is deforested and 700 indigenous people live there
the springs of all these rivers here,” says Luiz Puwe
“What is still left of nature must be taken care of
In 2019, Ricardo Salles, then Minister of the Environment, visited the Poyanawa territory, accompanied by local politicians to outline development strategies. At the time, Puwe, the cacique, told the delegation about his concerns over the highway. But according to Salles’ Twitter account
indigenous people were in favour of the project
There has been no consultation with the Poyanawa about the initiative
The first discussions about the road occurred between 2005 and 2011
but were shelved due to a lack of political support
when members of large rural producer companies increased their representation in the government of Acre
They had held no local government positions for two decades
Governor Gladson Cameli’s family owns a logging company that in the 1990s was accused of illegal extraction in the indigenous Ashaninka territory that neighbours the park. It wasn’t until 25 years later and after a long legal dispute that Cameli agreed to compensate the community
What is still left of nature must be taken care of
Castillo and Bolsonaro issued a joint presidential statement in February and the road appeared to be the only point of contention
Only the Brazilian president expressed his intention to go ahead with construction: “Bolsonaro reiterated the Brazilian government’s interest in the land connection between Cruzeiro do Sul (Acre) and Pucallpa (Ucayali)
to which he attributes great potential for increasing economic integration,” the document says
questions the viability of a cross-border project backed by only one side: “Is the highway going to reach the border and hit a wall
Why are they going to open such a development as a dead-end street
This is the logic that they have not yet presented.”
Federal judge Franscielle Medeiros upheld the request, but an appeal reversed the decision. Following this, the Brazilian government proceeded to organise a bidding process for the award of a contract to undertake feasibility studies
opponents of the road have sought new legal offensives
Miguel Scarcello says that there will be resistance as long as there is no dialogue with the traditional peoples: “I don’t believe politicians will change their conduct of this process
so the matter will have to be decided in the legal sphere.”
the Federal Public Ministry again requested the suspension of the bid notice
stating that the highway would be “the greatest socio-environmental disaster of Acre in recent decades”
the agency also stresses that the project is doomed since Peru rejected it
A further threat to the Serra do Divisor is another Bittar-sponsored bill that would change the status of the park
from a full “conservation unit” to an “environmental protection area”
which is the most flexible land conservation category
Its aim is to enable the exploitation of natural resources in the region
real estate speculation and the expansion of ranching within the conservation unit are the main motivations for the bill: “I have no doubt that when the road reaches the communities living on the edges of the park
those communities will lose their properties.”
The Azul river separates the national park from the settlements of the National Institute for Colonisation and Agrarian Reform (INCRA)
a government agency created in the 1970s that was tasked with developing the Amazon
the contrast between the two areas is striking: on the park side
there is native forest; in the settlements
Before the creation of the national park in 1989
residents of the settlements had a closer relationship with those on the other side of the river
they would farm and raise animals – a practice that is now restricted to the inhabitants of the park
is one of the oldest residents of the Bom Sossego community
Even with restrictions on planting in the park
he says he can still make a living from agriculture
“It will be good [to have the road] because we will have cheaper access to Mâncio Lima to sell our production and solve health problems,” says the farmer
we spend over R$500 (US$98.80) on gasoline
we can send our products there and sell them for a better price.”
“We will be able to sell what we plant in a cheaper way
because the way it is today is complicated,” he says
no big boats pass through this river and part of our production even spoils because there is no way to take it to the city.”
Serra do Divisor (the dividing mountain range
in English) derives its name from its position as a relief region separating the basins of the Ucayali and Juruá rivers
The area is home to around 1,600 species of plants and 1,200 species of animals
according to botanists at the Federal University of Acre (UFAC)
“Every two expeditions to collect plants in the mountains
a new record is added to our list,” says UFAC botany professor Marcos Silveira
“There is no other place in the country with this rate of identification.”
there is also a conservation area covering 1.3 million hectares
570 bird species and 300 fish species have already been identified
Silveira says the area’s isolation and low human occupation combine to protect biodiversity in the park
The most accessible route to the protected area takes eight hours by boat on the Moa River
Low-impact tourism and the absence of human hunters allow species to thrive
But the main explanation for the region’s richness lies in its geographical diversity
“Biodiversity is related to the varied reliefs and different types of soil,” says Silveira
the high mountains of the Peruvian Andes lose altitude as they approach Brazil
The Andean lowlands reach the edges of the Serra do Divisor
attracting animals and plants associated with that region
who is working on the largest botanical study of the park ever undertaken
along with PhD students and staff from the botanical gardens of New York and Rio de Janeiro
The Serra do Divisor also protects the sources of eight tributaries of the Juruá river
of which SOS Amazônia’s Scarcello is a member
estimates the highway could impact a radius of up to 20 km from the highway
“Occupying a territory that is so rich for Brazilian society will alter the whole ecological dynamic
which doesn’t exist anywhere else in the world,” said Silveira
“There are environments that need to be preserved because they influence a much larger region.”
This report was produced in partnership with InfoAmazonia
Leandro Chaves is a Brazilian journalist based in Amazônia who focuses on environment
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MercoPress, en Español
Montevideo, May 5th 2025 - 13:35 UTC
Some 10,000 indigenous people from across Brazil are expected to stage the 21st edition of the Free Land Camp (ATL) in Brasília between April 7 and 11 to advocate for land demarcation and oppose the Temporal Framework
which restricts demarcation rights to territories occupied by 1988
Indigenous leaders reject mining proposals and highlight the harmful impacts on communities like the Yanomami
As the first participants began pouring into the country's capital Sunday
ATL 2025 also aims to connect indigenous land issues with global warming discussions at COP30
Under the theme We are the answer, the camp features events and protests
emphasizing constitutional rights and the preservation of indigenous territories
Portuguese is mixed with other of Brazil's 274 indigenous languages
in the largest annual mobilization of Brazil's indigenous peoples
took four days and four nights to travel by bus from the village of the Nukini people
the lack of demarcation forces the peoples to remain mobilized
Our struggle never ends because we never have our territory fully demarcated
All of us indigenous peoples were supposed to have our territories demarcated
as mandated by the Constitution more than 35 years ago
But that's not happening, said the indigenous woman
is the fight against the Temporal Framework
which says that only indigenous peoples who were in their territories when the Constitution was promulgated in October 1988 have the right to land demarcation
coordinator of the Indigenous Organizations of the Brazilian Amazon (Coiab)
explained that the expectation is to reverse the current scenario created by the conciliation table set up at the Supreme Federal Court (STF) to discuss the Temporal Framework
The indigenous people abandoned the negotiating table because they questioned its legitimacy
The indigenous movement defined that to be in this space was to validate what Gilmar Mendes was proposing
and one of the proposals was mining in indigenous territories
It didn't make sense for us to be in a space to debate our rights and free our territory for projects
Our rights are not negotiable, Tupari said
After the Temporal Framework was deemed unconstitutional by the Supreme Court
the National Congress approved the law that established it
where case rapporteur Gilmar Mendes opened a conciliation table to deal with the issue
a solution that has been rejected by the indigenous movement
Mendes presented a proposal for legislation that would open the way for mining on demarcated lands
The proposal was later withdrawn but will be dealt with again in another conciliation opened by Mendes
We have examples of the impact that mining has on our territories and our rivers
Their relatives are suffering from malnutrition
and contaminated fish, Tupari explained
ATL 2025 also seeks to link the indigenous peoples' agenda with COP30 to convince foreign dignitaries coming to Brazil that the demarcation of indigenous territories is part of the fight against global warming
The UN Climate Change Conference (COP30) will take place in Belém (PA) in November this year
an indigenous NDC [Nationally Determined Contribution]
to counter the NDC that the government launched at last year's COP
when it didn't introduce the problems that agribusiness brings to climate change, added the COIAB leader
The NDCs are the targets set by countries for reducing greenhouse gases
The Brazilian government presented its NDC
which aims to reduce gas emissions by 53% by 2030
Under the motto We are the answer: In defence of the Constitution and of life
the Free Land Camp 2025 is organized by the Articulation of Indigenous Peoples of Brazil (Apib) and is expected to welcome around 200 peoples from all regions of the country for five days of events and protests in favour of the demarcation of indigenous lands
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Metrics details
Plasmodium falciparum malaria is a threat to public health
but Plasmodium vivax malaria is most prevalent in Latin America
where the incidence rate has been increasing since 2016
The Brazilian Amazon reported 193,000 cases in 2017
the relationships among malaria incidence rates and the proportion of accumulated deforestation were contrasted using data from the states of Acre and Rondônia in the south-western Brazilian Amazon
The main purpose is to test the hypothesis that the observed difference in incidence rates is associated with the proportion of accumulated deforestation
An ecological study using spatial and temporal models for mapping and modelling malaria risk was performed
The municipalities of Acre and Rondônia were the spatial units of analysis
whereas month and year were the temporal units
The number of reported malaria cases from 2009 until 2015 were used to calculate the incidence rate per 1000 people at risk
Accumulated deforestation was calculated using publicly available satellite images
Geographically weighted regression was applied to provide a local model of the spatial heterogeneity of incidence rates
Time-series dynamic regression was applied to test the correlation of incidence rates and accumulated deforestation
adjusted by climate and socioeconomic factors
The malaria incidence rate declined in Rondônia but remained stable in Acre
There was a high and positive correlation between the decline in malaria and higher proportions of accumulated deforestation in Rondônia
Geographically weighted regression showed a complex relationship
Time-series dynamic regression showed a positive association between malaria incidence and precipitation and accumulated deforestation
whereas the association was negative with the human development index in the westernmost areas of Acre
Landscape modification caused by accumulated deforestation is an important driver of malaria incidence in the Brazilian Amazon
this relationship is not linearly correlated because it depends on the overall proportion of the land covered by forest
forest cover becomes a less representative component in the landscape
causing the abovementioned non-linear relationship
accumulated deforestation can lead to a decline in malaria incidence
further propagating the parasites in environments where competent mosquito vectors occur
Environmental conditions (1–3) are driving forces in the high-risk scenario of malaria transmission in the first years of colonization
Socioeconomic factors (4–6) counterbalance and surpass environmental conditions effects
decreasing malaria incidence in the long-term
(1) Carrying capacity: the maximum abundance of adult mosquitoes per unit of land area
(2) Ecological differences: the magnitude of land-use changes
(3) Human Blood Index: the proportion of blood meals from humans by a mosquito
(4) Investment in malaria: the effect of investment in malaria medication
(5) Gain economic protection: the rate which people gain protection against malaria due to the overall economic improvements
(6) Treatment effectiveness: the cost-effectiveness of the treatment
The specific aims are as follows: (1) to analyse the spatio-temporal distribution of the incidence rates and compare them between the states of Acre and Rondônia (in the western Brazilian Amazon); and (2) to address potential determinants of the disease
The Brazilian states of Acre (AC) and Rondônia (RO) are located in the Southwestern Amazon
Forest cover and fragmentation of these states are represented as dark/light green (forest)
dark brown (deforested area) or light brown (rocky soil)
These states have different assumptions for the colonization process
The pride of the people of Acre is latent in its history
which is the sum of the struggles of rubber workers
pioneers and descendants of individuals with these origins
does not seem to neither feed from the cradle of its Amazonian history nor seek the past glory of the pioneers who had been there before
The climate in both states is humid tropical
with two major seasons: the rainy season from November to April and the dry season from May to October
Malaria incidence is higher in the rainy season because of the increase in available larval habitats for the mosquito vector
A second round of analysis was performed to correlate annual malaria incidence rates with annual accumulated deforestation from 2009 to 2015 for each state
To reduce the spatial dimension of 22 municipalities in Acre and 52 municipalities in Rondônia
the first axes of principal component analyses were utilized
These axes represent variations of malaria incidence and accumulated deforestation in each state
A Pearson’s product-moment correlation in R v.3.5.1 was applied to test the relationship between these variables
A standard protocol of spatial analysis with geographically weighted regression (GWR) was employed for assessing the local correlation between annual malaria incidence rates and annual accumulated deforestation in each municipality of both states
A time-series modelling analysis was employed to verify the association between variations in monthly malaria incidence rates and climate
This analysis was applied to those localities with the highest incidence rates in Acre
The malaria incidence rate was estimated as the number of malaria cases per 1000 population at risk. Data from each municipality in the states of Acre and Rondônia were downloaded from the SIVEP-Malaria database, available at http://portalms.saude.gov.br/saude-de-a-z/malaria/notificacao
The raw data were concatenated in a database for the analyses
The estimated population of each municipality was available in the SIVEP-Malaria database
Because monthly based data were also needed
linear interpolation between subsequent years was performed using the following equation:
where y0 and y1 were the available population data in x0 and x1 months
and the population data (y) were linearly interpolated in each month (x)
To calculate the overall accumulated deforestation in km2 that occurred in a certain year per municipality in both Amazonian states, we employed publicly available information from the Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) (INPE/PRODES Project website, http://www.dpi.inpe.br/prodesdigital)
an ordinary least square model (a non-spatial model) was fitted in R v.3.5.1:
where Y = annual malaria incidence rate (cases/pop*1000) and X = annual accumulated deforestation (%)
Parameters \(\beta_{0}\) = Y value when X equals zero
\(\beta_{1}\) = linear effect of annual accumulated deforestation on annual malaria incidence rate
To check whether the linear relationship between Y and X was not biased by the spatial dimension
residuals of the aforementioned linear model were tested for spatial autocorrelation with the Moran index calculation in GeoDa v
where I = Moran index (equivalent to the product \(\frac{n}{W}\) \(\frac{{\sum_{i} \sum_{j} w_{ij} z_{i} z_{j} }}{{\sum_{i} z_{i}^{2} }}\))
W = first-order Queen-type spatial weight matrix
\(w_{ij}\) = element in spatial weights matrix
and \(z_{i}\) and \(z_{j}\) = deviations from the mean z
When the non-spatial model was not adequate
the GWR was applied to model spatially heterogeneous relationships between Y and X in GWR v
where Y(s) = annual malaria incidence rate in each municipality and β(s)X = linear effect of annual accumulated deforestation on annual malaria incidence rate in each municipality
To verify the presence of stable foci of transmission in the state of Acre
a dynamic regression modelling analysis was performed
climate and landscape data were employed to verify the potential association of each factor to the incidence rate of malaria in the westernmost areas of Acre
The time-series of monthly malaria incidence data were modelled with the available socioeconomic-environmental data of the Cruzeiro do Sul (CZS)
Porto Walter (PW) and Tarauaca (TA) municipalities from 2009 to 2015
These municipalities represent the current frontier malaria in the western Amazon
an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model was utilized using the following equation:
Two landscape parameters were chosen because they represented a proxy for the presence of mosquito vector larval habitats: (1) annual forest cover (km2) and (2) annual accumulated deforestation (km2) per municipal area
These land-use land-cover variables were obtained from the aforementioned INPE/PRODES Project website
Annual socioeconomic data were obtained from the PNUD/Atlas Project website (https://popp.undp.org)
including infant mortality rate (per 1000 live births)
proportion of people living in extreme poverty (% of people living on less than US$1.90 per day)
proportion of people living in poverty (% of people earning less than US$3.75 a day)
a measure of inequality of income (GINI index
the most inequality = 1) and municipal HDI (MHDI) (0
These parameters were selected because they can represent risk factors for human exposure to mosquito vector bites and malaria
Regarding the Brazilian Institutional Review Board for protection of human subjects
the present study does not require approval for access to data
Any patient information was not publicly available in the SIVEP-Malaria platform
malaria data are part of the public domain according to the Brazilian Law of Information Access (12.527/2011)
Malaria incidence rates in Acre and Rondônia
Scatterplot of malaria incidence rate (MIR) vs
annual accumulated deforestation (AAD) in Rondônia and Acre
PCA1 = first axis of the principal component analysis that reduced all the municipality-based data into state-based data
a Average malaria incidence rate 2009–2015 in each municipality (per 1000 inhabitants)
b Accumulated deforestation in 2015 proportional to each municipality area
c Results of t-distribution from the geographically weighted regression model for each municipality
PW Porto Walter and TA Tarauaca; Rondônia municipalities
a Monthly malaria incidence rate per municipality 2009–2015 in Rondônia and b Acre
MIR = malaria incidence rate (cases/1000 people)
An increase of 0.01 in the MHDI meant 361 fewer malaria cases per 1000
whereas an increase of one unit in proportion (%) of people in poverty meant 346 more malaria cases per 1000
An increase in 10 km2 in deforestation meant ~ 400 more malaria cases per 1000
In Mancio Lima, Rodrigues Alves, Tarauca and Porto Walter, deforestation is positively correlated with malaria incidence. These positive correlations are statistically significant in all cases, except in Tarauaca, where they are slightly non-significant (Table 2)
An increase in 10 km2 in deforestation meant 2–54 more malaria cases per 1000
when socioeconomic development can reduce transmission risk and accumulated deforestation can decrease larval habitat availability for the mosquito vectors
the timing might be optimal for a bold proposal
such as a long-term prospective study on land transformation and its impact on socioeconomic and environmental determinants of malaria transmission
Landscape modification caused by accumulated deforestation is an important driver of malaria population dynamics in Amazonia
In the initial phase of human settlement development
accumulated deforestation transforms a landscape with high forest cover into a landscape with intermediate levels of forest cover
when forest cover is reduced to low levels and its capacity to sustain malarial vectors’ larval habitats is decreased
the on-going accumulated deforestation only decreases the risk of malaria transmission
The westernmost area of the state of Acre currently has stable malaria foci because it represents an initial phase of development
whereas the north-western area of the state of Rondônia
which had been considered the main hub for malaria in the 1980s and 1990s
which thus represents the later phase of development
The datasets used and analysed are of public domain, as detailed in the Methods section. They are available in the Additional files 1–5
Projeto de Monitoramento do Desmatamento na Amazônia
Sistema de Informações de Vigilância Epidemiológica
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To the three reviewers who promoted opportunity for a more comprehensive study case
and MVML were supported by the Secretaria de Estado de Saúde do Acre (SESACRE) Process n
GR was a recipient of a National Council for Scientific and Technological Development (CNPq) scholarship (Process n
GZL was supported by the São Paulo Research Foundation (FAPESP) and Biota-FAPESP Program 2014/09774-1 and 2015/09669-6
MAMS was supported by the FAPESP Grant Number 2014/26229-7 and the CNPq Grant Number 301877/2016-5
This work was partially funded by the National Institutes of Health (NIH) 1 R01 AI110112-01A1 (to Jan Conn and MAMS)
Meyrecler Aglair de Oliveira Padilha and Janille de Oliveira Melo contributed equally to this work
Marcos Vinicius Malveira de Lima & Gabriel Zorello Laporta
School of Forest Resources and Conservation
First manuscript draft and further revisions: GZL
All authors read and approved the final manuscript
The authors declare that they have no competing interests
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations
Time-series analysis protocol in the R programming environment
Interpolation of total precipitation and average maximum temperature
Forest cover variations in municipalities of the states of Acre and Rondônia
Results from the principal component analysis
Open Access This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/)
provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source
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The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver (http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article
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A moderate magnitude 4.3 earthquake hit 38 km (23 mi) away from Pucallpa, Ucayali, Peru
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the world’s second-largest rain forest
In addition to the ecological issues of biodiversity
deforestation has major implications for human health
Studies focused on malaria and Ebola have all demonstrated how destroying and fragmenting forests can increase transmission rates
the resurgence of malaria in recent decades has been linked to intense deforestation and settlement in the Amazon due to political and economic pressures
It is likely that the increased rate of malaria is due to the favorable conditions for mosquitos created by deforestation
More sunlight exposure warms pools of water making these areas better breeding grounds
and constant forest destruction causes ditches and puddles which are conducive places for larvae development
The exact transmission cycle of the Ebola virus remains unknown; however
bats are suspected to be reservoirs for the virus and humans may contract Ebola directly from these reservoirs or indirectly through larger wildlife such as apes
Although the origin of novel coronavirus is not proven, it likely came from a bat and was transmitted to humans through another animal, likely the pangolin
The role of deforestation in the emergence of COVID-19 is unclear
and biological consequences highlight the need to examine human behaviors that increase human-animal contact
“The underlying causes of zoonotic spillover from bats or from other wild species have almost always—always—been shown to be human behavior,” Andrew Cunningham, Professor of Wildlife Epidemiology at the Zoological Society of London told CNN
“Human activities are causing this.”
Studies demonstrating the relationship human-driven actions
with viruses could help prevent the next global pandemic
Protecting the environment not only preserves biodiversity and animal habitats but also it is a matter of public health
Here are some great resources to get you started:
Sign this petition to Support California Bill that Would Protect Endangered Species and Humans from Zoonotic Diseases
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