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In May 2024 Brazil's State of Rio Grande do Sul was struck by catastrophic floods
The city of Veranópolis was one of the affected towns - and our Risk Management Plan
set up as part of its implementation of MCR2030 resilience building
the city established the Veranópolis Resilient City Program
guided by the ten steps proposed by UNDRR's Making Cities Resilient initiative
we had formulated a Risk Management Plan (RMP) to identify potential risks
The plan included a study which identified landslides and flooding as high-risk threats to the municipality
Unprecedented flooding hit the State In May 2024, heavy rains hit the State of Rio Grande do Sul (RS), Brazil, causing the largest flood in the history of the State, surpassing the historic flood of 1941. As a result, 461 of the State's 497 municipalities were badly affected
41 of these were in a state of public calamity
Several cities in the state were completely inundated, leaving 77 202 people homeless and 540 188 displaced
blocking the main access road to the capital at several points
the Veranópolis public pulled together to execute our Risk Management Plan
demonstrating the real benefits of our efforts to make our city resilient
we had mapped the places where landslides occur
to guide residents of susceptible areas - particularly those where there had been land clearance- and built retaining walls and drainage in the mapped locations
we observed that in those places in the municipality where retaining and drainage walls were built
with the accumulated rainfall of 728.4mm in nine days
we found new places where it was necessary to improve landslide-prevention infrastructure - including along the main access road
we carried out the RMP's social and operational plan
The plan included several elements to ensure social well-being:
The city also operationalized its contingency plans
and Department of Government to establish order
we realized there was a need to create a crisis committee with the proper attributions and hierarchy
and to set up a group of volunteers duly registered and trained for each function to be performed
the city acted decisively in response to Civil Defense calls
communication difficulties arose due to disrupted telephone signals
necessitating the use of radio transmitters
Operating machinery in areas inundated with water or impeded by landslides also presented significant challenges
report and provide evidence of all incidents
There is still a need to expand operational indicators and establish monitoring bulletins to keep the population routinely informed
The floods in May 2024 showed us that Veranópolis still has some way to go on our path to resilience
We need to further develop our municipal management and organization capacities before
and after adverse events and natural threats
As an MCR2030-certified resilient city truly committed to sustainable urbanization
Veranópolis stood out for its mitigation efforts during the disaster- largely because we had followed the MCR2023 guidelines for urban resilience
Making Cities Resilient 2030 (MCR2030) is a unique cross-stakeholder initiative for improving local resilience through advocacy
establishing mutually reinforcing city-to-city learning networks
connecting multiple layers of government and building partnerships
Through delivering a clear 3-stage roadmap to urban resilience
access to knowledge and monitoring and reporting tools
MCR2030 support cities on their journey to reduce risk and build resilience
Make your city resilient now
Fabiane Parise is the Municipal Secretary of Social Development
Housing and Longevity and Veranópolis' Civil Defense Coordinator
He has a degree in Hospital Administration
with a specialization in Health Auditing and Public Health Management
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Metrics details
The older population has an increasing burden of non-communicable disease
which can potentially be associated with physical and mental disabilities and shorten life spam
loss of functionality for activities of daily living
and lower social support are associated with all-cause mortality in the older population of Italian descent
This population-based cohort study was conducted in Veranópolis
Interviews were performed in a systematic random sampling regarding demographic
in addition to depression (Geriatric Depression Scale)
activities of daily living (Barthel Index)
and social support (Medical Outcomes Study scale)
Hierarchical analysis was used to determine characteristics independently associated with all-cause mortality
using Poisson regression with robust variance
expressed as relative risk with 95% confidence intervals (RR; 95%CI)
A total of 997 participants were enrolled and 882 participants completed the study
after 7.24 ± 2.41 years; with 581 remaining alive
Symptoms of depression (RR: 1.04; 1.01–1.06) and functional dependence for ADL (RR: 1.00; 0.99–1.00) were associated with all-cause mortality
even after controlling for confounding factors
Lower social support was not associated with mortality (RR: 1.00; 0.99–1.01)
Depression and functional dependence are independent predictors of all-cause mortality in the older population from Italian descent
enhancing the feeling of belonging to the community
Although the mechanisms are not fully established
the effect of these risk factors when unmitigated by full social connections and socioeconomic status compatible with one’s needs should be investigated
This city was founded by Italian immigrants who came to Brazil during the immigration period
and maintains traditions of closeness and friendly relationships
Given the dearth of studies on this topic conducted in the older population from middle-income countries
this cohort study was designed to investigate independent associations of depression
functionality for activities of daily living
and lower social support with all-cause mortality in the population into their sixties and beyond
This population-based cohort study included individuals aged 60 years or older living in the town of Veranópolis
certified as one of the Age-friendly cities and communities by the World Health Organization
Participants were selected through a systematic random sampling of all individuals aged 60 years or older residing in the municipality
The only exclusion criterion would be not residing in the municipality
enrolled participants were interviewed regarding characteristics potentially associated with the decision to have the influenza vaccine
as well as past medical history and demographic
Participants were selected by systematic random sampling from a record of all individuals aged 60 years or older living in the municipality
participants were assessed between June 2017 and March 2018
the investigators sought to locate all participants interviewed at baseline through telephone calls
contacting neighbors or the next of kin informed in the application
and making on-site visits to any secondary or additional addresses which participants might have provided in the hospital record
Participants were scheduled to undergo an interview
as well as measurements and specimen collection for laboratory tests
The next of kin of participants who had died between baseline and follow-up were contacted to obtain information through a verbal autopsy
All experiments were performed in accordance with relevant guidelines and regulations
and that the STROBE (Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology) guidelines were followed
This study was approved by the Ethics Committee of Hospital de Clinicas de Porto Alegre (GPPG number: 170241)
which is accredited by the Office of Human Research Protections as an Institutional Review Board
Written informed consent was provided from all participants or their next of kin
and interviews with attending physicians were used to outline the events surrounding death
All deaths that occurred between January 1
was administered and categorized to identify individuals as totally independent (100 points) or dependent (< 100) for least one ADL
The 80th percentile (scores > 88) was also used to identify lower social support
Variables considered potential risk or protection factors were: sex
education (years at school; categorized as 0–4
smoking status (categorized as never smoker
alcohol intake (categorized as abusive consumption if daily intake ≥ 2 units for men or ≥ 1 unit for women
or spirits (dose); social consumption for a daily intake of < 2 or < 1 unit
participation in group activities (religious group
sports team; categorized as present for those who were involved in at least one group)
and previous diagnosis of heart disease or cancer
Sample size calculation was based on the association between Barthel Index and mortality
assuming that functionally dependent older individuals would have a 50% risk of dying during the follow-up period versus 30% in those who were independent
considering an exposed–to-unexposed ratio of 12:9 and a 95% confidence level (95%CI)
A sample of 800 participants would be needed to ensure statistical power > 95% (EPIDAT; PAHO
Hierarchical model of factors associated with mortality in older adults
Among participants potentially eligible at baseline, 10.48% were not found, 1.06% refused to participate, and 0.70% died before they could be interviewed, resulting in 997 participants enrolled (Fig. 2). After 7.24 ± 2.41 years of follow-up, 882 (88.46%) were interviewed and 115 (11.53%) had been lost: 67 were not found, 36 refused to participate, and 12 moved out of town.
Table 1 shows that participants were aged 73.1 ± 8.0 years on average
Most participants were non-smokers; more than half consumed alcoholic beverages and engaged in physical activity on a daily basis
83.90% were independent for ADLs and most had some type of social support
As shown in Table 2
sex and age were strongly associated with mortality
even after controlling for biological confounding factors
not having a partner remained as an independent risk factor
but educational attainment and retirement lost statistical significance after controlling for biological and socioeconomic variables
smoking remained associated with mortality even after taking into account traditional risk factors
while consumption of alcoholic beverages and participation in group activities were protective factors
Previous diagnosis of heart disease or cancer was an independent risk factor for mortality
even after controlling for multiple traditional risk factors
the risk of mortality increased 8% per additional point on the GDS score
decreasing to 4% in the model adjusted for biological
Lower scores on the Barthel Index suggested greater risk of dying
and controlling for other risk factors did not substantially reduce the risk
Lower social support was not associated with mortality
Table 3 shows correlations between the GDS
All dimensions of social support were found to be negatively correlated with the depression scale
and social interaction support that older people receive
there was no statistically significant correlation between the Barthel Index and social support
insufficiently mitigated by protective factors
the independence of the association between mortality and symptoms of depression indicates an increase in overall risk that is not completely mediated by these traditional risk factors or by loss of functionality for ADL
in the population of older adults observed in this cohort
symptoms of depression and loss of functionality for ADL are independent predictors of higher mortality
these aspects should be considered as part of the assessment and promotion of health in the older population
The data that support the findings of this study are available upon reasonable request from the corresponding author [SCF]
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We would like to thank to the older population of Veranópolis
who have been cooperative and enthusiastic with research projects; to the research team who undertook the data collection
and to the administrative staff of the International Longevity Centre (ILC-BR)
This study was partially supported by the National Council for Scientific and Technological Development (CNPq
309023/2015-7) and the Fundo de Incentivo à Pesquisa do Hospital de Clinicas de Porto Alegre (FIPE-GPPG number: 170241) supported with a publication grant
5º and Hospital de Clínicas de Porto Alegre
contributed to the acquisition of the data
All authors critically revised the manuscript
and agreed to be accountable for all aspects of work
The authors declare no competing interests
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-32617-1
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