This is 29 of the Superligaen Championship Playoff
Predicted lineups are available for the match a few days in advance while the actual lineup will be available about an hour ahead of the match
The current head to head record for the teams are Randers FC 9 win(s)
Simen Bolkan Nordli is ranked 3 in big chances created in the competition (11)
Mohamed Toure has the most shots on target per match for Randers FC (1.3)
Have scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches
Sindre Walle Egeli is ranked 2 in big chances created in the competition (12)
Sindre Walle Egeli has created the most big chances for Nordsjælland (12)
02 May 2025 17:00:00 GMT?Randers FC won 3–2 over Nordsjælland on Fri
02 May 2025 17:00:00 GMT.InsightsHave scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches
Randers FC is playing home against Nordsjælland at Cepheus Park Randers on Fri
But despite two goals it still wasn't enough to give them at least a draw
The visitors managed to restore parity twice, but in the end the home side prevailed through a goal scored by the 19-year old Mike Themsen eight minutes from the end
Thanks to the win Randers moved into fourth place with 45 points, while FC Nordsjaelland are in fifth place with three points less. Brondby are in third place with 47 points for one game less
Randers took the lead after 20 minutes, when Norwegian midfielder Simen Nordlii launched a long-range stinging drive which hit the woodwork and followingly bounced off the back of FC Nordsjaelland keeper Andreas Hansen into the net
Randers - FC Nordsjaelland - Player ratingsFlashareThe visitors then brought the game back on level terms after 37 minutes, when Levy Nene
after Paul Izzo had saved his first attempt
Randers still managed to restore their lead before the interval
when Norman Campbell finished off a finely orchestrated counter attack to make it it 2-1 after Kian Hansen had deflected his effort past Hansen
The end-to-end action continued in a very entertaining second half where the visitors for the second time restored parity
when Benjamin Nygren after 73 minutes was given time and space in the Randers box to steer a wonderful effort into the far corner
But eight minutes from the end Mike Themsen turned match winner, when he collected a through ball from Mathias Greve, cooly rounded Hansen and rolled the ball into the empty net to give Randers all three points
One of Randers-Pehrson’s personal goals is to qualify for the 4x4 finals
so I just kind of stuck with it and continued improving on my own
but also with the community that I found,” Randers-Pehrson said
he serves as Vice President of the University’s Rubik’s Cube Club
where he organizes local competitions with fellow students who share this interest
Most WCA competitions are one- or two-day local opens, and those who achieve qualifying times can progress to regional
and some even involve solving Cubes one-handed or blindfolded
While Randers-Pehrson specializes in the 4x4 Cube and has earned many accolades
his first win in the 3x3 category — where he earned a time of 7.70 seconds
the average of 5 solves with the highest and lowest time dropped — happened at a 2024 competition at the University of Maryland
Randers-Pehrson explained how speedcubing is particularly good at building community for kids and teens
Because Cubers are typically more focused on beating their own previous times than beating other people
a culture of self-improvement dominates rather than interpersonal rivalry.
that isn't necessarily gonna affect someone else and how fast they solve it,” Randers-Pehrson said
“So it's very [conducive to] supporting each other rather than bringing each other down
the speedcubing community is also resilient
When the COVID-19 pandemic created uncertainty about its future and forced in-person competitions to shut down
Both well-known Cubers on livestream and competitors watching from home would scramble their Cubes in the same predetermined ways
and then that really jump-started the community once it came back
And I feel like the community is growing a lot right now in the U.S.
but also all over the world,” Randers-Pehrson said
While most of the competitions he has attended are local
Randers-Pehrson attended the World Championship 2023 in South Korea
where he enjoyed the chance to connect with Cubers with different specialties from across the globe
He said rekindling those friendships with those whom he only sees at championships is a major aspect of these events for him.
“The competitions themselves … feel more like a meetup than a competition,” Randers-Pehrson said
Randers-Pehrson also has friendships with fellow Cubers who attend the University
11-time world record holder in the 2x2 event and first-year College student
Khanani and Randers-Pehrson knew each other even before coming to the University
as both are originally from Northern Virginia.
“It's been fun to have grown up knowing him … and now getting to organize competitions [together] … So there's definitely a number of Cubers here who maybe started in middle school
or they got really into the competition side of it,” Randers-Pehrson said
“It's been great to connect with those people more.”
one of Randers-Pehrson’s personal goals is to qualify for the 4x4 finals — drawn from the competitors with the 16 fastest times — at the World Championship 2025 in Seattle this summer.
While he is still active in the competitive speedcubing scene
Randers-Pehrson’s focus has now expanded from just winning competitions to organizing them at the local level
The Rubik’s Cube Club at the University gained official Contracted Independent Organization status last semester
the club has held yearly competitions under the WCA for the past few years since its founding.
organizing a WCA competition is relatively simple
Once the club books a space for a particular day and time
WCA volunteer delegates travel to that location to regulate the competition
tables and timers are the only setup required.
This year’s Cube Club competition holds space for 90 competitors and will be held April 6 at the University’s Newcomb Hall
“I'm really looking forward to that and expanding what the Cube Club is able to do here … with the community,” Randers-Pehrson said
“Seeing all the up-and-coming kids or people in high school hanging out with their friends and enjoying that experience
As Randers-Pehrson works to progress as a leader in the speedcubing community
he recognizes the sport’s applicability to life outside Cubes and competition venues and emphasizes how it can bring people together at the University and beyond
“A bigger part [of competitive speedcubing] is connecting with the people around you at these events,” Randers-Pehrson said
it's not always about the direct results of yourself
It's more about the collective community there
and the idea of everyone doing their best.”
Indieheads is one of many Contracted Independent Organizations at the University dedicated to music
though it stands out to students for many reasons
Indieheads President Brian Tafazoli describes his experience and involvement in Indieheads over the years
as well as the impact that the organization has had on his personal and musical development
Louis CITY SC agreed to terms on the transfer of Danish defender Nikolas Dyhr to Danish Superliga Randers FC for an undisclosed transfer fee
“We want to thank Nikolas for all of his hard work and time while in St
Louis,” said Sporting Director Lutz Pfannenstiel
“We wish him good luck back home with Randers.”
arrived in January and made his MLS debut on March 1 in the 2-0 win over New York City FC
The Danish defender made two starts and six total appearances for CITY SC
Louis CITY SC transferred Danish defender Nikolas Dyhr to Danish Superliga Randers FC for an undisclosed transfer fee
Paul Izzo played 50 games for Melbourne Victory across two seasons. Scott Gardiner/Getty ImagesGoalkeeper Paul Izzo left Melbourne Victory to take up a contract in Europe on Tuesday, headlining a busy day on the A-League Men transfers front
Off the back of a standout two seasons in Melbourne, Izzo is expected to join Danish club Randers FC
with the Victory netting a small transfer fee for the 29-year-old shot-stopper
Izzo will be joined in the Danish Superliga by Socceroos teammate John Iredale, who confirmed his move to Aalborg BK on a free transfer on Monday
going on to net his first senior international goal later that month against the same opponent
Izzo earned a Socceroos call-up off the back of his brilliant campaign last season, when he helped the club reach the A-League Grand Final. That run included a memorable elimination final performance against Melbourne City
then saved three spot-kicks in the penalty shootout and scored one himself
- Lynch: Izzo writes incredible new chapter in Melbourne Derby history
"The past two seasons in Melbourne have been incredible and I want to thank everyone involved at the club but more importantly
the members and fans for their support," Izzo said
I'm looking forward to being able to take the next step in my career and test myself abroad again."
It is Izzo's second stint overseas after he played at Greek club FC Xanthi under Tony Popovic
Izzo's departure appears likely to open the door for former Socceroos goalkeeper Mitch Langerak to return to Melbourne -- where he began his career -- in the January transfer window, after his contract with Nagoya Grampus expires
Langerak has been strongly linked with a return to the A-League Men
Victory had already moved to cover Izzo by signing journeyman goalkeeper Jack Duncan from Wellington Phoenix on Monday
"It's a great opportunity for Paul to make a mark in European club football and further enhance his chances of entrenching himself as a Socceroo," football director John Didulica said
"Given Paul's role in our memorable season and finals series
it's obviously disappointing to lose him but we are proud to facilitate the move and confident the squad and its goalkeeping stocks will be just as strong going into the season."
Earlier on Tuesday, Wellington announced the re-signing of Marco Rojas for next season, while ex-Victory playmaker Jake Brimmer joined newcomers Auckland FC
Fleet-footed Rojas -- nicknamed the "Kiwi Lionel Messi" for his dribbling skills -- is returning to New Zealand after spells in the A-League Men
Rojas exploded on to the scene in his first spell with Wellington, coming from amateur to international football within two seasons. After switching to Melbourne Victory in 2011, Rojas won the Johnny Warren Medal in 2013 and moved to Europe. He has since played for clubs in Germany, Switzerland, the Netherlands, Denmark and Chile, as well as another two seasons with Victory, and most recently Brisbane Roar
Arslan has quit Melby City despite being signed for at least one more season and having attended preseason training
The 33-year-old asked for an early release -- a request "reluctantly" agreed to by the club
His departure deals a significant blow to City, who lost A-League Men record goal-scorer Jamie Maclaren in April.
Arriving in June 2023, Arslan took out the club's Player of the Year award and the Players' Player Award after scoring 19 goals and providing seven assists in 34 appearances across all competitions.
Predicted lineups are available for the match a few days in advance while the actual lineup will be available about an hour ahead of the match.
The current head to head record for the teams are AGF 7 win(s), Randers FC 18 win(s), and 16 draw(s).
Have scored 5 goals in their last 5 matches
Haven't kept a clean sheet in 6 matches
Patrick Mortensen is the competition's top scorer (19)
Have scored 11 goals in their last 5 matches
Simen Bolkan Nordli is ranked 2 in big chances created in the competition (12)
Ceres Park VejlbyNewsWho will win?XAbout the matchAGF is playing home against Randers FC at Ceres Park Vejlby on Sun
This is 30 of the Superligaen Championship Playoff
The current head to head record for the teams are AGF 7 win(s)
But after the seven-goal thriller in Copenhagen a week ago
neither of the teams could break the deadlock in an uncharacteristic goalless performance in Friday's match in the Superliga
This means that Brondby remain in third place two points after second-placed FC Midtjylland
both of whom can extend the gap to Brondby on Sunday
Randers is five points behind Brondby in fourth place and still have a chance in the race for third place in the league
The first three mutual matches of the season between Randers and Brondby resulted in a total of 17 goals
the matches between the two sides have been rich on goals
Brondby won 4-3 in an entertaining match with plenty of chances at both ends
Randers - Brondby - Player ratingsFlashareBut in Friday's match in Randers
chances were few and afar in a messy encounter with plenty of loss of possession
technical mistakes and lack of finely orchestrated attacks
as neither team's goalkeeper was forced to make a save in the first 45 minutes
Yuito Suzuki came on the pitch to replace Clement Bischoff at the start of the second half
but it didn't help much for the visitors as Randers started to recover their normal stylish stride
Randers stopper Wessel Dammers came close to finding the net after a corner kick
and full-back Oliver Olsen also tested Brondby keeper Patrick Pentz with a long-range effort
The visitors also had half chances to claim all the spoils but didn't have the quality in the decisive moments
Randers had the opportunity for a great counter-attack in the final minutes but Brondby managed to get into position
and the generally anonymous Randers leading goalscorer Simen Nordli ran into an offside position
Brondby have recorded 14 out of a possible 18 points in the Superliga Championship playoffs
Spring is almost here for my farm—in more ways than one
Not only am I seeing its early signs in Denmark’s weather
but I’m also watching a sudden and positive change in Europe’s agriculture policy
At first, I became a little suspicious when I read the headline: “EU Commission sets Green Deal aside in new agri-food vision.”Was it just a smart headline?
so I had to check the EU Commission’s official site
with their press releases—and read the amazing truth
The EU Commission—the executive branch of the European Union—announced a plan to retreat from an agenda of pushing for environmental radicalism at the expense of farmers and food security. The commission says that its new vision
and fair agri-food system for current and future generations of farmers and agri-food operators.”
I call it simple common sense.It is good news for all Europeans
delivering a renewed focus on securing staple energy and food supplies for an affordable price
The commission finally has realized that Europe needs to wake up
Our agricultural policy must be driven by knowledge and science
not the utopian fantasies of environmental activists who don’t know the first thing about food production and the tools that farmers need
the EU’s politicians and bureaucrats have viewed farmers as obstacles in their efforts to confront climate change
They’ve treated us as enemies whose daily work is to assault the environment
This new policy recognizes the truth: “Farming is about working with nature
Farmers are in fact the world’s biggest conservationists
which we seek to protect and defend for ourselves and future generations
Just about every farmer understands this role of stewardship
The commission’s second thoughts are driven in part by demography: Farmers under the age of 40 manage only 12 percent of the EU’s farms
young people have seen agriculture as a dead-end career
They’ll stay away as long as government officials join ideological activists to denigrate an entire industry
Much of my winter is devoted to needless paperwork
Rather than studying the results of the previous harvest
and attending trade shows to learn about new products
I must devote myself to regulatory compliance
of course—but the purpose of regulations must be to enable responsible work
The commission finally appears to understand that people go into farming because they want to grow food. I’m especially encouraged by the remarks of Christophe Hansen
“One prerequisite of competitiveness is less bureaucracy. Lighter and more agile policy is a must. We will further alleviate the burden of regulation and allow farmers to focus on producing food,” he said last month
I hope this new vision for agriculture will include an openness to New Genomic Techniques
whose embrace would allow European farmers like me to take advantage of the latest plant-breeding technologies
We would have a chance to grow crops that withstand droughts and floods
and the commission’s vision now requires an implementation strategy that will involve EU’s parliament as well as national governments
My own Danish government is due to assume the presidency of the EU on 1 July 2025
and I worry that it will resist the commission’s new approach
but I also know that many other EU countries want to scrap the old agenda
I’ll be rooting against my own political representatives
I’ll keep preparing my farm for spring—in both literal and figurative ways
Knud Bay-Smidt was raised on a 4th generation family farm and now grows wheat, barley, rye, Oilseed rape, fabe beans, grass seed and grass for forage in eastern Denmark. Knud is a member of the Global Farmer Network www.globalfarmernetwork.org
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Previously, Midtjylland had been unbeaten in 33 consecutive games in the Danish domestic league against Randers
including a playoff match for a European ticket
Dutch defender and Randers captain, Wessel Dammers
was the man to watch Friday night as he twice headed the ball in the net from corner kicks against a passive Midtjylland rearguard
Randers - FC Midtjylland - Player ratingsFlashareOn both occasions
the Midtjylland defense lacked organisation at the back and after two successive defeats (FC Midtjylland lost 2-0 against Brondby at home last week) Thomas Thomasberg's men have now left the door open for FC Copenhagen to close the gap on the Danish champions even further
FC Midtjylland still lead the Superliga with one point ahead of FC Copenhagen, but Jacob Neestup's men will take over the top spot if they get just a draw against FC Nordsjaelland during the weekend
Thanks to the win, Randers climbed into fourth place, one point ahead of AGF and seven points ahead of FCM
While Randers have secured their ticket, Brondby will now face Silkeborg at home in a make-or-break game to secure their spot in Top 6
Brondby can settle for a draw while Silkeborg need to win
it was the visitors who put themselves firmly in control from the start but after 25 minutes Mathias Kvistgaarden was forced to leave the arena with an injury which immediately affected the visitors' attacking strategy
Shortly after the interval, Randers took the lead, when Mohamed Toure headed home a pinpoint delivery from Nikolas Dyhr but it didn't take long for Brondby to respond when Nicolai Vallys found the net after a string of superb passes around the Randers box
Brondby - Randers - Player RatingsFlashareThe defensive efforts have earlier let down Frederik Birk's men and the lack of organisation in the Brondby rearguard again proved costly when André Romer made it 2-1 from a goalmouth scramble on the hour-mark
Mohamed Toure then scored his second of the night when he poked a home a rebound after Patrick Pentz could not hold on to a shot from Florian Danho to make it 3-1
A hugely entertaining match then offered the next highlight when Jordi Vanlerberghe gave the visitors lifeline after 74 minutes when he launched a stinging drive into the far corner
But Mathias Greve put the last nail in the Brondby coffin when he made it 4-2 in stoppage time.
This is 28 of the Superligaen Championship Playoff
The current head to head record for the teams are Randers FC 10 win(s)
Haven't kept a clean sheet in 8 matches
Simen Bolkan Nordli is ranked 2 in big chances created in the competition (11)
Have scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches
Have kept the most clean sheets in the competition (8)
25 Apr 2025 17:00:00 GMT?Randers FC vs Brøndby IF on Fri
25 Apr 2025 17:00:00 GMT ended in a 0–0 tie.InsightsHave scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches
Randers FC is playing home against Brøndby IF at Cepheus Park Randers on Fri
The current head to head record for the teams are FC Midtjylland 29 win(s), Randers FC 3 win(s), and 13 draw(s).
MCH ArenaNewsAbout the matchFC Midtjylland is playing home against Randers FC at MCH Arena on Sun
This is 32 of the Superligaen Championship Playoff
The current head to head record for the teams are FC Midtjylland 29 win(s)
29 Jan 2025 12:05:00 GMT?.css-1txiau5-AnswerContainer{color:var(--GlobalColorScheme-Text-secondaryText2);}AC Horsens won 4–3 over Randers FC on Wed
The current head to head record for the teams are Randers FC 13 win(s)
29 Jan 2025 12:05:00 GMT?AC Horsens won 4–3 over Randers FC on Wed
29 Jan 2025 12:05:00 GMT.InsightsRanders FC and AC Horsens have not drawn any of their last 3 matches against each other
Randers FC is playing home against AC Horsens at Kunstgræsbanen AutoC Park Randers on Wed
18 Jan 2025 11:00:00 GMT?.css-1txiau5-AnswerContainer{color:var(--GlobalColorScheme-Text-secondaryText2);}Hobro won 2–0 over Randers FC on Sat
The current head to head record for the teams are Hobro 4 win(s)
Randers FC have won the previous 4 matches against Hobro.
18 Jan 2025 11:00:00 GMT?Hobro won 2–0 over Randers FC on Sat
18 Jan 2025 11:00:00 GMT.InsightsHaven't kept a clean sheet in 8 matches
Randers FC have won the previous 4 matches against Hobro
Hobro is playing home against Randers FC at Eurowind Energy Park on Sat
St. Louis CITY SC have transferred defender Nikolas Dyhr to Danish Superliga side Randers FC for an undisclosed transfer fee
Dyhr, a 22-year-old former Danish youth international, was acquired by St. Louis in January from Danish Superliga champions Midtjylland
The fullback made six appearances (two starts) for St
"We want to thank Nikolas for all of his hard work and time while in St
We wish him good luck back home with Randers," sporting director Lutz Pfannenstiel said in a release
Louis are 11th in the Western Conference table with 18 points (3W-5L-9D)
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Stars printed on the price signs are seen Monday at the Bilka market in Randers
The stars make it easier for customers to buy European goods
The whiskey on the right has a black star marking its price; the U.S.-made whiskey on the left does not
carefully checking each product to avoid buying anything made in the United States
no more California Zinfandel wine or almonds
It shocked him to realize he now perceives the United States as a greater threat than Iran
“Trump really looks like a bully who tries in every way to intimidate
threaten others to get his way,” he told The Associated Press
“I will fight against that kind of thing.”
Hansen is just one supporter of a growing movement across Europe and Canada to boycott U.S
People are joining Facebook groups where they exchange ideas about how to avoid U.S
Feelings are especially strong across the Nordic region — and very possibly strongest in Denmark
Google trends showed a spike in searches for the term “Boycott USA,” and “Boycott America,” as Trump announced new tariffs
a global backlash is also building against Tesla as the brand becomes tied to Trump
police were investigating after four Teslas were set on fire Friday
A burned-out Tesla sits in the Steglitz district of Berlin on Friday — one of four suspected to have been set on fire in Berlin the night before
who lives in Faaborg on the Danish island of Funen
just bought a car and made a point of not even looking at U.S.-made options
“Before Elon Musk started to act like a maniac
French entrepreneur Romain Roy said his solar panel firm has bought a new Tesla fleet each year since 2021 but canceled its order for another 15 to take a stand against Musk’s and Trump’s policies
Describing the United States as “a country closing in on itself,” he cited Trump’s withdrawal from the Paris climate accord and Musk’s arm gestures
He said he was instead buying European models
even though it would cost an additional 150,000 euros ($164,000)
Europe must react,” he told broadcaster Sud Radio
created a star-shaped label this month to mark European-made goods sold in its stores
but a response to consumers demanding a way to easily avoid American products
“Our stores will continue to have brands on the shelves from all over the world
and it will always be up to customers to choose
The new label is only an additional service for customers who want to buy goods with European labels,” he said in a LinkedIn post
products are marked: ''Now it’s star-clear whether the label is European,” the sign reads
but we’ve made it easier for you to shop European.”
“When Trump went on television and said he would by political force or military force take a piece of the Danish kingdom
The 57-year-old said he felt powerless and had to do something
He is now an administrator of the Danish Facebook page “Boykot varer fra USA” (Boycott goods from the U.S.)
“Drink more champagne,” one user posted after Trump threatened 200% tariffs on EU wine and Champagne
told the AP he really misses the strong taste of Colgate
But he’s been pleasantly surprised at finding a cola replacement that is half the price of Pepsi
Trump’s policies have “brought the Danish Viking blood boiling,” said Jens Olsen
He is now considering replacing $10,000 worth of U.S.-made DeWalt power tools even though it will cost him a lot
He has already found European replacements for an American popcorn brand and California-made Lagunitas IPA beer
He has mixed feelings because he is a dual Danish-U.S
and has spent a lot of time in the United States
and I have never seen the Danes so upset before,” he said
A star-labeled price tag for snacks at the Bilka supermarket in Randers
making it easier for customers to buy them in place of U.S.-made products
Michael Ramgil Stæhr has canceled a fall trip to the U.S
and is among many choosing to buy Danish instead of American-made
though he cannot pinpoint the exact moment he made the decision
“Maybe it was when (Trump) announced to the world press that he intended to ‘take’ Greenland and the Panama Canal
That and the gangsterlike behavior toward the Ukrainian president in the White House,” the 53-year-old Copenhagen resident said
“The man is deadly dangerous and is already costing lives” in the developing world and Ukraine
who works helping war veterans with disabilities
many of whom were injured serving with U.S
Buy French and European!” that in just two weeks has attracted over 20,000 members on Facebook
companies is a good way to express opposition to Trump’s policies
especially “the commercial and ideological war” he said Trump is waging against Europe
these are the companies that financed Donald Trump’s campaign,” he said on state-owned LCP television channel
Roussez said only the American online social media platform gave him the reach he needed
But he’s working to migrate the group to other platforms with no U.S
a professor of economics at the University of Gothenburg
The boycott could have a psychological effect on Americans who see the scale of anger
‘We don’t like these Europeans anyway,’” Stenman said
who lives in the Danish city of Horsens with his wife and 13-year-old twins
But now they’re discussing doing without Netflix
He also wonders whether he should keep buying Danish-made Anthon Berg chocolate marzipan bars
for people to use the power of the purse to pressure companies to change
John Leicester and Samuel Petrequin in Paris
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The current head to head record for the teams are Lyngby 4 win(s)
Jannich Storch is ranked 1 in saves per match in the competition (3.9)
Frederik Gytkjær has created the most big chances for Lyngby (4)
Have scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches
Haven't kept a clean sheet in 5 matches
Simen Bolkan Nordli is the competition's top scorer (12)
21 Feb 2025 18:00:00 GMT?Lyngby vs Randers FC on Fri
21 Feb 2025 18:00:00 GMT ended in a 0–0 tie.InsightsHave scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches
Lyngby is playing home against Randers FC at Lyngby Stadion on Fri
Source: ghanasoccernet.com
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24 Jan 2025 11:00:00 GMT?.css-1txiau5-AnswerContainer{color:var(--GlobalColorScheme-Text-secondaryText2);}Randers FC vs Vendsyssel FF on Fri
24 Jan 2025 11:00:00 GMT?Randers FC vs Vendsyssel FF on Fri
24 Jan 2025 11:00:00 GMT ended in a 1–1 tie.InsightsRanders FC haven't lost to Vendsyssel FF in their last 7 meetings (5W
Randers FC is playing home against Vendsyssel FF at Cepheus Park Randers on Fri
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Highly rated Tammer Bany from Randers FC latest striker linked to Celtic | OneFootballThe Celtic Star
Celtic has today been linked with an alternative Danish striker to Mathias Kvistgaarden…FC Nordsjaelland v Randers FC
Tammer Bany 19 of Randers FC seen during the match between FC Nordsjaelland and Randers FC at Right to Dream Park in Farum
The club are scouring the transfer market for that gem who can come into the the starting line-up and replace the imperious Kyogo Furuhashi
The golden Bhoy swapped our famous Parkhead gates for the adventure of Brittany in an £10 million deal
Kyogo will be a sore miss for CelticThe Japanese star will be a sore miss in these parts and has arguably been the main man for Celtic over these past few years we have regained domestic dominance, following a momentary lapse. Signed at £4.6 million from Vissel Kobe in his homeland, it’s hard to argue that the Hoops haven’t had their money back and more for the tiny attacker
with the transfer fee recouped and then some too
It now leaves us in the awkward position of having to get a replacement in halfway through the season which will be a notoriously difficult task as premiums are always the order of the day during a January transfer window
we have a Champions League knockout tie to tackle at the same time as trying to keep our stranglehold of the domestic scene
Tammer Bany (R) of Randers FC seen during the 3F Superliga match between Randers FC and FC Nordsjaelland at Cepheus Park in Randers Denmark
They state that the 21-year-old has been inundated with interest from across the globe and that his club
are looking for a record-breaking transfer fee for the man who can play multiple positions across the frontline
With only a few days left in the transfer window, the Hoops will have to get a move on and decide what and who they are willing to pay for. Kvistgaarden is the name that most of the fanbase would like to see but whoever the club move for
Too often the club have sold players across the years and failed – miserably at times – to replace like-for-like quality
That cannot and must not happen this time out
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Musa Toure has secured a transfer to Danish club Randers
(Matt Turner/AAP PHOTOS)Musa Toure is the latest Australian to call Randers home after sealing a move to the Danish club
where he will have the chance to play alongside his brother Mohamed
Musa Toure has signed a deal with the Danish outfit until 2028 after completing a transfer from French Ligue 2 side Clermont on Tuesday
will get the chance to team up with older brother Mohamed
who has scored four goals in 15 games for Randers this campaign
Randers are third in the Danish SuperLiga - one win off top spot - and boast ex-Melbourne Victory goalkeeper Paul Izzo among a squad with an increasingly Australian flavour
They have also added Macarthur defender Oli Jones to their ranks during the January transfer window
Sydney FC have turned Alex Popovic’s loan move into a permanent deal
has signed a three-and-a-half-year contract with the Sky Blues after leaving Gwanju in South Korea
composure and technical ability and will be key to our defensive structure going forward,” said Sydney boss Ufuk Talay
“He’s only going to get better from here and has all the attributes to achieve great things in his career.”
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Abdul Hakim Sulemana is on his way to DenmarkProfimediaDanish club Randers FC are in talks with Lyon to secure the services of promising winger Abdul Hakim Sulemana (20)
Flashscore sources can confirm.The young Ghanaian caught attention with his stellar performance for the U20 national team during last March's African Games
where he played a crucial role in securing the gold medal
Following his success, Sulemana joined Lyon
Sulemana is currently negotiating with Randers FC
The prospect of playing in Denmark is viewed as an opportunity for increased playing time and accelerated development for the winger
This move would see him follow in the footsteps of his older brother, Kamaldeen Sulemana, who also began his European career in the Danish league.
At 20 years old, Hakim shares similar attributes with his brother, known for his explosive pace and skilful dribbling.
Izzo was one of the A-League's best goalkeepers last season in the Isuzu UTE A-League and his form did not go unnoticed, catching the attention of Subway Socceroos boss Graham Arnold, who rewarded him with a recall for the recent June FIFA Window.
The 29-year-old gloveman amassed 50 league appearances across his two years with the club following a return to Australia from Greek side Xanthi FC.
However, an impressive campaign for Victory, the former Adelaide United shot-stopper has decided to try his luck again in Europe, joining the Horses after reaching an agreement on a three-year contract.
Speaking on his transfer to Denmark, Izzo said via a club statement: "I am very happy and grateful to have the opportunity to represent Randers FC.
but the goal for me has always been to come back to Europe and try myself here again
then came this opportunity to come to Randers
and I look forward to contributing and helping the club as much as I possibly can
whether it's going far in the cup or even going for a position in the league that can give access to European games next season."
Izzo admitted he confided in the likes of former Reds teammates Nikola Mileusnic and Socceroo Mustafa Amini
who both previously plied their trades the Danish club
"I know some Australians who have played in Randers
and they only have positive things to say about the club," he added
"The facilities are great and the people at the club are good people
Randers take on Vejle BK in their Danish Superliga opener on Monday
Eos
The Landslide Blog is written by Dave Petley
who is widely recognized as a world leader in the study and management of landslides
Exactly a month ago, I wrote about the very large waste landslide that had developed a site then owned by Nordic Waste
a company specialising in dealing with contaminated soil
The site in question is located in the area of the town of Randers
a large landslide has developed in waste soil dumped in a an old clay pit
There were concerns that the landslide could contaminate the local rivers and even overwhelm Ølst
leaving the tax payer to cover the costs of remediation
making this a very substantial scandal in Denmark
The headline summary from the GEUS report is as follows:-
“GEUS estimates that the landslide at Nordic Waste since mid-2023 has been propelled by earth flows
which were formed by dumping soil from the western slope of the former clay pit
a practice that began in April 2023 and continued throughout the year
It is thus the unloading of large amounts of soil from the edge of the clay pit which has led to the accelerated landslide activity in the latter half of 2023.”
The report includes this image of the site
The earthflow form of these upper landslides is clear
and the blue arrow shows how these are driving movement in the soil lower down the slope
The image below shows the entirety of the landslide:-
The blue arrows on the left indicate the locations in which soil was being dumped
This has created the two large earthflows that are outlined in blue
which has driven the movement of the rest of the mass (outlined in red)
Note the toe of the landslide on the far right of the image
areas of soil that could become involved in the landslide are highlighted
the monitoring indicates that the landslide has started slow during January and February 2024
suggesting that it is starting to stabilise
Of course the dumping of soil has now ceased
the runout modelling indicates that there is no risk that the residential buildings in Ølst will be affect by the landslide
which will be a huge relief to the local residents
Meanwhile, the Nordic Waste scandal ripples on in Denmark. The local council, Randers Municipality, has now claimed DKK120 million (US$17.4 million) from the administrators of the company
There is also a very large (DKK50 million = US$7.2 million) claim from the Environmental Protection Agency
the remaining value in the company is estimated to be DKK 724,000 (US$105,000)
This is a stark illustration of the injustice of the case
The evidence that it was dumping of soil at the top of the slope that has driven the landslide indicates that the responsibility for the landslide lies squarely with Nordic Waste
There can be no excuses for failing to recognise the potential for instability
to monitor the slope for potential movement and to cease operations once the failure had started
Marie Keiding, Kristian Svennevig and Samuel Paul Jackson 2024. Geological Survey of Denmark and Greenland Report 2024/12 Landslide activity and scenarios for landslide development at Nordic Waste, Randers Municipality. The National Geological Surveys for Denmark and Greenland (GEUS)
Nantes will play Montpellier away this Saturday
Both aiming to become the early pacesetters at the front of the league standings, Vejle and Randers will lock horns for a match on the opening weekend of the Danish Superliga season
The Reds will be keen to put on an exceptional show for their passionate home support
whilst the Horses will strive to correct their troubles on the road from last term
After 22 matches of the 2023-24 Superliga campaign
Vejle were sitting second bottom of the league standings
four points behind 10th-placed Randers and looking set for a return to the second tier of Danish football
a major revival in the post-season split allowed the Reds to preserve their top-table spot for another 12 months at least
with Sunday's hosts eventually finishing ninth in the 12-team division
A major factor in Vejle's success during the latter stages of the term was 28-year-old striker German Onugkha
who made the net ripple on 15 occasions in the league last term to fire his men to safety
Taking charge of his third full campaign at the Reds, Ivan Prelec will be hoping to lead his troops towards the upper echelons of the Superliga and potentially within striking distance of the European spots
Due to their placement of seventh in the final standings of last term's Superliga
Randers were rewarded with the chance to qualify for the preliminary stages of the revamped Conference League
but the Horses were unable to book their spot on the continental stage
A daunting trip to the Danish capital to face Copenhagen stood between Sunday's visitors and UEFA competition, with a 2-1 defeat because of strikes from Orri Oskarsson and Mohamed Elyounoussi allowing Jacob Neestrup's side passage into the Conference League
Focusing on Superliga matches, Randers will be striving for Danish glory without the services of last season's Golden Boot winner at the club, with Mohammed Fuseini securing a summer switch to Belgian outfit Union SG
To say that the Horses have the upper hand of the recent meetings between the two sides is an understatement
with Randers looking to extend their unbeaten run against Vejle to 11 matches this weekend
After picking up a red card in the match versus Randers at the end of last season, Marius Elvius is unavailable for the campaign opener on Sunday
The Reds' options on the right flank are limited by the absence of Thomas Gundelund
who is recovering from an injury sustained in late May
Just four days after his move from French club Reims, Mohamed Toure could make his debut for Randers in the Superliga at Vejle on Sunday afternoon
The Horses have a new goalkeeper in their ranks ahead of the fresh term, with Australian Paul Izzo looking to challenge Oskar Snorre for the spot in between the sticks
Vejle possible starting lineup:Vekic; Kolinger
Randers possible starting lineup:Izzo; Olsen
Following the disappointment of missing out on a Conference League spot
Randers should be raring to record a positive start to the Superliga campaign this time around
Vejle have a poor record against Sunday's visitors, and we expect that trend to continue as the 2024-25 commences this weekend.For data analysis of the most likely results, scorelines and more for this match please click here
West Brom are set to wrap up their latest piece of January transfer business with the signing of Tammer Bany from Danish side Randers
Watch more of our videos on ShotsTV.comand on Freeview 262 or Freely 565
the Express & Star revealed Albion were keen to bring in an attacking midfielder
before it emerged they were closing in on a deal for the Randers forward
but has been impressing in the Danish Superliga and has already been attracting interest from a number of clubs in Europe
Nantes and other European outfits to his signature
with Bany set to join Albion in a £3.3m deal
Bany has played all of his career in Denmark and for large parts of that he has occupied the ten role
He played in that position for first division side Boldklubben
He made a £130,000 move to Randers back in February
and has only featured around 21 times for the club with 15 of those appearances coming this season
Despite being what seems like a natural number ten
he has also been used as a second striker in recent months with Randers
who can occupy a number of positions across the front line or in behind for Albion
Information on Bany and his style of play indicates he is a player who likes to dominate the ball
So far this season he has picked up four assists in 15 appearances
in what is his first full season in the Danish top flight
when he was plucked from the first division
Randers sporting director Soren Pederson said: "He is an offensive player who is light on his feet and who likes to play in the gap and around the opponents' center-backs with really good speed and good ball handling
"A good creative offensive player with speed in his feet."
Baggies fans who have watched Mowbray's sides in the past
and in particular his title winning Baggies side
will know he likes creative and technical players
He has already referenced wanting 'technicians' in his side who are comfortable with the ball
Stepping from the Danish Superliga to the Championship may well be a jump
but given how much he was attracting attention from clubs bigger in stature than Albion
He is likely to become Randers' club record sale - and could well be a key cog for Mowbray's side in the final months of the season
Having seen their perfect start to the 2024-25 Danish Superliga campaign come to an end last time out, Randers will do battle against Silkeborg at Cepheus Park on Sunday afternoon
make the journey in search of back-to-back league victories for the first time this term after returning to winning ways in their last domestic outing
Off the back of a strong end to pre-season
Randers made a fast start to their league journey with 3-2 and 3-1 victories over Vejle and Viborg respectively in their first two outings
However, Rasmus Bertelsen's men had to make do with a share of the spoils against FC Copenhagen last time out in a 1-1 stalemate at the Parken Stadium on Sunday
Nonetheless, a tally of seven points from three matches represents the Horses' best start since 2021, and they currently sit third in the Danish Superliga table
level on points with leaders Nordsjaelland
Randers also boast the joint-best attacking record in the division so far with seven goals
which augurs well for a team that only managed two goals across their final three league games of the previous campaign
With three of their next four games coming at home where they are unbeaten in six straight competitive games
Sunday's hosts will be looking to continue their early-season momentum in the quest to secure a first league title ever
Silkeborg just about did enough to come away with maximum points courtesy of a 3-2 triumph in a five-goal thriller against Viborg on Sunday afternoon
This was in keeping with SIF's high-scoring clashes this season
with their last five involvements across all competitions yielding 21 goals since a narrow 1-0 win over Sonderjyske on matchday one
Kent Nielsen's men have now won two of their three league matches either side of a 2-1 defeat against Aalborg to leave them fifth in the standings
Silkeborg will head into this weekend's encounter with just a three-day turnover from their last outing following a 2-2 draw against Belgian outfit Gent in the first leg of the sides' Conference League qualifier
Sunday's visitors are on the road in their next two games and having not won a competitive game away from home since May
they will be keen to turn their fortunes around
Randers trio Edgar Babayan, Noah Shamoun and Oliver Zanden are all unavailable for this one as they continue to nurse respective injury problems
Forward Florian Danho is ineligible to play any part in this one after receiving his marching orders in the draw against Copenhagen
Frederik Lauenborg was hauled off with an injury scare 11 minutes after scoring last time out
and the Dane is a major doubt for this weekend
This should see 18-year-old Sabil Hansen make his first start of the season, although Hugo Andersson is also a potential candidate to come into the lineup
Alexander Busch is without an outing for Silkeborg since early February due to a knee injury
which is set to keep him out of Sunday's game
With one eye on his side's European commitment in midweek
Kent Nielsen could contemplate making a number of changes to keep the energy levels high
Andreas Pyndt will be pushing for a return to the XI after coming off the bench to set up Tonni Adamsen's stoppage-time equaliser against Gent
The aforementioned Adamsen has found the back of the net four times in his last two appearances for the away side
Randers possible starting lineup:Izzo; Dyhr
Silkeborg possible starting lineup:N Larsen; Sonne
The last five editions of this fixture have resulted in a combined 21 goals
and we are expecting another entertaining affair here
We are also backing the teams to cancel each other out and settle for a point apiece in the end.For data analysis of the most likely results, scorelines and more for this match please click here
Copenhagen and Randers will both be looking to defend their 100% records when they meet in the Danish Superliga on Sunday
These two teams are the only clubs to have posted successive wins to sit at the top of the standings
Copenhagen traditionally battle to earn a spot in European competition
an important period ahead of the rest of the campaign
On this occasion, the pressure is ramped up with only Europa Conference League football on offer, with Jacob Neestrup's side having already defeated minnows Magpies 8-1 on aggregate
The standard of opposition increases in the third qualifying round with Banik Ostrava their opponents
but a certain focus remains on trying to stamp their authority in the Superliga
Victories have already been posted over Lyngby and AGF
with the latter coming in dramatic style with Copenhagen needing to come from behind to earn a 3-2 triumph
there next outing should represent their biggest test thus far
even though at least two goals have been scored in each of their opening four matches in all competitions
Randers, on the other hand, have just two fixtures under their belt, yet Rasmus Bertelsen could not be happier with the start to 2024-25
A comeback 3-2 success was posted at Vejle
the three points being wrapped up with a last-gasp goal
Bertelsen will prefer to focus on scoring three times in two successive fixtures
something which will sharpen the focus of their opponents
giving Bertelsen the belief that his side can hurt their more illustrious opponents all over the pitch
Having rung the changes for the second leg against Magpies
Neestrup seems likely to revert back to a similar Copenhagen XI from the win over AGF
Nathan Trott, Munashe Garananga, Mohamed Elyounoussi and Orri Oskarsson are all expected to be recalled
the latter scoring twice as a substitute on Thursday night
Meanwhile, Florian Danho looks likely to miss out for Randers
with the forward having needed to be withdrawn through injury against Viborg
His replacement Mohamed Toure would score within 20 minutes of his introduction and should get the nod down the middle of the attack
Tammer Bany is also pushing for an opportunity in the final third with one goal and one assist coming from two substitute outings thus far
Copenhagen possible starting lineup:Trott; Huescas
Randers will be full of belief that they can at least secure a share of the spoils in what should be an entertaining fixture. However, we are backing Copenhagen to come through in style to extend their early form.For data analysis of the most likely results, scorelines and more for this match please click here
Randers will be looking to continue their winning start to the new Danish Superliga campaign when they play host to Viborg FF on Sunday
Viborg also avoided defeat on matchday one and will have every confidence of earning something from the game at the Randers Stadium
Having won the relegation round of the Danish Superliga in 2023-24
it is fair to say that Randers had some momentum heading into this season
Although they lost 2-1 to Copenhagen in the European playoff
winning five of their 10 relegation round fixtures of the campaign was an impressive feat given that they had finished 10th out of 12 teams in the regular season
Rasmus Bertelsen has remained at the helm and overseen a positive pre-season schedule that ended with success over German side Hansa Rostock
That was carried over into their season opener at Vejle, Randers overturning a half-time deficit to run out 3-2 victors courtesy of Tammer Bany's last-gasp goal
The Horses are now tasked with facing a side that finished just one point adrift of them in last season's relegation round
On that occasion, Viborg lost three of their final four games to give up top spot, stoking the fire in Jakub Poulsen's squad for 2024-25
who finish second in the Championship round
yet they came away with a share of the spoils in a 3-3 draw
there was nothing but frustration after Viborg led on three occasions and conceded two goals after the 90th minute
with a strike of their own sandwiched in between
Although positives can be taken from that encounter
Poulsen knows that he has work ahead to get the disappointment out of his side's system
Having come off the substitutes' bench to score the winner last time out
20-year-old forward Bany will hope to earn a chance down the middle of the Randers attack
With Nikolas Dyhr suffering an injury against Vejle, Bjorn Kopplin could be asked to deputise at left-back
Mohamed Toure is another option to come into the team having provided an assist on his debut
Viborg could be forced into a change after Daniel Anyembe came off injured during the final quarter against Brondby
Srdjan Kuzmic is in line to take his spot at right-back, while Isak Jensen is also pushing for a chance on the flank
Viborg FF possible starting lineup:Lund; Kuzmic
With both teams having scored three times in their opening fixture, we are expecting goals in this contest. Viborg have enough about them to trouble their hosts, yet the momentum is with Randers, and we are backing them to record another thrilling victory.For data analysis of the most likely results, scorelines and more for this match please click here
The 20-year-old forward joins the club on a four-year contract until the end of the 2027/28 season
having spent the past two seasons in France with Reims' B and first team and last campaign on loan at Paris FC
He links up with fellow Australian and former Adelaide United teammate Paul Izzo, who signed with the Horses earlier this month.
Toure became the youngest goal-scorer in the A-League Men's competition in February 2020 at 15 years and 325 days and finished with seven goals in 44 games for the Reds before transferring to the French side in June 2022
The pacy attacker made three Ligue 1 appearances for Reims and scored eight goals in 15 matches for the B side.
Toure's solitary Subway Socceroos occurred at Wembley Stadium as a late substitute against England in October 2023
and has represented Australia at the U23 level.
Speaking about his decision to move to Denmark, Toure said in a club statement: "It feels really good to have signed with Randers FC
I'm happy to be here and I'm excited to get started.
"I'm looking forward to meeting my new teammates
I know they are at a training camp in Germany at the moment
score goals and make the team and our fans happy."
As mentioned there is one teammate Toure knows
being Izzo with the pair teammates at Adelaide
he was the goalkeeper for our team," he explained
"I have known him since the beginning of my career
So it's really good to have Paul Izzo here in Randers
Toure will wear the number seven shirt and could make his debut in Randers' opening league match against Vejle BK on Monday
Metrics details
An Author Correction to this article was published on 02 February 2021
This article has been updated
once surpassed lock the world into new dynamics
there have been warnings that some of these tipping points are coming closer and are too dangerous to be disregarded
In this paper we report that in the ESCIMO climate model the world is already past a point-of-no-return for global warming
In ESCIMO we observe self-sustained thawing of the permafrost for hundreds of years
even if global society stops all emissions of man-made GHGs immediately
We encourage other model builders to explore our discovery in their (bigger) models
The thawing (in ESCIMO) is the result of a continuing self-sustained rise in the global temperature
This warming is the combined effect of three physical processes: (1) declining surface albedo (driven by melting of the Arctic ice cover)
(2) increasing amounts of water vapour in the atmosphere (driven by higher temperatures)
and (3) changes in the concentrations of the GHG in the atmosphere (driven by the absorption of CO2 in biomass and oceans
and emission of carbon (CH4 and CO2) from thawing permafrost)
thawing process (in ESCIMO) is a causally determined
It starts with the man-made warming up to the 1950s
leading to a rise in the amount of water vapour in the atmosphere—further lifting the temperature
causing increasing release of carbon from thawing permafrost
and simultaneously a decline in the surface albedo as the ice and snow covers melts
To stop the self-sustained warming in ESCIMO
enormous amounts of CO2 have to be extracted from the atmosphere
In ESCIMO the global temperature keeps rising to 2500 and beyond
irrespective of how fast humanity cuts the emissions of man-made greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions
The reason is a cycle of self-sustained thawing of the permafrost (caused by methane release)
lower surface albedo (caused by melting ice and snow) and higher atmospheric humidity (caused by higher temperatures)
This cycle appears to be triggered by global warming of a mere + 0.5 °C above the pre-industrial level
we assume that humanity reduces man-made GHG emissions to zero by 2100
we assume that emissions are cut much faster—to zero in 2020
In both cases man-made emissions remain zero thereafter
Man-made greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions (a)
the global average surface temperature (c)
and cumulative release of carbon from permafrost (g) in two scenarios from 1900 to 2500
Also shown are the concentration in the atmosphere of CO2 (b)
Solid black curves show Scenario 1 where man-made GHG emissions are phased out by 2100
Black dotted curves show Scenario 2 where man-made GHG emissions are cut to zero in 2020
In both cases the global temperature keeps rising for hundreds of years after all man-made emissions have ceased
In Scenario 1 the temperature passes a temporary peak around 2075 at + 2.3 °C above pre-industrial times
The temperature then falls for 75 years (2075–2150) to + 2 °C
There are two reasons: (a) the concentration of GHGs in the atmosphere declines
and (b) heat is used to melt on-land glaciers and Arctic ice
the concentration of CO2 declines (from its all-time peak of 450 ppm in 2050) through two processes: (a) CO2 is gradually absorbed in the ocean surface (and later transported into the deep ocean)
and (b) CO2 is gradually absorbed in the biosphere
CO2 in the atmosphere is converted through photosynthesis into biomass in living matter and soils at a rate that is determined by the temperature and the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere
By 2150 all on-land snow and ice are gone in ESCIMO Scenario 1 (except in Greenland and Antarctica
While the developments to 2150 are understandable, developments in ESCIMO beyond 2150 are more surprising (counter-intuitive). As shown in Fig. 1 the temperature once more starts rising
The surprising fact is that this rise takes place 50 years after man-made emissions have ceased
and after the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere has been significantly reduced through absorption in oceans and biomass
(a) The contribution to global warming (“energy radiation trapping”) from water vapour
After 2150 the main drivers are water vapour and CO2
while the other Montreal and Kyoto gases remain the fourth most important driver of the self-sustained warming and thawing of the permafrost
(b) The relative importance of water vapour in global warming in Scenario 1
After 2150 water vapor has approximately the same effect as the sum of all the other GHGes
the ratios in the ESCIMO base run fall well within the uncertainty band reported by Cess
Hansen and Ramanathan and Inamdar cited earlier
This cycle consists of decreasing surface albedo
increasing water vapour feedback and increasing thawing of the permafrost
resulting in even further temperature rises
In a highly coupled feedback model like ESCIMO it is the chain of events
Even after no more man-made GHG are emitted
at least until all carbon is released from permafrost and all ice is melted
the temperature starts rising again after 2150—as a result of the cycle of self-sustaining processes of decreasing albedo
thawing of the permafrost and increasing water vapour feedback
The unexpected result in Scenarios 1 and 2 is that the global temperature keeps rising for centuries after man-made GHG emissions of are brought to zero
is the fact that the temperature keeps rising after the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere has declined back to the pre-industrial level through absorption in the deep ocean
In both cases the explanation (in ESCIMO) rests in the joint action of albedo
carbon (both as CH4 and CO2) from thawing permafrost
and water vapour in warm air—which together ensure that the temperature stays high even when the concentration of CO2 declines
As temperature rises, ice and snow are melted, making the planet darker. Between 2070 and 2300, for example, the average ocean albedo (in ESCIMO) declines from 0.080 to 0.067, and the surface albedo from 0.127 to 0.117, see Supplement Figure 15
In ESCIMO about 1.7 Wm−2—which is enough to trigger and drive significant change in the delicately balanced
Water vapour exists in the atmosphere because of the balance between evaporation
H2O is not held in the atmosphere because of CO2
will not disappear when the CO2 concentration declines back to pre-industrial levels—as long as the temperature stays high enough
Surface albedo affects the SW radiation balance at the surface. Thus, to estimate the “radiative forcing” of surface albedo, we follow a similar logic as for water vapour: we compare the SW reflection of the surface at timet to the SW reflection of the surface at time1850. The surface albedos are shown in Supplement Figure 15
Land albedo in ESCIMO rises ever so slightly in historical times
recreating the negative LUC “forcing” reported by IPCC
The declining albedo leads to an increase in the amount of short-wave radiation absorbed in the surface. The “radiative forcing of delta albedo” in the ESCIMO base run is shown in Fig. 2a dotted curve
it rises from 0.8 Wm−2 in 2070 to 2.6 Wm−2 in 2300 in the ESCIMO base run
the drop in albedo is the trigger of the resumed self-sustained thawing of the permafrost after 2150
by water vapour and the consequent continued release of carbon from the thawing permafrost
with particular focus on the assumptions that are driving the self-sustained thawing of the permafrost
In ESCIMO we assume that the permafrost melts as a consequence of the transfer of heat from the atmosphere to the frozen soil
We assume that the rate of heat transfer is proportional to the temperature difference between air and frozen soil
will start absorbing CO2 through photosynthesis once plants start establishing themselves on the formerly frozen ground
The absorption rate depends on the temperature and the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere (CO2 stimulates plant growth)
the causal mechanisms included in ESCIMO are very aggregate and far from a detailed description of the complex thawing process in the real permafrost
since the temperature path in Scenario 1 differs from the path in the RCP4.5 scenario
We found that ESCIMO Scenario 1 generates a thawing of 2 million km2 of permafrost by 2300
And that ESCIMO Scenario 1 releases an accumulated 175 billion tons of carbon (GtC)
compared to plus 66–minus 70 in other models
ESCIMO is not sufficiently regionalized to generate numbers for the amount of carbon which is absorbed in the vegetation that forms on the formerly frozen ground (which is 8–244 GtC in other models)
ESCIMO only gives numbers for the extra carbon absorbed in all tundra
does not overlap one-to-one with formerly frozen ground
The uptake is due to accelerated humus formation fuelled by increased carbon uptake in the biomass of tundra during the period of high CO2 concentration
The comparison with other models seems to indicate that ESCIMO in Scenario 1 releases more carbon than other models
but it needs further investigation to decide whether this is because the RCP4.5 scenario differs from Scenario 1 in the centuries beyond 2100
We did a conventional sensitivity analysis to verify that the self-sustained thawing of the permafrost is a robust phenomenon in ESCIMO—in other words
we checked that the continuing rise in the global average temperature does not depend on a very specific choice of the parameter values that determine the strength of the various processes in the model system
There are many (ca 100) such parameters in ESCIMO
They all have independent physical meaning
and each got a numerical value based on information from the literature
we first randomly picked 14 uncertain parameters from the model
we independently sampled all 14 parameters from random uniform distributions with ranges of plus minus 10% around their standard value for 200 sensitivity runs
Figure 3 shows the result, for Scenarios 1 (a) and 2 (b). The grey band includes 75% of the 200 runs, for the central variable in ESCIMO, namely the temperature increase relative to 1850.
Graph to the left shows Scenario 1 where man-made GHG emissions are phased out by 2100
Graph to the right shows Scenario 2 where man-made GHG emissions are cut to zero in 2020
Parameter variation does change absolute values but does not eliminate the broad pattern of self-sustained thawing of the permafrost
The thick curve in the centre of the shaded area is the mean of the 200 runs
This broad pattern of development (in system dynamics language: this behaviour mode) remains the same
This is consistent with the system dynamics literature
which argues that it is normally not possible to predict future events in complex systems
while it is possible to say something meaningful about future dynamics (future behaviour modes)
simple to come up with parameter changes that remove the self-sustained thawing of the permafrost—especially if those changes are made in what we already know are the most sensitive parts of ESCIMO
namely the equations that describe water vapour
it is not simple to find parameter combinations that do so
while still being able to recreate the observed history from 1850 to 2015
as the standard parameter set in ESCIMO does
We also did some further sensitivity analyses with parameters of special relevance for the study of permafrost thawing
Our experiments involved the following three parameters:
The fraction of carbon that is converted (by bacteria) from CH4 to CO2 before it leaves the thawing permafrost
Our choice of all carbon released from permafrost thawing being released as methane for our base case results from the fact that we originally worked on ESCIMO between 2000 and 2015
that all carbon released from thawing permafrost is released as methane
in this paper we run sensitivity analysis where we changed the fraction of carbon released as methane from 0 to 100%
And we run sensitivity analysis where we changed the fraction of carbon released as methane from 0 to 15%
around the currently assumed value of around 10%
the characteristic behaviour of self-sustained (in the sense of no more man-made GHG emissions) temperature rise is maintained
The slope of the rate of thawing of the permafrost that results from a given temperature
To calculate the rate of thawing at other temperatures we multiply with the following linear relationship:
See Fig. 4c,d and Supplement Figures 8 and 9
The slope of the future relationship between additional blocking of outgoing radiation as a function of additional water vapour in the atmosphere—for values of humidity beyond what has been observed this far
To make this extrapolation we use the following 3rd order polynomial function:
See Fig. 4e,f and Supplement Figures 11 and 12
The chosen parameter variations do impact the rate of self-sustained thawing of the permafrost and its feedback effect on global temperature
But they do not stop the self-sustained thawing of the permafrost
We believe that the reason for these results in ESCIMO is the importance of surface albedo rise, H2O blocking of long wave radiation and methane release from permafrost. As Fig. 2 above shows
we are seeing in ESCIMO a regime change from man-made emission driven warming until about 2200 to albedo and water-vapour driven warming beyond 2150
We did experiments with ESCIMO (see Supplement Figure 13) to explore (contra-factually) in what year man-made emissions must stop to avoid self-reinforcing thawing of the permafrost
The answer is that all man-made emissions would have had to be cut to zero sometime between 1960 and 1970—when global warming was still below some + 0.5 °C
building 33.000 big CCS plants and keep them running for ever
This is technically feasible but would be hugely expensive
Cheaper opportunities exist to stop self-sustained global warming (through various forms of geo-engineering)
but these will have unintended and undesired side effects beyond lowering the temperature
Self-sustained thawing of the permafrost is a robust phenomenon in ESCIMO
It only disappears when man-made emissions are stopped counterfactually as early as in the 1960es
Or by choosing parameter values that do not recreate historical developments
We encourage other model builders to explore these conclusions in their models
An amendment to this paper has been published and can be accessed via a link at the top of the paper
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