Thank you!We have emailed you a PDF version of the article you requested
You can also addto your safe senders list to ensure you never miss a message from us
IFLScience HomeAncient Chinese Poetry Reveals The 1,400-Year Decline Of World’s Only Freshwater PorpoiseComplete the form below to listen to the audio version of this article
IFLScience needs the contact information you provide to us to contact you about our products and services
You may unsubscribe from these communications at any time
For information on how to unsubscribe, as well as our privacy practices and commitment to protecting your privacy, check out ourPrivacy Policy
IFLScience HomeJoin for Exclusive
FacebookemailStephen has a science degree with a major in physics, an arts degree with majors in English Literature and History and Philosophy of Science and a Graduate Diploma in Science Communication.
FacebookemailEditedbyMaddy ChapmanMaddy Chapman
FacebookemailMaddy is an editor and writer at IFLScience
with a degree in biochemistry from the University of York
A Yangtze finless porpoise hunting in Poyang Lake
A study of 724 ancient poems has revealed how far the Yangtze finless porpoise once roamed within the mighty river
allowing scientists to see how far its range has contracted and when that occurred
This may help identify how much threat the porpoise is under
and provide a stretch goal for restoring its ecosystem’s state
Snow wrote of science and the arts as “two cultures”
and bemoaned the fact that people engaged in one often knew little of the other
He contrasted this with earlier times when figures such as Leonardo da Vinci (and himself) excelled in both
the arts certainly have a great deal to learn from science
Fossils are usually the only way scientists can identify a species’ previous range
when people love an animal or plant enough to include sightings in their poetry
and a team of conservationists have put that record to use
Dr Zhigang Mei of the Chinese Academy of Sciences grew up near the Yangtze River where the porpoises are an important part of the local culture. The porpoise has the good fortune to have a face that makes it appear to humans to always be smiling
the porpoises were considered to be positive spirits
able to predict the weather and fish levels
“Protecting nature isn’t just the responsibility of modern science; it’s also deeply connected to our culture and history,” Mei said in a statement
making people realize the harmony and respect we should have between people and nature.”
However, while art’s capacity to serve as a rallying call for the environment gives many artists a sense of porpoise (sorry
it is more seldom acknowledged as a tool for scientific research
The capacities attributed to the porpoises have elements of truth
and they’re active on the surface of the water
especially before thunderstorms when they’re really chasing after fish and jumping around,” Mei said.“ This amazing sight was hard for poets to ignore.”
when Mei and co-authors tried to identify the porpoises’ past range based on poems
they found the problem wasn’t a shortage of data
but they possibility some poets were making things up (hard to believe
“We had to figure out how accurate the poets were being
Some might have been really focused on realism
describing what they saw as objectively as possible
exaggerating the size or behavior of things they saw,” Mei said
we had to research each poet’s life and writing style to make sure the information we were getting was reliable.”
It's hard to keep smiling when you've lost most of your territory
but finless porpoises manage it.Image credit: Wang ChaoqunExactly half the poems included contained information about the location of the sighting
References to the porpoise bloomed over time
from just five during the Tang dynasty (618–907 CE) to hundreds in the 17th-19th Centuries
this had more to do with changes in culture
and poems being more likely to be preserved
the poems revealed the porpoise’s range only contracted modestly until late in the Qing dynasty
it occupies a third less of the main river than it once did
and its range within the tributaries and surrounding lakes has fallen by 91 percent
Further research may reveal how large porpoise collections grew before the river was changed
“Our work fills the gap between the super long-term information we get from fossils and DNA and the recent population surveys
It really shows how powerful it can be to combine art and biodiversity conservation,” Mei said
The paper is published in Current Biology
plantsWhat Is A Dinosaur Tree? The Living Fossil Dinosaurs Once Munched On That's Still Around Today8 hours agolink to article
animalsChatty Dolphins Might Know More Language Than Just Each Other's Names, Reveals New Study11 hours ago25link to article
T. Rex Leather, Glow-In-The-Dark Gas Clouds, And Musical Sea Lionslink to article
The Five Most Common Headacheslink to article
© 2025 IFLScience. All Rights Reserved. RSS
This website is using a security service to protect itself from online attacks
The action you just performed triggered the security solution
There are several actions that could trigger this block including submitting a certain word or phrase
You can email the site owner to let them know you were blocked
Please include what you were doing when this page came up and the Cloudflare Ray ID found at the bottom of this page
Microplastics are a growing global concern
with much research looking at their transport in the environment and potential effects on ecosystems and human health
One aspect of plastic waste which may have health implications is the presence of biofilms – a layer of microorganisms which collect on their surface
When plastics end up in water bodies they can be transported over large distances
taking their ‘plastisphere’ community of microbes with them.
there remain research gaps around how this microbial community changes with environmental stressors
and the extent to which pathogens potentially harmful to human and animal health are harboured on water-borne plastic.
French researchers embarked on a seven-month mission on a boat traversing nine major European rivers
from the sea to a point upstream of the first heavily populated city on each river
They sampled water at four or five points along a salinity gradient on the rivers
particulate matter and bacterial diversity
They also collected microplastics using a special mesh trawl
analysing these to identify the species present in the plastisphere
their virulence and ability to form biofilms.
To explore the bacterial colonisation of microplastics in the same waters
a land-based group placed pristine polyethylene
polyoxymethylene and nylon mesh in secured cylindrical cage structures
which the scientists on the boat then collected a month later.
The team extracted all microplastics in the study using alcohol and flame-sterilised forceps before immediately freezing them in liquid nitrogen until DNA extraction
They carried out DNA sequencing of all the bacteria sampled and used an infrared spectrometer to analyse the composition of the sorted microplastics they recovered
They looked at bacterial communities in each river separately
paying particular attention to the colonisation of potentially harmful species such as those that may cause toxic algal blooms
the scientists found that bacterial communities on microplastics were highly distinct when compared to free-living bacteria and those attached to organic particles in surrounding waters.
their data also uncovered distinct communities on microplastics in freshwater and the sea
Marine microplastics harboured significantly lower richness
evenness and diversity in their bacterial communities than those from rivers
They identified the potential pathogen genera Aeromonas
Arcobacter and Prevotella in freshwater samples
but not in the sea; while Vibrio1 was the dominant pathogen in the sea
They found no pathogen transfer between the two.
This evidence highlighted what the scientists described as a “strong selective pressure exerted between freshwater and marine environments,” representing a limit to the dispersal of microorganisms from freshwaters to the sea as part of the plastisphere.
The potential risks of bacteria travelling on microplastics was underlined by the team recording the pathogen Shewanella putrefaciens on microplastics for the first time
the salinity barrier identified in the study suggests that the chance of such pathogens travelling from rivers to the sea is low.
The approaches used in the study recovered microplastics which would be typically expected in the watercourses
accounting for 45% of what was found and polypropylene the second most recovered
The researchers found the chemical composition of polymers did not significantly affect the plastisphere community
although previous work has suggested a link2
The researchers suggesed this may be due to those studies looking at long-term colonisation
rather than sampling directly from the environment.
The latter’s jurisdiction over surface waters
means that the new work provides relevant knowledge on biofilms and their potential risks.
The study fills knowledge gaps in the so far limited and fragmented research on microbial communities on microplastics
Additional research looking beyond bacteria
at groups such as viruses and single-celled organisms
as well as explorations of tide-dependent changes
would help further inform future policy addressing plastic pollution
This salt-water tolerant genus includes the species Vibrio cholerae – which causes cholera – and V
parahaemolyticus – which may cause gastroenteritis.
(2019) The composition of bacterial communities associated with plastic biofilms differs between different polymers and stages of biofilm succession
“Science for Environment Policy”: European Commission DG Environment News Alert Service
The contents and views included in Science for Environment Policy are based on independent
peer reviewed research and do not necessarily reflect the position of the European Commission
Please note that this article is a summary of only one study
Other studies may come to other conclusions.
EU Environment newsletters deliver the latest updates about the European Commission’s environmental priorities straight to your inbox
Freshwater ecosystems underpin all human social and economic activity
They are vital for supporting the web of life on Earth and need to be valued
They are also closely connected to other ecosystems along our coasts and in the ocean
in addition to other partners and networks
The work of UNEP on fresh water is led by the Freshwater Ecosystems Unit
© 2025 UNEP Terms of Use Privacy Report Project Concern Report Scam Contact Us
The golden mahseer is considered Endangered due to the impact of overfishing and dam building in its home in the rivers of the southern Himalayas. © topimages/ Shutterstock
Freshwater ecosystems cover less than 1% of Earth’s surface
New research reveals that damage to these environments is pushing freshwater animals to the edge of extinction
with 24% of species in danger of being wiped out
crab and dragonfly species could become extinct in the coming decades – and many more could follow
A landmark assessment of the health of nearly 24,000 freshwater species found that just under a quarter are at risk of extinction
almost 1,000 species are considered Critically Endangered
with 200 having potentially been lost already
These numbers may only represent the tip of the iceberg, with scientists lacking the information needed to properly understand the extinction risk of thousands of species. Catherine Sayer
says that urgent action is needed to understand and protect these animals
“Lack of data on freshwater biodiversity can no longer be used as an excuse for inaction,” she says
“Freshwater landscapes are home to 10% of all known species on Earth and key for billions of people’s safe drinking water
flood control and climate change mitigation
and must be protected for nature and people alike.”
The findings of the study were published in the journal Nature
While fresh, clean water is vital for all life on land, freshwater ecosystems are some of the most threatened on Earth. Freshwater environments are being put under pressure as demand for food
It’s estimated that an area the size of India – a staggering 3.4 million square kilometres – of wetland has been lost since 1700
The Woodville Karst cave crayfish is found only in one area of Florida
where it faces threats such as pollution and habitat erosion
The loss of wetlands harms far more than just the animals and plants that live there, as it also limits our ability to fight climate change and stop flooding
Freshwater sources are also suffering from a cocktail of different challenges. An increase in water abstraction and dams on rivers are reducing the available habitat for wildlife
The animals that persist in these reduced habitats are then impacted by sewage
freshwater environments are significantly understudied compared to the oceans
Dr Topiltzin Contreras MacBeath
says that this needs to change if we are to ensure that freshwater species have the best chance of survival
“It is essential that freshwater species data are actively included in conservation strategies and water use management to support healthy freshwater ecosystems,” Topiltzin says
“Increased investment in measuring and monitoring freshwater species is needed to ensure conservation action and water use planning is based on the latest information.”
The sedgling is a Vulnerable species of Eurasian damselfly due to the drainage of its habitat
While around 10% of all species depend on freshwater, the study was particularly concerned with four groups that are intimately linked to it – the decapods, odonates, molluscs and fishes
Decapods are a large group of crustaceans that include crabs
plenty of others live in rivers and streams across the world where around 30% are threatened with extinction
The odonates are the group of insects that contains dragonflies and damselflies
While they might be most recognisable as airborne predators
these animals spend most of their lives in freshwater as growing nymphs
This makes them vulnerable to habitat loss
with more than half of threatened species affected by the conversion of wetlands to farmland
A similar proportion are affected by logging
which removes the hunting grounds and shelter they rely on as adults
While conservation data was readily available for freshwater decapods, fishes and odonates, a lack of information meant the study was unable to include molluscs in its analysis. This is the group that not only contains snails, but also other invertebrates such as freshwater mussels and oysters.
Previous research focusing on molluscs suggests that around a third are at risk of extinction, which would likely increase the overall proportion of threatened freshwater species.
The vast and often interconnected nature of freshwater environments means that reversing these declines is not easy. Co-operation between different stakeholders and nations will be vital to give threatened crabs, dragonflies and other freshwater wildlife a fighting chance.
Protecting our planetWe're working towards a future where both people and the planet thrive.
Hear from scientists studying human impact and change in the natural world.
A new project to kickstart conservation for some of the world’s rarest fishes is making a splash
Some of the world’s largest and most unusual fishes could be wiped out
The first State of the World’s Migratory Species report found that countries aren’t doing enough to save threatened species
streams and springs are in danger of going dry as we take water out of the ground faster than it can be replaced
Receive email updates about our news, science, exhibitions, events, products, services and fundraising activities. We may occasionally include third-party content from our corporate partners and other museums. We will not share your personal details with these third parties. You must be over the age of 13. Privacy notice
Map
Map
We use cookies to give you the best online experience
We use them to improve our website and content
and to tailor our digital advertising on third-party platforms
You can change your preferences at any time
Open menuHomeNewsFreshwater alga could be the next superfood that feeds the worldA microalga rich in nutrients could be cultivated sustainably with minimal environmental footprint to help build food security and combat climate change.
A green alga that grows in lakes and rivers could be the next ‘superfood’ - helping scientists to tackle global food security challenges while promoting environmental sustainability
Chlorella Vulgaris is a freshwater microalga rich in protein
which requires extensive land and water resources
it can be cultivated sustainably with minimal environmental footprint
The microalga can be incorporated into food products to enhance their nutritional value
Chlorella is a promising nutraceutical ingredient
As consumer interest in health-conscious and eco-friendly products grows
Chlorella Vulgaris could be one of the superfoods that redefine the future of food innovation
Our study underscores the critical role of applied research in addressing global food security challenges while promoting environmental sustainability
Publishing their findings in the Journal of Food Science
scientists at the University of Birmingham believe that
challenges remain in optimizing large-scale production and improving consumer acceptance
and Fakhteh Soltani -emphasise the need for advancements in cultivation techniques
and sensory improvements to enhance its appeal
Co-author Dr Helen Onyeaka commented: “As consumer interest in health-conscious and eco-friendly products grows
“We found that Chlorella not only meets growing demand for sustainable food sources but also offers substantial health and nutrition benefits
By overcoming production challenges through technological advancements
we can pave the way for Chlorella’s widespread adoption.”
Chlorella has been used as a food supplement
and adding the substance to food products can enhance their taste
the researchers note that overcoming existing challenges and optimising production methods will be crucial for the microalga’s successful adoption and widespread use in the food industry
The scientists recommend that future research should focus on improving strains
and addressing issues to fully realize Chlorella's potential as a sustainable and nutritious food source
Their study recommends that industrialising Chlorella production involve the development of new culture systems to increase yield and reduce costs – these processes should involve different bioreactors
and ultrasonication can increase nutrient bioavailability
while pulsed electric fields may enhance digestibility economically
Sensory evaluations and consumer testing are necessary to mask unwanted tastes
Increasing awareness and developing sustainable production methods can expand Chlorella's use in the food industry
A nutrient-dense alternative to traditional food sources
Chlorella boasts high levels of protein (43–58% dry weight)
and essential vitamins and minerals such as vitamin B
vulgaris offers significant environmental advantages
helping to capture carbon dioxide and cleanse wastewater
Health benefits include anti-tumour properties
potential for preventing Alzheimer's disease
and positive effects on major depressive disorder
For more information, please contact Press Office
The University of Birmingham is ranked amongst the world’s top 100 universities institutions
Its work brings people from across the world to Birmingham
teachers and more than 8,000 international students from over 150 countries
‘Chlorella vulgaris as a food substitute: Applications and benefits in the food industry’ - Chiao-An Wang
and Fakhteh Soltani is published by the Journal of Food Science
Helen's research interests include microbial responses to environmental stress
use of natural preservatives in food processing
quality and spoilage and antimicrobial resistance
Phone: +44 (0) 121 414 5292Email: h.onyeaka@bham.ac.ukDr Taghi MiriAssistant Professor (Lecturer)
Phone: +44 (0) 121 414 9175Email: t.miri@bham.ac.ukGo to previous itemGo to next itemRelated newsRelated CoursesChemical Engineering MEngUndergraduate
Chemical Engineering PhD/MSc by researchPostgraduate
Chemical Engineering BEngUndergraduate
Chemical Engineering with Foundation Year Undergraduate
Advanced Chemical Engineering Masters/MSc/PGDipPostgraduate
Ice melting from glaciers around the world is depleting regional freshwater resources and driving global sea levels to rise at ever-faster rates
through an international effort involving 35 research teams
glaciers have been losing an average of 273 billion tonnes of ice per year since the year 2000 – but hidden within this average there has been an alarming increase over the last 10 years
glaciers – excluding the continental ice sheets of Greenland and Antarctica – spanned 705,221 sq km
and held an estimated 121,728 billion tonnes of ice
they have lost approximately 5% of their total volume
with regional losses ranging from 2% on the Antarctic and Subantarctic Islands
This corresponds to an annual loss of 273 billion tonnes of ice
the amount of ice being lost jumped by 36% in the second half of the study period (2012–2023) compared to the first half of the study (2000–2011)
Glacier mass loss over the whole study period was 18% higher than that from the Greenland Ice Sheet and more than double that from the Antarctic Ice Sheet
The research
which was published today in the journal Nature
was conducted as part of the Glacier Mass Balance Intercomparison Exercise
Glambie is a major research initiative coordinated by the World Glacier Monitoring Service (WGMS) hosted at the University of Zurich
in collaboration with the University of Edinburgh and Earthwave Ltd to generate a community estimate of glacier mass loss globally
standardisation and analysis of different data from field measurements and from a wealth of different types of optical
By combining different types of data from these multiple sources
Glambie produced an annual time series of glacier mass change for all glacier regions globally from 2000 to 2023
“We compiled 233 estimates of regional glacier mass change from about 450 data contributors organised in 35 research teams,” explained Michael Zemp
“Benefiting from the different observation methods
Glambie not only provides new insights into regional trends and year-to-year variability
but we could also identify differences among observation methods
This means that we can provide a new observational baseline for future studies on the impact of glacier melt on regional water availability and global sea-level rise.”
who hosted a large workshop at Earthwave in Edinburgh to discuss findings with all the participants
“Bringing together so many different research teams from across the globe in a joint effort to increase our understanding and certainty of glacier ice loss has been extremely valuable
This initiative has also fostered a stronger sense of collaboration within the community.”
glaciers collectively lost 6542 billion tonnes of ice
contributing 18 mm to global sea-level rise
glaciers lost 273 billion tonnes of ice per year
equivalent to an annual sea-level rise of 0.75 mm
The rate of glacier ice loss has increased significantly from 231 billion tonnes per year in the first half of the study period to 314 billion tonnes per year in the second half
glaciers rank as the second-largest contributor to global sea-level rise
following ocean warming related thermal expansion
They surpass the contributions of the Greenland Ice Sheet
glacier melt represents a significant loss of regional freshwater resources
the 273 billion tonnes of ice lost annually amounts to what the entire global population consumes in 30 years
assuming three litres per person and day,” noted glaciologist Prof
especially for local communities in Central Asia and the Central Andes
where glaciers dominate runoff during warm and dry seasons
almost one-quarter of the glacier contribution to sea-level rise originates from Alaska.”
“The research is the result of sustained efforts by the community and by space agencies over many years
to exploit a variety of satellites that were not initially specifically designed for the task of monitoring glaciers globally
“This legacy is already producing impact with satellite missions being designed to allow operational monitoring of future glacier evolution, such as Europe’s Copernicus CRISTAL mission which builds on the legacy of ESA’s CryoSat.”
The research was primarily funded by the Science for Society element of ESA’s FutureEO programme, with additional support from the International Association for Cryospheric Sciences and various institutional partners
It was conducted by the Glambie team under the leadership of the WGMS and of the University of Edinburgh
and over 30 other research teams from around the world
ESA Earth Observation Applications Scientist
“We take great pride in supporting this vital research through our ESA Science for Society programme element as it brings together
multiple estimates of glacier mass loss from different satellites and in situ observations through a community driven approach
“These findings are not only crucial for advancing our scientific understanding of global glacier changes
but also provide a valuable baseline to help regions address the challenges of managing scarce freshwater resources and contribute to developing effective mitigation strategies to combat rising sea level.”
Notably, the study marks an important milestone in preparation for this year’s United Nations’ International Year of Glaciers’ Preservation and the Decade of Action for Cryospheric Sciences (2025–2034)
GlaMBIE Team (2024): Community estimate of global glacier mass changes 2000–2023
A new study by Dr Izzy Bishop and collaborators from the environmental charity Earthwatch Europe has outlined the criteria they used to develop the first global citizen science monitoring programme for water quality - called Freshwater Watch - based on standardized methodologies supporting the Agenda 2030 indicator 6.3.2 and the EU’s Water Framework Directive
The programme ensures robust quality control and training
enabling citizen scientists to support regulatory monitoring and decision-making processes effectively
Key findings from over 80 use cases across four biogeographical regions highlight the potential for citizen scientists to contribute to water monitoring and management
Laboratory and field experiments validated the chemical and optical methods used
ensuring the reliability and transferability of data
The study revealed consistent seasonal and spatial trends in macronutrient concentrations
with nitrate and phosphate levels showing increases in areas of agricultural intensification and industrial land use
with nitrate concentrations peaking in spring and autumn
and phosphate levels highest in summer and autumn
the observations made by citizen scientists are being used by local and regional stakeholders to manage freshwater ecosystems effectively
This study demonstrates the significant potential for scaling citizen science-based monitoring programmes to contribute to a global assessment of water quality
Article
UCL profile: Izzy Bishop
Freshwater Watch
Working to sustain the natural world for the benefit of people and nature
WWF® and ©1986 Panda Symbol are owned by WWF
You are using an outdated browser. Please upgrade your browser to improve your experience
Freshwater fish populations that dwell nearer the poles are outperforming their equatorial counterparts
Large-bodied migratory species such as Atlantic salmon are thriving as warming temperatures opens up new habitats at the poleward edge of their ranges
was based on a dataset of over 10,000 time series and included over 600 species of fishes.
Climate change has emerged as a key threat to biodiversity
leading to broad-scale shifts in distributions of marine and terrestrial species as they attempt to track thermally suitable habitat
the climate responses of freshwater species are comparatively unexplored
Co-author Professor Martin Genner explained: “A common biological response to climatic warming in marine and terrestrial habitats is that populations are increasing at the poleward side of species ranges
and populations are declining at the equatorward side of species ranges
The team linked a multicontinental database of riverine fish population abundance time series collected from 1958 to 2019 to temperature data from the same period
They found that observed population trends were consistent with expected patterns from climatic warming
and that the trends were more pronounced in time series covering the longer time periods of over 30 years
The responses consistent with climate change were most evident in species with larger body sizes
Species following this trend include brown trout and coarse fish species familiar to many anglers
positive abundance responses to warming were more likely at higher altitudes where conditions tend to be cooler
Professor Genner said: “These findings indicate that projected future warming will likely lead to widespread shifts in riverine community structure
including abundance declines at the trailing edge of species distributions.”
Now the team aims to understand more about the importance of climate change in affecting freshwater fish population sizes relative to other stressors
He concluded: “Our study has shown how warming waters are impacting freshwater river fishes
that are both rich in biodiversity and are traditionally important to cultures across the world
“We hope that shining a light on how climate change can affect freshwater fishes will lead to positive actions to enable their conservation and sustainable use
“We need to learn more about how the impacts of climate change can be lessened through conservation strategies
‘Climate warming drives population trajectories of freshwater fish’ by Timothy M
More social media
2015 - 2023JPEG
An international team of scientists using observations from NASA-German satellites found evidence that Earth’s total amount of freshwater dropped abruptly starting in May 2014 and has remained low ever since. Reporting in Surveys in Geophysics, the researchers suggested the shift could indicate Earth’s continents have entered a persistently drier phase
satellite measurements showed that the average amount of freshwater stored on land—that includes liquid surface water like lakes and rivers
plus water in aquifers underground—was 1,200 cubic kilometers (290 cubic miles) lower than the average levels from 2002 through 2014
one of the study authors and a hydrologist at NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center
“That’s two and a half times the volume of Lake Erie lost.”
JPEG
The map at the top of this page shows the years in which the satellite data indicate terrestrial water storage hit a 22-year minimum at each location
The decline in global freshwater began with a massive drought in northern and central Brazil
followed shortly by a series of major droughts in Australasia
Warmer ocean temperatures in the tropical Pacific from late 2014 into 2016
culminating in one of the most significant El Niño events since 1950
led to shifts in atmospheric jet streams that altered weather and rainfall patterns around the world
Rodell and team report that 13 of the world’s 30 most intense droughts observed by GRACE occurred since January 2015
They suspect that global warming might be contributing to the enduring freshwater depletion
Global warming leads the atmosphere to hold more water vapor
which results in more extreme precipitation
said NASA Goddard meteorologist Michael Bosilovich
While total annual rain and snowfall levels may not change dramatically
long periods between intense precipitation events allow the soil to dry and become more compact
That decreases the amount of water the ground can absorb when it does rain
“The problem when you have extreme precipitation,” Bosilovich said
“is the water ends up running off,” instead of soaking in and replenishing groundwater stores
freshwater levels have stayed consistently low since the 2014-2016 El Niño
while more water remains trapped in the atmosphere as water vapor
“Warming temperatures increase both the evaporation of water from the surface to the atmosphere
and the water-holding capacity of the atmosphere
increasing the frequency and intensity of drought conditions,” he noted
While there are reasons to suspect that the abrupt drop in freshwater is largely due to global warming
it can be difficult to definitively link the two
a hydrologist and remote sensing scientist at Virginia Tech who was not affiliated with the study
“There are uncertainties in climate predictions,” Werth said
“Measurements and models always come with errors.”
It remains to be seen whether global freshwater will rebound to pre-2015 values
Considering that the nine warmest years in the modern temperature record coincided with the abrupt freshwater decline
“We don’t think this is a coincidence
and it could be a harbinger of what’s to come.”
NASA Earth Observatory image by Wanmei Liang, using data from Rodell, Matthew, et al. (2024)
Artist’s rendering of GRACE-FO by NASA/JPL-Caltech
The amount of freshwater stored on land and underground has plummeted in the past decade
which might indicate that Earth’s continents have entered a persistently drier phase
with differing expressions on different continents
The past eight years have been the warmest in the global record
Metrics details
Here we present the results of a multi-taxon global freshwater fauna assessment for The IUCN Red List of Threatened Species covering 23,496 decapod crustaceans
finding that one-quarter are threatened with extinction
with overharvesting also driving extinctions
We also examined the degree of surrogacy of both threatened tetrapods and freshwater abiotic factors (water stress and nitrogen) for threatened freshwater species
Threatened tetrapods are good surrogates when prioritizing sites to maximize rarity-weighted richness
but poorer when prioritizing based on the most range-restricted species
they are much better surrogates than abiotic factors
although global priority regions identified for tetrapod conservation are broadly reflective of those for freshwater faunas
given differences in key threats and habitats
meeting the needs of tetrapods cannot be assumed sufficient to conserve freshwater species at local scales
the efficacy of using abiotic surrogates for freshwater biodiversity remains untested
To improve availability of information for use in the conservation and management of freshwater species
we examined the results of the most comprehensive multi-taxon global freshwater fauna assessment to date on the IUCN Red List to summarize the extinction risk
key habitats and primary drivers of decline of freshwater decapod crustaceans
fishes and odonates (hereafter ‘freshwater species’)
to test whether it is appropriate to rely on predominantly terrestrial tetrapod data or freshwater abiotic data when making conservation decisions on freshwater biodiversity at a global scale
we investigated whether threatened tetrapods (amphibians
mammals and reptiles) and two widely used hydrological variables (water stress
representing the ratio of total water demand to available renewable supplies; and water quality
representing eutrophication) are effective surrogates for these threatened freshwater species
We were unable to include freshwater molluscs in our analysis because only half of the known species globally are currently assessed for the IUCN Red List
meaning their inclusion would introduce regional and taxonomic biases
we highlight the implications of this omission from our dataset below
The numbers above each column refer to the total numbers of species assessed and the best estimates of the proportion of species threatened (Methods)
The black lines represent the best estimates of the proportion of species threatened
Red List categories are as follows: extinct (EX)
near threatened (NT) and least concern (LC)
Source data
Proportion of threatened freshwater species (decapod crustaceans
fishes and odonates; combined and individually)
extinct freshwater species (combined) and threatened tetrapods (combined) affected by each threat
The darker cells indicate a greater proportion of species affected by the threat
Threats are coded following the IUCN Threats Classification Scheme (version 3.3) and combined for presentation as follows (the value of the highest hierarchical level is indicated; all subsequent levels are included): pollution (9); dams and water management (7.2); agriculture (2.1
2.2 and 2.3); invasive species and disease (8.1
8.5 and 8.6); logging (5.2 and 5.3); urban development (1); hunting and fishing (5.1 and 5.4); energy production and mining (3); climate change and severe weather (11); human intrusions and disturbance (6); other ecosystem modifications (7.3); transportation (4); fire and fire suppression (7.1); problematic native species (8.2); aquaculture (2.4); and geological events (10)
For the number of species: threatened freshwater species n = 4,190
threatened odonates n = 686 and threatened tetrapods n = 7,112
fishes and odonates; combined and individually) and extinct freshwater species (combined) using each wetland habitat
The darker cells indicate a greater proportion of species using the habitat
Habitats are coded following the IUCN Habitats Classification Scheme (version 3.1) as follows: permanent rivers (5.1); permanent lakes (5.5); seasonal rivers (5.2); permanent pools (5.7); bogs and marshes
among others (5.4); seasonal pools (5.8); springs and oases (5.9); karst (5.18); seasonal lakes (5.6); other wetlands (5.3
For the number of species: threatened freshwater species n = 4,255
threatened fishes n = 3,071 and threatened odonates n = 700
threatened species include those assessed as critically endangered (including those flagged as possibly extinct and possibly extinct in the wild)
Extinct freshwater species include those assessed as extinct or extinct in the wild
also being frequently affected by invasive species and disease (33%)
with the latter predominantly linked to targeted harvesting
and 8 tests from a single study using terrestrial surrogates and freshwater targets yielded median SAI = 0.38
The SAI approach is more appropriate in addressing the extent to which areas selected for surrogates capture targets than approaches based on spatial congruence
All SAI values for the abiotic factors, representing water quantity and quality, are negative, meaning performance is worse than expected from random solutions (Extended Data Fig. 6)
The effectiveness is equally bad for both conservation strategies
very poor surrogates for threatened freshwater species
This suggests that relying on these surrogates for conservation and management decisions could lead to suboptimal or even harmful outcomes and
conservation strategies that rely on abiotic indicators should be re-evaluated
Important consideration should additionally be given to tackling overharvesting given that this is considered a particularly prominent threat in driving freshwater species extinctions
distribution of species within their ranges will not be uniform
and the disproportionate importance of some areas and/or habitat types
needs to be considered when planning action on the ground
our results suggest that setting targets around non-living nature will not be sufficient to protect and conserve living nature and may be harmful in terms of its opportunity cost and displacement of threats to more important places for freshwater biodiversity
The dataset will also form the basis of (multi-)species conservation planning processes across the globe
limiting our ability to provide new data to update assessments
vital to track the changing status of freshwater biodiversity
supporting evidence-based management and conservation actions
and processes to feed these results back into assessment efforts
some freshwater decapod species have been assessed or reassessed since these global assessment efforts were first completed
updated Red List assessment figures are provided below to reflect the version of the dataset used in this analysis
the assessed species represent 84% of the formally described species in all three taxonomic groups (see the ‘Missing species’ section below for a description of the gaps in coverage)
These groups were selected for assessment because they cover both vertebrates and invertebrates
are not restricted to particular continents and are groups for which there was thought to be a reasonable level of existing information
such that their comprehensive assessment would provide a good indication of the status of freshwater fauna globally
This freshwater species dataset was compared with that of the tetrapods: amphibians (class Amphibia; 7,468 species)
mammals (class Mammalia; 5,973 species) and reptiles (class Reptilia; 10,222 species)
We worked with species experts and members of the IUCN Species Survival Commission (SSC) to compile data
Each assessment then underwent two reviews
at least one independent scientist familiar with each species reviewed the assessment to ensure the data presented were correct and complete
and that the Red List criteria had been applied appropriately
Once each assessment had passed this first stage of the review
staff from the IUCN Red List Unit reviewed the assessments to ensure that the Red List criteria had been applied appropriately
and the documentation standards had been met
Once each assessment had passed this second stage of the review
they were considered finalized and set for publication on the IUCN Red List website
The preliminary Red List assessments of 1,577 freshwater fish species used in this analysis had undergone only the first step of the review process described above at the time of analysis
with only seven species (0.5%) changing Red List category before publication as a result of the second stage of review
We expect the remaining 207 species (13%) with preliminary assessments to have completed the assessment process outlined above by October 2024
we diverged only to follow well-justified taxonomic standards as recommended by the relevant IUCN SSC Specialist Group
We were not able to revisit new descriptions for regions or families after the end of the original regional sub-projects
the final species lists are not fully consistent with any single release of either of the above taxonomic sources
with level 8 HydroBASINS as the default resolution (mean sub-basin area of 576 km2)
Assessors are recommended to use higher-resolution level HydroBASINS (that is
levels 10 and 12) for species with restricted distributions
All known past, current and future threats to a species were coded using the IUCN Threats Classification Scheme (version 3.3; https://www.iucnredlist.org/resources/threat-classification-scheme)
Where known, species habitats were coded using the IUCN Habitats Classification Scheme (version 3.1; https://www.iucnredlist.org/resources/habitat-classification-scheme)
Species were assigned to all habitat classes in which they are known to occur
Although we made an extensive effort to complete assessments for all freshwater fishes and odonates
along with limitations with the published freshwater decapod data
3,804 freshwater fishes (21% of the formally described species)
169 odonates (3% of the formally described species) and 622 freshwater decapods (19% of the formally described species) were omitted from the study
The odonates are the most comprehensively assessed of the three freshwater groups with the few omitted species being new descriptions
reflecting the geographical distribution of the order overall
The effect on our analyses is likely to be an underestimate of the number of threatened species and lower surrogacy levels than reported here
Eighteen per cent of freshwater fishes (2,634 species)
29% of odonates (1,830 species) and 39% of freshwater decapods (1,042 species) were assessed as data deficient
Although we made extensive efforts to map the current known distribution of each species
this is missing or incomplete for some species
Polygon map availability for all freshwater species was as follows: freshwater decapods (94%)
freshwater fishes (95%) and odonates (77%)
Polygon map availability for threatened freshwater species was as follows: freshwater decapods (89%)
freshwater fishes (96%) and odonates (87%)
Polygon map availability for data deficient freshwater species was as follows: freshwater decapods (93%)
freshwater fishes (92%) and odonates (77%)
Polygon map availability for threatened tetrapod species was as follows: amphibians (100%)
Species missing maps generally had older Red List assessments where the supporting data requirements were lower or only had non-polygon spatial data (that is
It should be noted that species occurrence is unlikely to be spread evenly or entirely throughout the area depicted in species distribution maps
with gaps expected in areas without suitable habitat
it is probable that species with assessments older than 10 years are more likely to be assessed in a higher threat category today
indicating a potential underestimation of the extinction risk in these groups
To capture the uncertainty in the proportion of species threatened with extinction that is introduced by data deficient species
we report three values for percentage threatened as follows
We used the following formula as the midpoint of the proportion of species threatened with extinction:
We used the following formula to calculate the lower estimate of the proportion of species threatened with extinction:
VU and EX are the number of species in each corresponding Red List category
and N is the total number of species assessed
This formula assumes data deficient species are not threatened
we used the following formula to calculate the upper estimate of the proportion of species threatened with extinction:
DD and EX are the number of species in each corresponding Red List category
This formula assumes that all data deficient species are threatened
we did not use scope and severity to distinguish the relative importance of threats to individual species
and all coded threats were included in the analysis
We recommend future reassessments to include these codes
such that major threats can be distinguished from trivial threats in analyses based
on the proportion of the population affected
The threats analysis presented here focuses on threatened species
plus on extinct and extinct in the wild freshwater species
Threats data availability for threatened species for each taxonomic group was as follows: freshwater decapods (97%)
Eighty-two per cent of extinct and extinct in the wild freshwater species had threats coded
Species without threats data either faced no known major threats
faced unknown threats or had no threats data coded because they have older Red List assessments where the supporting data requirements were lower
We first analysed habitat use at the highest level of the IUCN Habitats Classification Scheme
we analysed habitat use within habitat code 5 ‘Wetlands (inland)’
Habitat data availability for threatened species for each taxonomic group was as follows: freshwater decapods (99%)
Wetland-specific habitat data availability for all species for each freshwater taxonomic group was as follows: freshwater decapods (100%)
freshwater fishes (99%) and odonates (99%)
All extinct and extinct in the wild freshwater species had habitats coded
Species without habitat data either had habitats coded as ‘unknown’ or had no habitat data coded because they have older Red List assessments in which the supporting data requirements were lower
We used chi-squared tests to assess whether any threats were recorded more for extinct species than would be expected based on threats recorded for threatened species
whether any habitats were recorded more for threatened species than would be expected based on habitats recorded for all species
and whether any habitats were recorded more for extinct species than would be expected based on habitats recorded for threatened species
probably extant (code 2) or possibly extinct (code 4)
reintroduced (code 2) or assisted colonization (code 6)
we excluded ranges coded as presence code 4 (possibly extinct)
All spatial mapping and subsequent analyses were conducted on a global 0.5 × 0.5 latitude–longitude grid (approximately 50-km resolution; WGS84)
We converted all polygon range maps (including HydroBASIN-based maps) tagged with presence
origin and seasonality codes as described above to these grids to have a consistent format for analysis across all taxonomic groups
We mapped the distribution of species as a count of the number of species ranges overlapping each grid cell
A surrogate is selected as a representative of conservation planning
simplifying the process of monitoring and conserving biodiversity
Its effectiveness hinges on how well the surrogate can reflect the presence
abundance and diversity of species in a given area
Here we used species accumulation curves to measure this effectiveness
by comparing the species accumulation curves of surrogates with those of the target group
We performed the analyses on two main global conservation strategies: (a) maximizing rarity-weighted richness (that is
the aggregate importance of each grid cell to the species occurring there) of threatened species
and (b) maximizing inclusion of the most range-restricted threatened species
The first strategy prioritizes areas containing many threatened species with highly restricted ranges globally
whereas the second prioritizes essential areas for the most globally range-restricted threatened species
using the additive benefit function (ABF) and the core-area zonation (CAZ) algorithms for strategy a and strategy b
The algorithm for the ABF (strategy a) focuses on ranking areas by the sum of the proportion of the overall range size of all species found within a specific grid cell (that is
a quantity similar to weighted species endemism and endemism richness)
The grid cells that contain many species occurring exclusively in that cell or in only a few other cells are given the highest priority
areas are prioritized based on the maximum proportion of the global range size of all species within a specific grid cell
The algorithm assigns the highest priority to cells that contain the greatest proportions of the ranges of the most range-restricted species
surrogate and random curves based on multiple target species-surrogate species combinations
We used 100 sets of random terrestrial grid-cell sequences to generate 95% confidence intervals around a median random curve
We ran five iterations of each spatial prioritization algorithm for each taxonomic group
and optimal and surrogate curves were summarized using the median and 95% confidence intervals across the five iterations
We derived the SAI of surrogate effectiveness83
which quantifies the rate of inclusion of target biodiversity units across areas selected optimally based on the targets themselves
where s is the area under the surrogate curve
the optimal and the surrogate curves coincide (perfect surrogacy); if SAI is between 1 and 0
the surrogate curve is above the random curve (positive surrogacy); if SAI = 0
the surrogate and random curves are the same (no surrogacy); and if SAI < 0
the surrogate curve is below the random curve (negative surrogacy)
We used the following descriptors to define SAI performance: 0.01–0.19 as very poor
this does not mean that 50% of targets are represented and 50% of targets are not represented
we reported the median and 95% confidence intervals based on the five target and surrogate curve iterations and 100 random curve iterations
Nitrogen levels in water around the world are highly correlated with population density
sanitation practices and agricultural activities
Here the nitrogen layer was predicted globally and provides valuable information about nitrogen concentrations in areas where no previous observations have been made
We rasterized the baseline water stress and the nitrogen layers to a 0.5 × 0.5 latitude–longitude grids (approximately 50-km resolution; WGS84) to match the species rasters
we excluded cells with missing water stress data across the world’s land (12% of cells excluded)
We found that 44% of the world’s cells with water stress data had no threatened freshwater species
but these cells were still included in the analysis
we excluded cells missing nitrogen data across the world’s land
Among the remaining cells with nitrogen data
but again these were retained in the analysis
we organized sites (grid cells) in the species matrix from those with high abiotic values to low abiotic values for ranking cells
We generated five random terrestrial grid cell sequences for constructing the surrogate curves
so we randomly changed the rank order only between those cells that have the same values
Further information on research design is available in the Nature Portfolio Reporting Summary linked to this article
No code was used for the chi-squared tests
Freshwater biodiversity conservation: recent progress and future challenges
Multiple threats imperil freshwater biodiversity in the Anthropocene
A metric for spatially explicit contributions to science-based species targets
The impact of conservation on the status of the world’s vertebrates
IPBES. Global Assessment Report on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services https://doi.org/10.5281/ZENODO.3831673 (IPBES
Global Compact. CEO Water Mandate: corporate water disclosure guidelines — toward a common approach to reporting water issues. CEO Water Mandate https://ceowatermandate.org/disclosure/download/ (2014)
GRI. The global standards for sustainability impacts. Global Reporting https://www.globalreporting.org/standards/ (2024)
United Nations. SDG Indicator 6.4.2 — level of water stress: freshwater withdrawal as a proportion of available freshwater resources. UN https://unstats.un.org/sdgs/indicators/indicators-list/ (2017)
WWF. WWF water risk filter methodology documentation. WWF https://riskfilter.org/water (2023)
Concordance of freshwater and terrestrial biodiversity: freshwater biodiversity concordance
Bending the curve of global freshwater biodiversity loss: an emergency recovery plan
Implications of bias in conservation research and investment for freshwater species: conservation and freshwater species
Shortcuts for biodiversity conservation planning: the effectiveness of surrogates
Two celebrations and the Sustainable Development Goals
Is it a new day for freshwater biodiversity
Reflections on outcomes of the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework
Scientists’ warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis
Global Wetland Outlook: State of the World’s Wetlands and their Services to People (Ramsar Convention Secretariat
Global threats to human water security and river biodiversity
J.) 371–390 (Springer International Publishing
The value of the IUCN Red List for conservation
Birds to Watch: The ICBP World Checklist of Threatened Birds (International Council for Bird Preservation
Status and trends of amphibian declines and extinctions worldwide
1996 IUCN Red List of Threatened Animals (IUCN
Ongoing declines for the world’s amphibians in the face of emerging threats
The status of the world’s land and marine mammals: diversity
State of the World’s Birds 2022: Insights and Solutions for the Biodiversity Crisis (BirdLife International
A global reptile assessment highlights shared conservation needs of tetrapods
The RACE for freshwater biodiversity: essential actions to create the social context for meaningful conservation
Inland fish and fisheries integral to achieving the Sustainable Development Goals
Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework
CBD/COP/15/L.25 (Convention on Biological Diversity
IUCN Red List Categories and Criteria: Version 3.1 2nd edn (IUCN
Freshwater crabs and the biodiversity crisis: importance
Multiple drivers of decline in the global status of freshwater crayfish (Decapoda: Astacidea)
Dead shrimp blues: a global assessment of extinction risk in freshwater shrimps (Crustacea: Decapoda: Caridea)
Monitoring extinction risk and threats of the world’s fishes based on the Sampled Red List Index
Odonata enter the biodiversity crisis debate: the first global assessment of an insect group
The conservation status of the world’s freshwater molluscs
Emerging threats and persistent conservation challenges for freshwater biodiversity
Impacts of current and future large dams on the geographic range connectivity of freshwater fish worldwide
Threats of global warming to the world’s freshwater fishes
A standard approach for including climate change responses in IUCN Red List assessments
Tydecks, L., Ibelings, B. W. & Tockner, K. A global survey of freshwater biological field stations. River Res. Appl. https://doi.org/10.1002/rra.3476 (2019)
Testing a global standard for quantifying species recovery and assessing conservation impact
Knowledge co‐production: a pathway to effective fisheries management
Applied citizen science in freshwater research
The current state of eDNA research in freshwater ecosystems: are we shifting from the developmental phase to standard application in biomonitoring
The role of protected areas for freshwater biodiversity conservation: challenges and opportunities in a rapidly changing world: freshwater protected areas
Integrated terrestrial-freshwater planning doubles conservation of tropical aquatic species
“Two‐eyed seeing”: an Indigenous framework to transform fisheries research and management
A Global Standard for the Identification of Key Biodiversity Areas
Conservation Priorities for Freshwater Biodiversity in the Lake Malawi/Nyasa/Niassa Catchment (IUCN
An Introduction to the IUCN Red List of Ecosystems (IUCN
IUCN Standards and Petitions Committee. Guidelines for using the IUCN Red List categories and criteria. Version 15.1. IUCN https://www.iucnredlist.org/documents/RedListGuidelines.pdf (2022)
IUCN. The IUCN Red List of Threatened Species. Version 2022-2. IUCN https://www.iucnredlist.org (2023)
Paulson, D. et al. World Odonata List. OdonataCentral https://www.odonatacentral.org/app/#/wol/ (2022)
De Grave, S. et al. Benchmarking global biodiversity of decapod crustaceans (Crustacea: Decapoda). J. Crustac. Biol. https://doi.org/10.1093/jcbiol/ruad042 (2023)
IUCN. IUCN–Toyota Partnership. IUCN Red List https://www.iucnredlist.org/about/iucn-toyota (2023)
The role of catchment scale environmental management in freshwater fish conservation
Global river hydrography and network routing: baseline data and new approaches to study the world’s large river systems
The Diversity of Life in African Freshwaters: Underwater
Freshwater Biodiversity in the Lake Victoria Basin: Guidance for Species Conservation
Climate Resilience and Sustainable Livelihoods (IUCN
Starnes, T. & Darwall, W. R. T. Identification and validation of western African freshwater key biodiversity areas. IUCN https://doi.org/10.2305/IUCN.CH.2021.RA.1.en (2021)
New Species 2022: The Freshwater Fish Species Described in 2022 (Report 2) (Shoal
New Species 2021: The Freshwater Fish Species Described in 2021 (Report 1) (Shoal
Undescribed species have higher extinction risk than known species
IUCN. Summary statistics. IUCN Red List https://www.iucnredlist.org/resources/summary-statistics (2023)
Conservation Planning Methods and Software Zonation
User Manual v.4 (C-BIG Conservation Biology Informatics Group
R Core Team. R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing http://www.R-project.org (R Foundation for Statistical Computing
Lehtomaki, J. zonator. R package v.0.6.0, https://github.com/cbig/zonator (2020)
Mapping spatial pattern in biodiversity for regional conservation planning: where to from here
Aqueduct 4.0: Updated Decision-Relevant Global Water Risk Indicators; Technical Note (World Resources Institute
Aqueduct Global Maps 2.1: Constructing Decision-Relevant Global Water Risk Indicators
Quality Unknown: The Invisible Water Crisis (World Bank Group
Randall, J. Randall-HYLA/FW-surrogacy: FW_surrogacy. Zenodo https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.13178145 (2024)
Download references
We thank the IUCN Red List assessors (Supplementary Note 1); N
Vishwanath for their contributions to coordinating the IUCN Red List assessment efforts for freshwater fishes; and J
Hart for assistance in processing the nitrogen data layer for the surrogacy analysis
We acknowledge funding and support for the global assessment efforts for freshwater fishes and odonates from Al-Farabi Kazakh National University; Asian Development Bank; Ashoka Trust for Research in Ecology and the Environment; Auckland Zoo; California Academy of Sciences; Câmara Municipal de Vila do Conde; Center for Species Survival
New Mexico BioPark Society; Comitato Italiano IUCN; Comité Français de l’UICN; Conservation International; Critical Ecosystem Partnership Fund; Department of Fisheries
Malawi; Dirección General de Diversidad Biológica del Ministerio del Ambiente de Perú; Dutch Ministry of Foreign Affairs; Environment Agency Abu Dhabi; European Union; Federazione Italiana dei Parchi e delle Riserve Naturali (Federparchi); Fonds Pacifique; Global Center for Species Survival
Indianapolis Zoo; Instituto Chico Mendes de Conservação da Biodiversidade; Instituto de Investigación de Recursos Biológicos von Humboldt; IBAT; International Institute for Geo-Information Science and Earth Observation; IUCN; IUCN’s Bureau Regional de l’Afrique Centrale et Ouest; IUCN Moroccan National Committee; IUCN National Committee of the Netherlands; IUCN SSC; IUCN Tunisian National Committee; IUCN Water and Nature Initiative; John D
MacArthur Foundation; JRS Biodiversity Foundation; Junta de Andalucia; Lee Kong Chian Natural History Museum
National University of Singapore; Leibniz-Institute of Freshwater Ecology and Inland Fisheries; Mandai Wildlife Group; MAVA Foundation; Ministero dell’Ambiente e della Tutela del Territorio e del Mare; Missouri Botanical Garden
We acknowledge funding for this analysis and manuscript from the Regina Bauer Frankenberg Foundation; the Global Environment Facility (GEF); and the support of the IUCN GEF Project Agency
The views expressed in this publication do not necessarily reflect those of IUCN
The designation of geographical entities in this paper
do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of IUCN concerning the legal status of any country
or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries
IUCN (International Union for Conservation of Nature)
Universidad Autónoma del Estado de Morelos
Oxford University Museum of Natural History
Research Institute for Nature and Forest (INBO)
Institute of Biodiversity and Environmental Conservation
Leibniz Institute for Evolution and Biodiversity Science
Leibniz Institute for Freshwater Ecology and Inland Fisheries
Centre for Sustainable Tropical Fisheries and Aquaculture and College of Science and Engineering
Museum and Art Gallery of the Northern Territory
Durrel Institute for Conservation and Ecology (DICE)
Tashkent Institute of Irrigation and Agricultural Mechanization Engineers National Research University (TIIAME NRU)
Laboratorio de Biodiversidad y Genética Ambiental — UNDAV
Leibniz Institute for Zoo and Wildlife Research
Department of Evolutionary Genetics & Humboldt University Berlin
Thaer-Institute for Agricultural and Horticultural Sciences
Mott MacDonald Environment and Social Division (ENS)
Kerala University of Fisheries and Ocean Studies (KUFOS)
Pontifícia Universidade Católica do Rio Grande do Sul
South African Institute for Aquatic Biodiversity
Tervuren and KU Leuven (Leuven University)
Mindanao State University–Iligan Institute of Technology
conceived the original idea and curated the data
secured the principal funding for the analysis and manuscript
are affiliated with commercial companies (Elimia
but their contributions to this paper were made in a voluntary capacity
The other authors declare no competing interests
Nature thanks Anthony Ricciardi and the other, anonymous, reviewer(s) for their contribution to the peer review of this work. Peer reviewer reports are available
Publisher’s note Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations
Threatened species include those assessed as Critically Endangered
or Vulnerable (including those flagged as Possibly Extinct and Possibly Extinct in the Wild)
Habitats are coded following the IUCN Habitats Classification Scheme (version 3.1) and combined for presentation as follows (value of highest hierarchical level is indicated
all subsequent levels are included): wetlands (5); forest (1); artificial (combined) (14
13); shrubland (3); grassland (4); rocky areas (6); savanna (2); caves & subterranean (7); and desert (8)
The following habitats are not shown: introduced vegetation (16); other (17); and unknown (18)
Number of species: threatened freshwater species n = 4,236; and threatened tetrapods n = 7,108
Values and curves are shown for two alternative conservation strategies: a) maximises rarity-weighted richness
and b) maximises inclusion of the most range-restricted species
See Methods for a full explanation of each strategy
Surrogate effectiveness is measured using the Species Accumulation Index (SAI): values range from −∞ to 1
values between 1 and 0 indicating positive surrogacy
and values less than 0 indicating negative surrogacy
with lower and upper confidence intervals in brackets
Blue lines are the optimal curves (accumulation of target diversity based on target priority areas); red lines are the surrogate curves (accumulation of target diversity based on surrogate priority areas); and grey lines are the random curves (accumulation of target diversity based on random selection of areas)
based on 100 randomisations) are shown in lighter shading around curves; most are too small to be visible
Values and curves are shown for two alternative conservation strategies: 1) maximises rarity-weighted richness
and 2) maximises inclusion of the most range-restricted species
See Methods for a full explanation of each strategies and values of water stress
based on 100 randomisations) shown in lighter shading around curves; most are too small to be visible
This file contains Supplementary Note 1 and Supplementary Table 1
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-024-08375-z
Anyone you share the following link with will be able to read this content:
Sorry, a shareable link is not currently available for this article.
Sign up for the Nature Briefing newsletter — what matters in science, free to your inbox daily.
All official European Union website addresses are in the europa.eu domain.
Nutrient trends in European water bodiesPlease select a resource that has a preview image available
The average nitrate concentration in European groundwater is fluctuating around the same level and there is no clear trend (Figure 1)
but more representative time series starting in 2000 follows the longer one closely
is the main driver for nitrate in groundwater
Status of nitrates in rivers in European countriesLoading chart...Rivers that drain land with intense agriculture or a high population density generally have the highest nitrate concentrations
the largest proportion of river sites with average nitrate concentrations exceeding 5.6mgNO3-N/l (25%) was found in Lithuania
and Switzerland had a high proportion (more than 32%) of sites with concentrations exceeding 3.6mgNO3-N/l
There has been a significant decrease in river nitrate concentrations at 49% of the monitoring sites since 1992
An an increase is shown at 12% of the sites
Germany and Slovakia had the highest proportion of significantly decreasing trends (82-100%)
Spain and Switzerland had similar proportions of significantly increasing and decreasing trends
while Estonia and Lithuania had the highest proportion of significantly increasing trends (44% and 59%
contributing to the pattern seen in the European time series
Other country time series show different patterns
This indicator shows concentrations of phosphate and nitrate in rivers
total phosphorus in lakes and nitrate in groundwater bodies
The indicator can be used to illustrate geographical variations in current nutrient concentrations and temporal trends
Large inputs of nitrogen and phosphorus to water bodies from waste water and agricultural areas can lead to eutrophication
This causes ecological changes that can result in a loss of aquatic biodiversity (reduction in ecological status) and can have negative impacts on the use of water for human consumption and recreation
Annual mean concentrations are used as a basis in the indicator analyses
The aggregation to annual mean concentrations is done by the EEA
unless the country has reported aggregated data only
Automatic quality control procedures are applied both to the disaggregated and aggregated data
excluding data failing the tests from further analysis
focusing on suspicious values having a major impact on the country time series and on the most recently reported data
Such values are removed from the analysis and checked with the country
only complete series after inter/extrapolation are used
This is to ensure that the aggregated time series are consistent
Inter/extrapolation of gaps up to three years are allowed
to increase the number of available time series
At the beginning or end of the data series missing values are replaced by the first or last value of the original data series
The selected time series are aggregated to country and European level by averaging across all sites for each year
Absolute and relative Sen slopes are summarized across Europe and countries by averaging
For the trend analysis the same time series as for the time series analysis are used
Nutrient conditions vary throughout the year depending on
the annual average concentrations should ideally be based on samples collected throughout the year
Using annual averages representing only part of the year introduces some uncertainty
but it also makes it possible to include more sites
which reduces the uncertainty in spatial coverage
the majority of the annual averages represent the whole year
Nitrate concentrations in groundwater originate mainly from anthropogenic activities as a result of agricultural land use
Concentrations in water are the effect of a multidimensional and time-related process
which varies from groundwater body to groundwater body and is less quantified
To properly evaluate the nitrate concentration in groundwater and its development
closely-related parameters such as ammonium and dissolved oxygen should be taken into account
The indicator is meant to give a representative overview of nutrient conditions in European rivers
This means it should reflect the variability in nutrient conditions over space and time
Countries are asked to provide data on rivers
lakes and important groundwater bodies according to specified criteria
The datasets for groundwater and rivers include almost all countries within the EEA
but the time coverage varies from country to country
It is assumed that the data from each country represents the variability in space in their country
it is assumed that the sampling frequency is sufficiently high to reflect variability in time
the representativeness will vary between countries
Each annual update of the indicator is based on the updated set of monitoring sites
This also means that due to changes in the database
including changes in the QC procedure that excludes or re-includes individual sites or samples and retroactive reporting of data for the past periods
which may re-introduce lost time series that were not used in the recent indicator assessments
the derived results of the assessment vary in comparison to previous assessments
Waterbase contains a large amount of data collected over many years
Ensuring the quality of the data has always been a high priority
suspicious values or time series are sometimes detected and the automatic QC routines exclude some of the data
Through the communication with the reporting countries
the quality of the database can be further improved
Using annual average values provides an overview of general trends and geographical patterns in line with the aim of the indicator
The concentration of nitrate is expressed as milligrams of nitrate per litre (mgNO3/l) for groundwater and milligrams of nitrate-nitrogen per litre (mgNO3-N/l) for rivers
The concentration of phosphate in rivers is expressed as milligrams of phosphate-phosphorus per litre (mgPO4-P/l) and total phosphorus in lakes is expressed as milligrams of phosphorus per litre (mgP/l)
The river sites are assigned to different concentration classes to visualise the distribution (percentage) of data in the dataset
At first, the satellite image of Lake Titicaca
which sits high in the Andes Mountains on the border between Bolivia and Peru
yellows and greens along its coastlines.
The colours graphically represent pollution – much of it raw sewage and farm runoff – flowing into the lake from surrounding communities.
The satellite image is part of the Freshwater Ecosystems Explorer
a groundbreaking data platform developed by the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) and partners that shows the health of millions of lakes
The online site is designed to shine a spotlight on the state of the planet’s freshwater ecosystems and the reserves they hold
which experts say are under mounting pressure from climate change
pollution and a host of other threats.
“Fresh water is fundamental to life on this planet and the website is enabling access to what is vital information,” said Sinikinesh Jimma
head of UNEP’s Marine and Freshwater Branch
“The more people know about the state of their local freshwater bodies
the more they can do to protect and restore them.”
Jimma made the comments just ahead of World Water Day
which falls on March 22 and is designed to raise awareness about the importance of better managing freshwater resources
the day will focus on the preservation of glaciers
which are in retreat in many places around the world.
Want to check out the health of a lake, river or aquifer near you? You can begin with a quick introduction to the Freshwater Ecosystems Explorer, which draws on data from a range of sources, including satellites. Once you’re ready, you can dive into the explorer proper
where you’ll find detailed information on the extent and state of freshwater bodies around the world.
Many of those challenges have been laid bare by the Freshwater Ecosystems Explorer
which charts any body of water on the Earth’s surface larger than 30 metres by 30 metres
It offers what experts call an unprecedented level of detail
tracking not only pollution but also the size of freshwater bodies
some over the course of decades.
It shows, for example, how years of drought led to the near-calamitous shrinking of South Africa’s reservoir Theewaterskloof Dam, which supplies the city of Cape Town with drinking water. It also reveals how a surge in rainfall in the United Kingdom and Northern Ireland
"The explorer highlights how robust data can help countries manage their freshwater resources in a more holistic
“That is crucial to safeguarding this most precious of resources for generations to come.”
Not all news was bad, though. The explorer has charted the rebound of several bodies of water, including Iran’s Lake Urmia where an effort to unblock its feeder rivers have caused water levels to rise in a lake once thought near dead.
That was part of a larger trend that has seen countries revive many freshwater bodies, including some of the world’s most-polluted urban rivers.
Restoring freshwater ecosystems and other inland water bodies is a key aim of the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework
a landmark 2022 agreement to halt and reverse the decline of the natural world.
The Freshwater Ecosystems Explorer was developed by UNEP
the European Commission Joint Research Centre and Google
The Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework
The planet is experiencing a dangerous decline in nature. One million species are threatened with extinction, soil health is declining and water sources are drying up. The Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework sets out global targets to halt and reverse nature loss by 2030
It was adopted by world leaders in December 2022
To address the drivers of the nature crisis
UNEP is working with partners to take action in landscapes and seascapes
Editor's note: The story was updated on 19 March 2025 to reflect accurately the name of the reservoir supplying Cape Town with water.
Area and population affected during at least one quarter of the year by water scarcity conditions in the EU
measured by the water exploitation index plusPlease select a resource that has a preview image available
Freshwater resources are essential for human health, nature and the functioning of economies and societies. However, across the EU, these resources are threatened by multiple pressures. To address this, the Water framework directive requires Member States to promote the sustainable use and the long-term protection of available water resources
The Water exploitation index plus (WEI+) measures water consumption as a percentage of renewable freshwater resources at river basin or subunit levels
This detailed approach reveals local water scarcity conditions that broader annual WEI estimates at European or country levels may not reveal
WEI+ values above 20% indicate that water resources are under stress and therefore water scarcity conditions prevail
while values above 40% signal water stress is severe
and the level of freshwater use may be unsustainable
Figure 1 shows the percentage of EU territory and population affected in at least one of the four quarters of the year by water scarcity conditions (Seasonal WEI+ above 20%)
about 30% of the EU territory and 34% of the population are affected each year
water scarcity conditions affected 34% of the population and 40% of the EU land area
Climate change is expected to intensify seasonal fluctuations of freshwater availability in Europe. Drought events are also likely to further increase in frequency, intensity, and impact. Given these factors and a worsening trend since 2010, a reduction in water scarcity by 2030 appears unlikely (Figure 1).
Worst seasonal water scarcity conditions for European countries in 2022
measured by the water exploitation index plus (WEI+)Please select a resource that has a preview image available
Cyprus and Malta faced the most significant water scarcity conditions of the EU Member States on the seasonal scale (seasonal WEI+ >40%)
Spain and Romania experienced water scarcity particularly during spring and summer
Malta is experiencing the permanent water scarcity conditions partly due to its natural hydro-climatic conditions
Türkiye is the most severely challenged (Figure 2)
water scarcity conditions intensify between April and September in most countries
This is caused by a combination of dry weather
reduced flows and increased abstractions for irrigated agriculture
and other socio-economic activities during these periods
Certain river sub-basins were affected by seasonal water scarcity in 2022. Belgium, Bulgaria, Cyprus, Denmark, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Lithuania, Malta, Netherland, Portugal, Romania, Spain and Slovakia (seasonal WEI+ >20%; see detailed information on seasonal WEI+ at Subunit scale) were all effected
The WEI+ provides a measure of total water consumption as a percentage of the renewable freshwater resources available for a given territory and period
The difference between water abstractions and the water returned to the environment by economic sectors before or after use is referred to as 'water consumption’
The WEI+ is an advanced geo-referenced version of the WEI
endorsed by the Water Directors in 2012 as part of the overall indicator set for water scarcity and drought
a technical working group established under the Water Framework Directive's Common Implementation Strategy proposed the implementation of a regional ‘WEI+’
This would use two different optional formulas based on the landscape conditions of river basins
no human intervention or human intervention with hydrological cycle
The regional WEI+ is calculated according to the following formula:
WEI+=(abstractions-returns)/renewable freshwater resources
Renewable freshwater resources are calculated as ‘ExIn+P-Eta±ΔS’ for natural and semi-natural areas (free of human intervention)
and as ‘OUTFL+(abstraction-return)±ΔS’ for densely populated areas
ΔS=change in water storage (lakes and reservoirs)
Change water storage in lakes and reservoirs is computed as ΔS =(P+INFL)-(Eta+OUTFL)
INFL=Inflow in lakes and reservoir from upstream area
For further clarification on the methodological implementation together with the data sources, see the WAT001_Conceptual model of WEI+ computation.pdf
The WEI+ results are classified into 10% intervals for mapping purposes, ranking between 0 and 40, with a 20% WEI threshold is used to estimate the area and population affected by water scarcity at subunit scale for the EU-27. It is important to note that there is no formally agreed-upon threshold for identifying areas experiencing water scarcity in the EU.
Following the computation and classification of the WEI values, bar and pie charts are produced, together with static and dynamic maps to illustrate the extension of the WEI values over Europe.
Climate data and streamflow data have been integrated from Waterbase — Water Quantity database, Eurostat database (env_wat_res and env_watres_rbd) with the gap filling from the Joint Research Centre (JRC) Lisflood model. The JRC Lisflood data cover hydro-climatic variables for Europe in a homogeneous way for the years 2000-2022 on a monthly scale.
Once the data series are complete, changes in water storage (ΔS) and outflow are computed for each spatial scale, including WFD subunit, river basin district, country level for Eionet Member countries, and EU-27 level.
The primary data source for observed variables of the WEI formula is WISE SoE Water Quantity, which are reported annually by Eionet member countries at various spatial and temporal scales. Additionally, Eurostat data on annual water resources and abstraction is included in the indicator's computation.
If data is missing at the subunit scale but available at the country level, annual country-level data is disaggregated to the catchment scale of Ecrins to ensure a homogeneous monthly baseline, while reported data on monthly resolution from the subunit or river basin scale is included directly in the computation of the WEI+.
The purpose of developing the WAT001 indicator is to provide a European overview of seasonal water scarcity in river basins. However, gaps in the database significantly hinder this objective, as WISE SoE and Eurostat datasets show large gaps in both temporal and spatial coverage across Europe. To address these gaps, both water abstraction and renewable water resources components are supplemented with gap-filling methods.
If the reported data is not available for renewable water resources, Copernicus data (Lisflood-JRC) is used to compute total outflow at the subunit, river basin, or country level, and to estimate changes in water storage of lakes and reservoirs.
Machine learning has recently been used to fill gaps in water abstraction data for agriculture. For industry, cooling water, and public water supply, gap filling follows the statistical method outlined in the Eurostat EDAMIS report.
The details of the gap filling methods per indicator variable can be seen in WAT001_Conceptual model of WEI+ computation_10 10 2024.pdf
Monitoring data on lakes and reservoirs are incomplete. Using the modelled data may mask the actual volume of water stored in, and water flow in and out from reservoirs. Thus, the impact of the residence time, between water storage and use is unknown.
Water returns are largely based on return coefficients, which are estimated using various surrogate data. Furthermore, the return coefficients could not be estimated at finer spatial scales than the country. This creates uncertainty in the quantification and distribution of water returns from economic sectors, thus also leading to uncertainty with regard to the ‘water consumption component.
Due to inconsistencies in the data for OUTFL and ΔS, the change in water storage variable could not be included in the WEI+ computation for some subunits and RBDs e.g. Romania. Subunits and River Basin Districts (RBDs) where ΔS is excluded are marked as 'changeInWaterStorageNOTINCLUDED' in the final dataset.
There is a significant break in the time series of water abstraction data for Kosovo, which causes spikes in the Water Exploitation Index (WEI) values for this country.
Spatial data for subunits and river basins are not available for Türkiye and the Western Balkan countries. Therefore, the WEI+ could only be computed at the country level for these Eionet countries.
Countries may report historical data during the current reporting period to WISE SoE or Eurostat. In such cases, previously gap-filled data are replaced with the reported data, which may change the country-specific or European-level overview. As a result, some differences may appear in parts of the indicator assessment.
Due to the aggregation procedure used, slight differences exist in some cases between subunit, river basin district, and country levels for total renewable water resources and water use.
Justification for indicator selection
The EU’s new circular economy action plan explicitly addresses water stress and contains provisions for improving resource efficiency in the context of water resource management.
The new Water Reuse Regulation, aims at enhancing the use of reclaimed water in agriculture by setting out minimum requirements for water reuse. The replacement of freshwater abstractions with reclaimed water may decrease the pressure to surface water and groundwater.
The Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) promotes sustainable farming that ensures affordable, safe, and high-quality food, while protecting natural resources, enhancing biodiversity, and supporting rural communities. It also supports investments in water conservation, irrigation upgrades, and farmer training.
The European Green Deal aims to decouple economic growth from resource use by promoting a clean, circular economy with reduced environmental impact, while the Farm to Fork Strategy, as part of the Green Deal, targets sustainable food systems, where clean and sufficient water is an essential natural resource.
The new Climate Adaptation Strategy focuses on faster and more systemic climate adaptation and international cooperation for climate resilience. One of its main objectives is to support the reduction of water use and by promoting the wider use of drought management plans as well as sustainable soil management and land-use.
The recast Drinking Water Directive requires the assessment of the current level of leakages in water infrastructure and the implementation of measures for their reduction. The requirement covers at least water suppliers supplying more than 10 000 m3 per day or serving more than 50 000 people.
The EU Biodiversity Strategy for 2030 aims at restoring freshwater ecosystems (“at least 25,000 km of free-flowing rivers"). In this regard, the EU Biodiversity Strategy emphasises the WFD requirement to review water abstraction and impoundment permits to implement ecological flows and achieve good status or potential of all surface waters and good status of all groundwater by 2027 at the latest.
There are no specific quantitative targets directly related to this indicator. However, the Water Framework Directive (Directive 2000/60/EC) requires Member States to promote the sustainable use of water resources based on the long-term protection of available water resources, and to ensure a balance between abstraction and the recharge of groundwater, with the aim of achieving good groundwater status and good ecological status or potential for surface waters.
WEI+ values are given as percentages, i.e. water use as a percentage of renewable water resources.
Share of total annual water abstraction by source in the 27 EU Member States
2000-2022Please select a resource that has a preview image available
Freshwater plays an important role in European societies and economies, meeting demands for drinking, food, energy, industry, transport, and ecosystems. It is essential for human consumption, energy, agriculture, industry, transport, and ecosystems. The EU Water Framework Directive (WFD) aims to promote sustainable water use
prevent further deterioration of water resources
and protect and enhance the status of aquatic ecosystems
Freshwater demand in the 27 EU Member States (EU-27) is met largely by abstraction from surface waters (rivers, reservoirs, and lakes) and groundwater. Monitoring changes in water abstraction from these resources is key to tracking progress towards meeting the objectives of the WFD and the European Green Deal
Total freshwater abstraction per year in the EU-27 decreased by 19%
from 242,000 million m³ in 2000 to 197,000 million m³ in 2022
the relative contributions of surface and groundwater have changed
Surface water accounted for 80% of abstraction and groundwater for 20% in 2000
while surface water accounted for only 74% and groundwater for 26% in 2022
The increase in water abstraction from groundwater can largely be attributed to increasing demand in public water supply (18%) across Europe and in the agriculture sector (17%)
Groundwater accounted for 62% of the total public water supply and 33% of agricultural water demands during 2022 in the EU-27
Furthermore, seasonal variability in surface water availability is changing. Due to climate change, the availability of surface water in the spring and summer months has been reduced. This is when agricultural demand is the highest, particularly in southern Europe, and increases the pressure on the more stable groundwater
Notable achievements have been made in decreasing overall water abstraction in the EU in the last 23 years. However, further measures are required to enhance water resource use and adapt to climate change. This will assist the EU in becoming more resilient to uncertainties in water availability while also meeting the overall objectives of the WFD and the European Green Deal
Explore water abstraction by source at the country level.
Water abstraction by economic sector in the 27 EU Member States
Abstraction for cooling in electricity generation remained the largest contributor in the EU-27 to total annual water abstraction (34%) in 2022
This is followed by abstraction for agriculture (29%)
public water supply (21%) and manufacturing (15%)
Construction and mining and quarrying each accounted for only 1% of total abstraction
while abstraction declined in some sectors
it increased in public water supply (+10%) and construction (+2%)
and agriculture (+3%) have also shown an increasing trend
Explore water abstraction by economic sector at the country level
This indicator monitors water abstraction from groundwater and surface water overall
as well as for specific economic sectors: cooling in electricity generation
Water abstraction is presented as million m³ of water abstracted by economic sector from surface water and groundwater
Economic sectors are defined in line with NACE (Statistical Classification of Economic Activities in the European Communities) sections:
It takes into account the gross volume of water abstracted
and excludes water returns from the economy back to the environment
The purpose of the EU Water Framework Directive (2000/60/EC) is — inter alia — to promote sustainable water use based on the long-term protection of available water resources
The EU’s new circular economy action plan explicitly addresses water stress and contains provisions for improving resource efficiency in the context of water resource management
The new Water Reuse Regulation aims at enhancing the use of reclaimed water in agriculture by setting out minimum requirements for water reuse
The replacement of freshwater abstractions with reclaimed water may decrease the pressure to surface water and groundwater
caution is needed regarding the impacts of water reuse on ecological flows
as treated outflows of urban wastewater treatment plants can be a significant share of the existing river flow
The common agricultural policy (CAP) aims to achieve the production of affordable
safe and good-quality food by implementing environmentally sustainable farming that protects natural resources and landscapes
addresses climate change risks and stimulates the growth of rural communities and economies
the CAP supports investments in water conservation
upgrading irrigation infrastructure and training farmers to improve irrigation techniques
This indicator provides information to support the Common Monitoring and Evaluation Framework (CMEF) for CAP implementation
which was established by the European Commission
The CMEF includes different sets of indicators on a range of agricultural issues
such as a set of impact indicators measuring the impact of policy interventions
the European Green Deal sets out the European Commission’s focus on decoupling economic growth from resource use
where resources are used more efficiently and the pressures on the environment are decreased
which focuses on making food systems more sustainable
is an integral part of the European Green Deal
The new Climate Adaptation Strategy focuses on faster and more systemic climate adaptation and international cooperation for climate resilience
One of its main objectives is to support the reduction of water use by raising the water-saving requirements for products
and by promoting the wider use of drought management plans as well as sustainable soil management and land use
The recast Drinking Water Directive requires the assessment of the current level of leakages in water infrastructure and the implementation of measures for their reduction
The requirement covers at least water suppliers supplying more than 10,000 m³ per day or serving more than 50 000 people
The EU Biodiversity Strategy for 2030 aims at restoring freshwater ecosystems (“at least 25,000 km of free-flowing rivers")
the EU Biodiversity Strategy emphasises the WFD requirement to review water abstraction and impoundment permits to implement ecological flows
and achieve good status or potential of all surface waters and good status of all groundwater by 2027 at the latest
The following uncertainties are related to the data sets used for the indicator:
· The reported volumes of water abstracted do not account for unauthorised or unregistered self-abstraction
Slovenia) do not report abstraction for agricultural activities other than irrigated crop production (e.g
Poland) use dual irrigation/drainage systems (i.e
drainage during wet seasons and submerged irrigation in dry seasons by raising water tables in rivers or groundwater)
It is not clear if the reported agricultural abstraction volumes account for these practices
· Water abstraction for public water supply is associated with high degrees of uncertainty
particularly in tourism hotspot destinations
because of double counting arising from water also being used by tourists at their origins
· Gap filling the data on water abstraction for agriculture
electricity cooling and manufacturing had to be performed because of large gaps in the database for those variables that are associated with high degrees of uncertainty
the data used in this indicator assessment may largely deviate from the national data that countries collect
See the additional clarification on the data gap filling methods
Water abstraction by sector is given as millions of cubic meters (million m3) and water abstraction from surface water and groundwater as percentage
Metrics details
Consumption behaviours exert pressure on water resources both locally and globally through interconnected supply chains
hindering the achievement of Sustainable Development Goals 6 (Clean water and sanitation) and 12 (Responsible consumption and production)
it is challenging to link hotspots of water depletion across spatial scales to final consumption while reflecting intersectoral competition for water
we estimated the global exceedance of regional freshwater boundaries (RFBs) due to human water withdrawal at a 5-arcmin grid scale using 2015 data
enabling the identification of hotspots across different spatial scales
we used average estimates from 15 global hydrological models and 5 environmental flow requirement methods
We further attributed the hotspots of exceedance to final consumption across 245 economies and 134 sectors via the multi-region input–output model EMERGING
Our refined framework revealed previously unknown connections between regional hotspots and consumption through international trade
we found that 24% of grid-level RFB exceedance (718 km3 yr−1; 95% confidence interval of 659–776 km3 yr−1) was outsourced through trade
with the largest flows (52 km3 yr−1; 95% confidence interval of 47–56 km3 yr−1) from water-stressed South and Central Asia to arid West Asia
The demand for cereals and other agricultural products dominated global consumption-based RFB exceedance (29%)
while the exports of textiles and machinery and equipment exacerbated territorial exceedance in manufacturing hubs within emerging economies
Our methodology facilitates the tracing of global hotspots of water scarcity along supply chains and the assignment of responsibilities at finer scales
the introduction of uncertainties through the use of a single hydrological model for RFB estimation
the neglect of seasonal variations in EFR estimates or a focus only on agricultural products when assessing the impact of consumption on RFB exceedance
we linked the consumption of various goods and services in one country to specific areas such as cities
river basins and nations where RFBs are exceeded
providing a comprehensive assessment of the impact of consumption on freshwater systems across different spatial levels
Such insights can facilitate the tracing of global water depletion hotspots along the supply chain and the assignment of responsibilities at finer scales
Global RFB exceedance in 2015 at a 5-arcmin grid scale
The colour map is shown on the log10 scale
Note that the figure includes only those economies with populations over 1 million
The colour code at the bottom of the figure applies to c only
a,b, Intersector flows of global RFB exceedance from production to consumption (a) and global RFB exceedance flows embodied in trade by region (b) in 2015. Labels S1–S17 are defined in the legend in Fig. 2
The largest exceedance flows occurred from water-stressed South and Central Asia for the production of exports to arid West Asia
Myanmar and Turkey embodied RFB exceedances of 6.3
East Asia and North America are mutual primary trade partners
Sino–American trade was almost balanced in terms of net exceedance: China caused 24.3 km3 of exceedance in the United States through imports
whereas the United States caused 25.0 km3 of exceedance in China
This indicates that emerging economies dominate the net exporters (with the exception of Spain)
whereas developed economies dominate net importers of RFB exceedances
For water-scarce countries heavily reliant on imports
it is crucial to consider the freshwater boundary of the supplying countries when implementing virtual water import strategies
This would help to avoid exacerbating RFB exceedance elsewhere and reduce the risk of introducing food and water crises through imports
Adopting these strategies holds promise for mitigating human impacts on freshwater systems
thereby contributing to the achievement of SDGs 6 and 12
we did not consider the impact of human interactions
such as water diversion projects or water storage
the RFB exceedance was evaluated for only one year
without accounting for temporal variations or the potential impacts of future climate change
The GWS for grid cell k (GWSk) is calculated as follows:
where RFBk is the freshwater boundary of grid cell k on an annual scale and wwk is the annual water withdrawal
A negative value indicates RFB exceedance and a positive value indicates withdrawal within the RFB
As only exceedance was considered in this study
the GWS for was counted as 0 for positive values
We calculated RFBs using a bottom-up approach
allocating different proportions of mean monthly flows (MMFs) to meet EFRs in different flow seasons
This estimation starts at a grid cell (5 arcmin) scale and can be aggregated to obtain freshwater boundaries at different spatial scales (basin
which shows that the ensemble mean approach helps to reduce model uncertainties compared with the use of a single model
the total national water withdrawal in country r includes household water withdrawal \({{{\rm{ww}}}}_{{r}}^{{\rm{H}}}\) and water withdrawal for economic sectors i
where \({\sum }_{k}{{\rm{ww}}}_{k\in r}\) is the water withdrawal in country r aggregated by water withdrawal of grid cell k belonging to country r and Rhw,r is the proportion of household water withdrawal in country r
where \({{{\rm{ww}}}}_{r}^{{{\rm{ai}}}}\) is the water withdrawal of agriculture-related sectors ai in country r; \({{{\rm{ww}}}}_{r}^{{\rm{a}}}\) is the national total water withdrawal of irrigation/livestock
\({{{\rm{wi}}}}_{r}^{{{\rm{ai}}}}\) is the blue water footprint intensity of crop products/farm animals and \({p}_{r}^{{{\rm{ai}}}}\) is the total production for 204 agricultural and 206 animal products in country r
Then we multiplied the water withdrawal intensity and output value of the corresponding sectors of EMERGING to obtain the raw water withdrawal volume of the 80 sectors and constrained sectoral water withdrawal by the grid-scale total national water withdrawal volume for manufacturing and electricity:
where \({{{\rm{wi}}}}_{{r}{{\rm{EXIOBASE}}}}^{{{\rm{mi}}}}\) is the water withdrawal intensity of manufacturing-related sectors mi in country r; \({w}_{{r}{{\rm{EXIOBASE}}}}^{{{\rm{mi}}}}\) is the water withdrawal of sectors mi in country r
\({x}_{{r}{{\rm{EXIOBASE}}}}^{{{\rm{mi}}}}\) is the output of sectors mi from EXIOBASE 3 in country r
\({{{\rm{ww}}}}_{r}^{{{\rm{mi}}}}\) is the water withdrawal of manufacturing-related sectors mi in country r; \({{{\rm{ww}}}}_{r}^{{\rm{m}}}\) is the national total water withdrawal of manufacturing/electricity and \({x}_{{r{\rm{EMERGING}}}}^{{{\rm{mi}}}}\) is the output value of the corresponding sectors from EMERGING in country r
the raw national water withdrawal of service sectors was constrained by the sectoral water withdrawal by the grid-scale total national water withdrawal volume for the domestic sector:
where \({{{\rm{wi}}}}_{{r}{{\rm{EXIOBASE}}}}^{{{\rm{si}}}}\) is the water withdrawal intensity of service-related sectors si in country r; \({w}_{{r}{{\rm{EXIOBASE}}}}^{{{\rm{si}}}}\) is the water withdrawal of sectors si in country r
\({x}_{{r}{{\rm{EXIOBASE}}}}^{{{\rm{si}}}}\) is the output of sectors si from EXIOBASE 3 in country r
\({{{\rm{ww}}}}_{r}^{{{\rm{si}}}}\) is the water withdrawal of service-related sectors si in country r; \({{{\rm{ww}}}}_{r}^{{\rm{D}}}\) is the national total water withdrawal of the domestic sector
URr is the urbanization rate of country r; \({{{\rm{wi}}}}_{{r}{{\rm{EXIOBASE}}}}^{{{\rm{si}}}}\) is the water withdrawal intensity calculated by EXIOBASE 3 and \({x}_{{r}{{\rm{EMERGING}}}}^{{{\rm{si}}}}\) is the output value of the corresponding sectors from EMERGING in country r
To construct the RFB exceedance inventory, we allocated the grid-scale exceedance values to 8 main economic sectors, aggregated the grid-scale sectoral exceedances to the national scale and expanded the initial 8 sectors into 134 subsectors and household (Supplementary Fig. 9)
which provides global irrigated water withdrawal for major crops at 5-arcmin resolution for 2015
The RFB exceedances for the eight main sectors gi in grid cell k
where \({{{\rm{ww}}}}_{k}^{{{\rm{gi}}}}\) is the water withdrawal of one of the eight main sectors gi in the exceeding grid cell k
edible fruits and electricity align directly with the economic sectors in the EMERGING MRIO model
These four sectors together account for 88% of global RFB exceedance
maximally preserving the grid-scale characteristics of RFB exceedance
where \(\hat{{d}_{r}}={{{\rm{GWS}}}}_{r}/{x}_{r}\) is the RFB exceedance intensity in diagonal matrix form representing the RFB exceedance of each sector per unit of output in country r; GWSr is the RFB exceedance of country r by sector (that is
the RFB exceedance inventory estimated in the above section)
which is aggregated from the grid-scale RFB exceedance
(I − Arr)−1 is the Leontief inverse matrix
where I is the unit matrix and Arr is the technical coefficient matrix
\({\hat{y}}_{r}\,\) is the final consumption of country r and \({\hat{e}}_{{rs}}\) is the export of the final products from country r to other countries
The worldwide exceedance due to the consumption of sector i by country s
includes exceedances caused by the domestic production for domestic consumption of product i
and exceedances caused by foreign production to meet the consumption of country s
includes exceedances caused by household water withdrawal
and to meet the final consumption towards product i
Further information on research design is available in the Nature Portfolio Reporting Summary linked to this article
Environmental and social footprints of international trade
Blue water footprint linked to national consumption and international trade is unsustainable
Regional carrying capacities of freshwater consumption—current pressure and its sources
Groundwater depletion embedded in international food trade
Burden shifting of water quantity and quality stress from megacity Shanghai
Global impacts of energy demand on the freshwater resources of nations
Global unsustainable virtual water flows in agricultural trade
Zhao, X. et al. Revealing trade potential for reversing regional freshwater boundary exceedance. Environ. Sci. Technol. https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.3c01699 (2023)
Spatial analysis connects excess water pollution discharge
Four billion people facing severe water scarcity
Spatially explicit assessment of water embodied in European trade: a product-level multi-regional input-output analysis
International trade of global scarce water use in agriculture: modeling on watershed level with monthly resolution
Planetary boundaries: guiding human development on a changing planet
The role of planetary boundaries in assessing absolute environmental sustainability across scales
Earth beyond six of nine planetary boundaries
Notable shifts beyond pre-industrial streamflow and soil moisture conditions transgress the planetary boundary for freshwater change
The water planetary boundary: interrogation and revision
Keeping the global consumption within the planetary boundaries
Global assessment of water challenges under uncertainty in water scarcity projections
How evaluation of global hydrological models can help to improve credibility of river discharge projections under climate change
An ensemble approach to assess hydrological models’ contribution to uncertainties in the analysis of climate change impact on water resources
Accounting for environmental flow requirements in global water assessments
Globally widespread and increasing violations of environmental flow envelopes
Environmental flow requirements largely reshape global surface water scarcity assessment
Tracing distant environmental impacts of agricultural products from a consumer perspective
Comparison of bottom-up and top-down approaches to calculating the water footprints of nations
Comparing apples and oranges: some confusion about using and interpreting physical trade matrices versus multi-regional input–output analysis
Local Consumption and Global Environmental Impacts: Accounting
Assessing regional virtual water flows and water footprints in the Yellow River Basin
Economic and societal changes in China and their effects on water use: a scenario analysis
Domestic and industrial water uses of the past 60 years as a mirror of socio-economic development: a global simulation study
near real-time multi-regional input–output table for the global emerging economies (EMERGING)
World Food and Agriculture—FAO Statistical Yearbook 2021 (Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations
World Agricultural Production (US Department of Agriculture
Impact of the Russia–Ukraine armed conflict on water resources and water infrastructure
Relocating labour-intensive manufacturing firms from China to Southeast Asia: a preliminary investigation
and industrial upgrading: automotive sectors in Malaysia
The United Nations World Water Development Report 2018: Nature-Based Solutions for Water (UNESCO
Water footprint of cities: a review and suggestions for future research
The asymmetric impacts of international agricultural trade on water use scarcity
Groundwater depletion and sustainability of irrigation in the US High Plains and Central Valley
Does water efficiency reduce water consumption
Water Resources Management and Protection in China (Ministry of Water Resources, People’s Republic of China, 2015); http://www.mwr.gov.cn/english/mainsubjects/201604/P020160406507020464665.pdf
Future global urban water scarcity and potential solutions
Beyond technology transfer: innovation cooperation to advance sustainable development in developing countries
Incentive coordination for transboundary water pollution control: the case of the middle route of China’s South-North water Transfer Project
Integrating the water planetary boundary with water management from local to global scales
The Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISI–MIP): project framework
Kim, H. Global Soil Wetness Project Phase 3 Atmospheric Boundary Conditions (Experiment 1) (Data Integration and Analysis System, accessed 20 June 2020); https://doi.org/10.20783/DIAS.501
Water consumption and biodiversity: responses to global emergency events
Water competition between cities and agriculture driven by climate change and urban growth
Global estimates of water withdrawals and availability under current and future ‘business-as-usual’ conditions
FAOSTAT—Prodstat (Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, accessed 25 February 2016); http://faostat.fao.org/site/567/DesktopDefault.aspx#ancor
A global assessment of the water footprint of farm animal products
blue and grey water footprint of crops and derived crop products
EXIOBASE 3: developing a time series of detailed environmentally extended multi-regional input-output tables
GNI per capita, Atlas method. World Bank http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GNP.PCAP.CD (2023)
Explaining virtual water trade: a spatial-temporal analysis of the comparative advantage of land
The Analysis of Water Footprint Changes and Driving Mechanism in Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei
Water footprints and crop water use of 175 individual crops for 1990–2019 simulated with a global crop model
Huo, J. et al. Tracking grid-level freshwater boundary exceedance along global supply chains from consumption to impact. Zenodo https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.14843563 (2025)
Download references
This work was supported by the National Key R&D Program of China (2023YFE0113000
the National Natural Science Foundation of China (72074136
the Major Grant in National Social Sciences of China (23VRC037
the Taishan Scholar Youth Expert Program of Shandong Province (NO
the China Scholarship Council PhD programme (S.H.) and the Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region
These authors contributed equally: Siyu Hou
Energy and Sustainability Research Institute Groningen (ESRIG)
Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modeling
Department of Agricultural Economics and Management
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)
Birmingham Institute for Sustainability and Climate Action
Institute of Engineering Hydrology and Water Resources Management
The Bartlett School of Sustainable Construction
supervised and coordinated the overall research; all authors participated in the writing and revision of the paper
The authors declare no competing interests
Nature Water thanks the anonymous reviewers for their contribution to the peer review of this work
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s44221-025-00420-z
a shareable link is not currently available for this article
Sign up for the Nature Briefing: Anthropocene newsletter — what matters in anthropocene research
For best viewing experience of this website
Please enter a place name in the search bar
your friends and family safe at the beach with links to Royal National Lifeboat Institution (RNLI) and Met Office advice
Enjoy the beach but be aware that the wind may affect your control of direction
• Beginner paddleboarders/kayakers should go on the water with an instructor or a more experienced person
Tide times and heights are from Stackpole Quay tidal station which is 2.6 miles away. So times may be different at this beach. What does this mean?
Contains ADMIRALTY® tidal data: © Crown Copyright and database right
After provisionally the warmest May Day on record in the UK
higher than average temperatures will subside over the weekend
High pressure brings further fine and settled weather this week
Patchy cloud clears this evening leaving a settled evening with some late sunshine
Rather chilly beneath clear skies overnight with a frost developing in places and with light winds
With light winds and plenty of strong sunshine it will begin to feel quite warm
The remainder of the week will see high pressure dominating
Dry across the vast majority of the UK with clear or sunny spells but also some patchy cloud
Cloud will likely thicken across the far north and northwest during the weekend with some outbreaks of rain for a time
There is also a small risk of some heavy showers in the far south or southwest
high pressure will be dominant across the UK
This will bring predominantly fine and dry weather for the majority of places
Temperatures are likely to be slightly above normal for the time of year
although there is a chance of some cold nights
Fairly typical weather for the time of year is most likely through this period
fine and dry weather is more likely to dominate although this will be interspersed with occasional spells of rain and showers
with a risk of heavy rain and thunderstorms in places
temperatures will most likely be near to or slightly above average
Essential digital access to quality FT journalism on any device
Complete digital access to quality FT journalism with expert analysis from industry leaders
Complete digital access to quality analysis and expert insights
complemented with our award-winning Weekend Print edition
Terms & Conditions apply
Discover all the plans currently available in your country
See why over a million readers pay to read the Financial Times
own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article
and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment
University of Waterloo provides funding as a founding partner of The Conversation CA
University of Waterloo provides funding as a member of The Conversation CA-FR
View all partners
along a river or on a bay for some much-needed rest and relaxation
while for others it’s a time to cruise the lake or enjoy the thrill of water-skiing
Over the last decade, there’s been a strong growth in the sale of new and pre-owned motorboats, and in particular, wake boats that are designed to generate large wakes
While recreational boating is a multi-billion-dollar industry in Canada
and enjoyed by many — including me — there has been increasing concern among cottage owners and other advocacy groups about the impact of the wakes generated by these boats
There is increasing evidence that boat wakes erode the shoreline, disrupt aquatic ecosystems, degrade water quality and pose a safety hazard to those at the shoreline or also on the water
In Ontario’s cottage country, boat wakes represent a significant portion of total wave energy
Except for lakes where motorboats are restricted, the energy generated by wakes is greater than the energy of the waves generated by winds. The exact amount depends on the size, shape and depth of the body of water, but recent research I conducted with colleagues suggests wakes can account for up to 90 per cent of the total wave energy in small lakes with widths up to five kilometres
The water is more murky than ever before and the constant large waves makes it unsafe for my kids to swim at times.”
Wakes not only represent an increase in the number of waves
but they are also responsible for waves of greater height and energy
particularly those generated by wake boats
the greater the wake energy at the shoreline
lake arms and in bays due to the types and frequency of boating in those areas
There is limited impact along rocky shorelines
but change can occur where the shorelines are muddy or sandy and the water is shallow
Just like large storm waves, wakes can erode the shoreline and uproot and undermine shoreline vegetation. The resuspension of bottom sediment and organic material can also degrade water quality and clarity, leading to the development of algae blooms and hypoxia and the dispersion of contaminants
“We have boats that are enhanced for sale surfing and our lake is not wide enough or deep enough to handle the energy generated by the wakes that are produced by these boats
We have parts of our lake that are less than 20 metres wide and less than eigth feet deep
and these boats are generating cut-outs on the bottom of the lake bed
which of course stirs up silt from the floor bed and harms water clarity.” A cottager on Fairy Lake
The turbulence can also disturb loon nests and fish spawning in shallow water by destroying nests, washing away eggs and displacing juvenile fish
“It is not a coincidence we have not had loons nesting on our point for 10 years since our channel became a busy wake-surfing mecca.” A cottager on Lake Joseph
residents and cottage owners also raised concerns that wakes cause damage to shoreline infrastructure and docked vessels
leading to greater maintenance and repair costs
Large wakes can make it difficult for smaller slower boats to navigate safely
who may be knocked off balance or even swept out by larger waves
While studies suggest that wakes represent a significant portion of the wave energy on small lakes
there has been little actual documentation of impacts
and we discovered that there was little direct evidence of erosion
Most examples were extreme and highlighted potential hotspots of shoreline change associated with boat wakes
“Our shoreline has eroded approximately six feet in the last 10 years
causing trees and shoreline to collapse into the lake.” A Lake Joseph cottager
Most respondents to the survey identified boat operation, the experience of the operators and use of the lake by other users (for example, those fishing, swimming and relaxing) as the primary issues associated with wakes and boating in general. This is consistent with another recent study that found no evidence of shoreline erosion
but an increase in sediment resuspension and phosphorus availability
Further study is needed to determine when and where boat wakes are a physical and/or ecological stressor rather than simply being a disturbance to the peaceful cottage country scene
There is no doubt that the debate over the impact of boat wakes will continue this summer
but hopefully it won’t make our time on the dock this summer too rocky
led by the University of Sheffield found that food webs are becoming less complex in warmer
Warming water temperatures and increased nutrient levels are putting freshwater ecosystems at serious risk
Scientists previously thought warming temperatures caused by climate change and increased nutrient levels due to pollution might offset each other’s impact on aquatic life
a new study has shown warming waters and nutrient overload is a dangerous combination threatening our rivers and lakes.
conducted by an international team of scientists from the University of Sheffield
University of Oxford and University of Savoie Mont Blanc and the French National Research Institute for Agriculture
analysing the complex relationships between fish species.
This simplification means shorter food chains
and an ecosystem with a degraded functioning
Top predators are particularly vulnerable to these changes
but they are essential to the functioning and the stability of ecosystems
Less than three per cent of the water on our planet is fresh
yet freshwater habitats are home to almost 10 per cent of all known animals and almost half of all known fish species
Freshwater ecosystems not only help to maintain water quality of the land and sea
but also allow wildlife such as eels and salmon to travel vast distances to complete their life cycles
and act as conveyor belts transporting nutrients that make soil good for growing food.
The far reaching impact of the need to reduce pollution levels in our rivers was felt globally when the Olympic open water swimming events such as the triathlon
due to take place in the Seine river in Paris
had to be postponed due to harmful bacterial levels
The study highlights that this need is even more urgent with the rising impacts of warming of climate change
but it also suggests that reducing pollution levels is a promising path to mitigate the impacts of climate change
Postdoctoral Research Associate at the University of Sheffield and co-first author of the study
said: “The eyes of the world have been on the Seine River this summer due to the Olympic Games
The challenges faced in Paris demonstrate how important it is to reduce the pollution levels in our rivers and lakes not only for our own health but for the health of our ecosystems
wetlands and underground water supplies store and clean the water that's crucial for people and wildlife
From providing drinking water to providing essential resources to terrestrial and marine ecosystems
“These vital ecosystems also protect us from flooding
filter pollution and support countless plants and animals.”
Postdoctoral Research Associate at the University of Oxford and co-first author of the study, said: “Lake and river creatures are like the kidneys of our planet
They clean water and prevent blooms of poisonous algae and bacteria
Keeping them safe is keeping us safe.
“Climate change and pollution are not isolated problems for our rivers and lakes
Our study has found they interact in complex ways that threaten the balance of life in our waters.
“By reducing greenhouse gas emissions and improving water quality
we can help safeguard the health of our rivers and lakes for future generations.”
Postdoctoral Research Associate at the French National Research Institute for Agriculture
Food and the Environment and co-first author of the study, said: “This important research has shown what a dangerous combination warming waters caused by climate change and increased nutrient levels caused by pollution are.
“More positively this study shows that if we can reduce the pollution in our lakes and rivers
it will better protect them against the effects of climate change and warmer waters.”
View the full paper published in the journal Ecology Letters
The University's cross-faculty research centres harness our interdisciplinary expertise to solve the world's most pressing challenges.
Notifications can be managed in browser preferences.
The Independent's journalism is supported by our readers
When you purchase through links on our site
Billions of people around the world rely on freshwater resources that have been dwindling in recent years
I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our Privacy notice
NASA says the world’s critical freshwater resources have been “abruptly” depleting over the past decade
Billions of people rely on freshwater sources for drinking water and power generation. Around the world, 70 percent is used for agriculture. At least 10 percent of animals live exclusively in freshwater environments
scientists warned shortages would affect more than half its future population by 2050 if governments failed to act
The loss of freshwater may signify a shift, indicating Earth’s continents have entered a persistently drier phase
An international team of scientists identified the depelation using NASA-German Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment satellites
By analyzing the data they collected from their observations
they found evidence of the abrupt drop in May 2014
measurements showed that the average amount of freshwater on land was 290 cubic miles lower than average levels between 2002 and 2014
“That’s two and a half times the volume of Lake Erie lost,” Matthew Rodell, a hydrologist at the agency’s Goddard Space Flight Center, said in a statement
The Great Lakes-St. Lawrence River Basin is the largest watershed in the world
containing more than 20 percent of the world’s supply of surface fresh water and around 84 percent of North America’s surface fresh water
The satellites measure fluctuations in Earth’s gravity on a monthly time scale
revealing changes in water mass both on and under the ground
The decline reported in the study began with widespread drought in Brazil that was followed by other major droughts in the Americas
They noted that one of the most El Niño events since 1950 - a climate pattern that causes the Pacific jet stream to shift south and east
leading to warmer and drier conditions in the northern US - altered weather and rainfall patterns around the world in the mid-2010s
and 13 of the world’s most intense droughts observed by the satellites have occurred since January 2015
Climate change may be contributing to this depletion
although it is difficult to definitively link the drop in freshwater to global warming
as there are uncertainties in climate projections
Climate change results in more extreme weather events
Long stretches between intense precipitation allows soil to dry and become more compact
lessening the amount of water it is able to absorb when it does rain
“The problem when you have extreme precipitation,” NASA Goddard meteorologist Michael Bosilovich said
“is the water ends up running off,” instead of soaking in and replenishing groundwater stores
“Warming temperatures increase both the evaporation of water from the surface to the atmosphere
increasing the frequency and intensity of drought conditions,” he noted
This year is forecast to be Earth’s warmest on record, and much of the US has been in drought conditions over the last few months.
Rodell noted the nine warmest years in the modern temperature record coincided with the decline.
“We don’t think this is a coincidence, and it could be a harbinger of what’s to come.”
Join thought-provoking conversations, follow other Independent readers and see their replies
NASA warns","description":"Billions of people around the world rely on freshwater resources that have been dwindling in recent years
The world has mismanaged its freshwater reserves for decades, hampering progress towards the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
a planet-wide agreement to halt and reverse nature loss
The framework contains 23 targets designed to safeguard the natural world and that come due in 2030.
“Rivers are some of the most diverse ecosystems on the planet,” said Sinikinesh Beyene Jimma
interim Head of UNEP’s Marine and Freshwater Branch
“Given the importance of rivers and other freshwater ecosystems for food security
resilience building and the world’s biodiversity
their sustainable use and management is critical to ensure essential ecosystem services continue and meet the commitments of the Global Biodiversity Framework.”
As representatives from 196 countries discuss the implementation of the Global Biodiversity Framework this week at the UN Biodiversity Conference in Cali
there is growing recognition of the value of fresh water and the need to account for it in both national and local policy and financial decisions.
Here are five ways countries can leverage freshwater to meet their global biodiversity and sustainability goals
Implement water-related nature-based solutions
with the help of communities that live along its banks
Sirajganj in Bangladesh is creating a green corridor to enhance biodiversity around the city’s river
Currently, 122 million people around the world rely on untreated, potentially unsafe surface water. By 2030, 4.8 billion people could face risks to health and livelihoods if water quality monitoring does not improve
Effective monitoring and reporting are essential to protect human health and implement global water-focused biodiversity targets
Prime examples of that come from Sierra Leone and Zambia
which are integrating citizen-science data into national water quality monitoring
bridging data gaps and connecting affected communities with authorities responsible for water protection.
Embrace Indigenous Peoples’ traditional knowledge
highlights the use of this traditional knowledge through monitoring and evaluation of changes in freshwater ecosystems.
Tap into new tools for managing freshwater
Embrace integrated water resource management
The coordinated management of freshwater ecosystems
including through a process known as integrated water resource management
can build resilience to climate-related disasters
the European Union and UNEP are helping communities to build boreholes
rehabilitate shallow wells for irrigation and introduce highly efficient drip irrigation for crops
This holistic approach is designed to help stretch out available water resources and prevent displacement.
More than 90 per cent of “natural” disasters are related to water in some way
Experts say embracing integrated water resource management is critical to reducing the frequency and magnitude of these calamities.
The Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework
About the UN Decade on Ecosystem Restoration
The UN General Assembly has declared 2021–2030 a UN Decade on Ecosystem Restoration
Led by the UN Environment Programme and the Food and Agriculture Organization of the UN
and reverse the loss and degradation of ecosystems worldwide
covering terrestrial as well as aquatic ecosystems
the UN Decade draws together political support
and financial muscle to massively scale up restoration
Farmers of Maitollem water body, Curtorim harvesting fresh water lake fish on Sunday.
MARGAOFarmers cultivating the fields at the Maitollem in Curtorim village were all in smiles as they harvested moderate fresh water fish from the water body on Sunday.
Farmers descended into the lake waters early Sunday morning with fishing nets to harvest fish such as catla, catfish, kilapi, chicalo, pitol, etc.
Fresh water fish lovers headed to Maitollem near the Carmel Chapel,
President of Maitollem farmers Association Shubert D’Costa said the farmers have netted fresh water fish from the water body in moderate quantities.
He thanked the Krishi Vigyan Kendra, South Goa for lending help and assistance by providing fish for breeding.
This is the third fresh water lake harvested by the farmers’ association in the last fortnight.
Copyrights 2020 Fomento Media, Goa- All rights reserved.
Three reasons we missed Labor’s landslideThe polls overestimated Labor “defectors” to the Coalition and a swing among undecided voters in the final days was hard for pollsters to pick up
SaveLog in or Subscribe to save articleShareCopy link
Share via...Gift this articleSubscribe to gift this article
Gift 5 articles to anyone you choose each month when you subscribe
As a pollster who has worked on elections in Australia and Britain for several years now
I’ve been on both sides of surprise results
but every election is an opportunity to teach you lessons
Gift 5 articles to anyone you choose each month when you subscribe.
Follow the topics, people and companies that matter to you.
The largest global assessment of freshwater animals on the IUCN Red List of Threatened Species to date has revealed that 24% of the world’s freshwater fish
crayfish and shrimp species are at high risk of extinction
according to an analysis published in Nature
The IUCN co-authored study recommends targeted action to prevent further extinctions and calls for governments and industry to use this data in water management and policy measures
The largest global assessment of freshwater animals on the IUCN Red List of Threatened Species™ to date has revealed that 24% of the world’s freshwater fish
The IUCN co-authored study recommends targeted action to prevent further extinctions and calls for governments and industry to use this data in water management and policy measures.
The study found that at least 4,294 species out of 23,496 freshwater animals on the IUCN Red List are at high risk of extinction
The greatest number of threatened species are found in Lake Victoria
Sri Lanka’s Wet Zone and the Western Ghats of India
These areas are home to some of the highest freshwater biodiversity in the world
including many species found nowhere else on Earth.
Underground water systems around the world have been found to contain more threatened species than expected
North America is home to a high number of threatened crayfish
such as the daisy burrowing crayfish (Fallicambarus jeanae) in Arkansas
fifteen fish species from Lake Lanao in the Philippines were declared Extinct on the IUCN Red List.
impacts over half of all threatened freshwater animals
Freshwater ecosystems are further degraded by land conversion for agricultural use
water extraction and the construction of dams
Overfishing and the introduction of invasive alien species have had a particularly strong role in driving extinctions
was declared Extinct this year due to habitat loss through the construction of dams and weirs and the introduction of invasive alien species in southern Spain.
The paper found that although the threatened freshwater animals studied tend to live in the same areas as threatened amphibians
they face different threats due to their specific habitats
Conservation action must therefore be targeted to these species.
“Although they live side by side in the Western Ghats
conservation action for tigers and elephants will not help the Critically Endangered humpbacked mahseer (Tor remadevii)
which is threatened by habitat loss due to river engineering projects and sand and boulder mining
Active protection of the river and tributaries where the humpbacked mahseer lives is essential to its survival
in addition to fishing regulations and banning the introduction of further invasive alien species,” said Dr Rajeev Raghavan
South Asia Chair of the IUCN SSC Freshwater Fish Specialist Group and a co-author on the paper.
The study also revealed that areas with high water stress (where there is high demand and low supply) and areas with more eutrophication (where an excess of nutrients in the water leads to overgrowth of algae and plants) are not home to higher numbers of threatened species than areas with lower water stress and less eutrophication.
“This shows that water stress and eutrophication are not good indicators for locating threatened species and should not be used to guide conservation
it is essential that freshwater species data are actively included in conservation strategies and water use planning and management
to ensure their practices support healthy freshwater ecosystems,” said Dr Topiltzin Contreras MacBeath
Co-Chair of the IUCN SSC Freshwater Conservation Committee
“Increased investment in measuring and monitoring freshwater species is needed to ensure conservation action and water use planning is based on the latest information.”
crayfishes and shrimps are at the highest risk of extinction of the groups studied
followed by 26% of freshwater fishes and 16% of dragonflies and damselflies.
This global freshwater fauna assessment is the result of over 20 years of work by more than 1,000 experts from around the world.
“As the IUCN Red List celebrates its 60th anniversary
it is a stronger barometer of life than ever
Lack of data on freshwater biodiversity can no longer be used as an excuse for inaction,” said Catherine Sayer
IUCN’s Freshwater Biodiversity Lead and lead author on the paper.
“Freshwater landscapes are home to 10% of all known species on Earth and key for billions of people’s safe drinking water
and must be protected for nature and people alike
The IUCN World Conservation Congress this October will guide conservation for the next four years
as the world works to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals and the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework targets by 2030
This information will enable policy makers and actors on the ground to plan freshwater conservation measures where they are most needed.”
Worldwide
Worldwide, Climate Action Coalition
Worldwide, Climate Action Coalition, Energy
Worldwide, Finance, Policy
Worldwide, Policy
Worldwide, Hydrogen
Sign up to receive free and essential industry news and updates
© 2025 Climate Action. All Rights Reserved. | Terms and conditions | Privacy Policy | Cookie Policy
Metrics details
Water stress is an urgent issue in many regions worldwide
particularly in southern European countries
This study reveals the consequences of decreased freshwater flow on marine ecosystems in the Mediterranean Sea due to climate change and escalating water demands
A 41% reduction in river flow may result in a 10% decline in marine primary productivity and a 6% decrease in biomass of commercial fish and invertebrate species
Regional reductions could be as high as 12% and 35%
disrupting coastal and marine ecosystems and their related socio-economic sectors
The findings emphasize the importance of considering nutrient load changes in water management strategies and incorporating marine ecosystem requirements into environmental flow requirements for freshwater bodies
source-to-sink management approaches are crucial for sustainable water resource utilization
This trend has been particularly noticeable in southern Europe
where the agricultural and tourism sectors are the most important water consumers but are also vital to the regional economy
The importance of freshwater flow to coastal ecosystems is acknowledged by long-standing EU legislation
including the Urban Waste Water Treatment Directive (UWWTD) (Council Directive 91/271/EEC) and the Water Framework Directive (WFD
which recognise the concept of e-flow as also applicable to the receiving marine/coastal environments
a Time series of freshwater flow in the reference (REF) scenario (blue line) and in the extreme (EXT) water reduction scenario (yellow line)
b Percentage change of the freshwater flow in the EXT scenario for all the rivers included in the modelling setup (colour of the circle) and mean flow value for the individual rivers (size of the circle)
The thin black line shows the 150 m isobath
while the orange polygons indicate the regions averaged for the different sub-basins
Figure created by the authors using Matlab
Percentage reduction for the biogeochemical indicators in the extreme (EXT) scenario compared with the reference (REF) simulation for the different regions (whole Mediterranean
Aegean Sea and Northwestern Mediterranean)
Error bars indicate the inter-annual variability in the differences
as areas little impacted show similar values in both scenarios while the bigger differences happen in the most impacted regions
These results show that the negative impacts of the EXT water-reduction scenario
including both the reduction of water flow and the total loads of nutrients
are substantially more important for marine ecosystems than those of the NUTS scenario where only the water flow is reduced
This suggests that nutrient loads must be accounted for when analysing water flow reduction in the marine environment
we aim to focus on selected few ecosystem state indicators
particularly those directly linked to fisheries activities
such as commercial fish and invertebrate species’ biomasses (see “Methods”)
Percentage reduction for the commercial species biomass (fish and invertebrates) in the extreme (EXT) scenario compared with the reference (REF) simulation for the different regions (whole Mediterranean
had extremely low values for that year within the range of the expected flow in the tested EXT scenario
comparing the difference in fish productivity between 2022
and the REF years (2015–2018) in the Adriatic should suitably reproduce the effects of scenario differences provided by the model in that area
Fishing density (boats/km2) from the EMODNet dataset (2015–2018) versus the % change in biogeochemical conditions (a: Chla and b: PPR) and commercial species biomasses (c: fish and d: invertebrates)
Increases in biological indicators are designated with yellow dots and decreases with red dots
such biomass losses could easily lead to disruptions in the structure and functions of coastal and marine ecosystems
annihilating the current efforts of fisheries management to reduce overfishing and destabilise even more the fisheries sector
the potential impacts of this important loss in biomass would easily go beyond a mere reduction in fisheries landings
disrupting coastal and marine ecosystems and damaging the viability of the fisheries sector as well as related economic sectors and coastal communities
The outcomes derived from the Blue2MF simulations suggest that a substantial decrease in freshwater inflow can significantly impact the Mediterranean marine ecosystems
This study reveals that the magnitude of these changes varies across regions depending on their geomorphology and freshwater inputs but
an important decline in marine primary productivity can be expected
in turn affecting the higher trophic levels
are also the most intensively fished areas likely to be highly affected by the runoff reduction with a substantial decrease in marine productivity and available fisheries resources
This has the potential to disrupt the regional ecosystems and severely affect the fisheries sector and the associated economic activities of the coastal communities
Our results underscore the urgent need for a comprehensive and integrated approach to water resource management within the European Union
We acknowledge that the selected EXT scenario (considering no changes in nutrient concentrations) represents a simple and potential worst-case outcome derived from climate change and increasing water demand and that this exercise is not a detailed projection of what could occur in the coming decades
The limitations of the tested scenario stem as well from the assumptions of unaltered fishing effort and external (e.g.
which would unavoidably impact fish productivity in the future
Another important uncertainty source lies in the assumed nutrient concentrations in the rivers (e.g.
the future freshwater nutrient load will be between those two extremes
exact numbers derived from our analysis should not be considered as a quantitative assessment of potential future conditions in the Mediterranean Sea
but rather as a likely order of magnitude of the impacts on the marine ecosystems and it is used with the aim of raising awareness on the need to consider them as resulting from an unbalanced and unsustainable management of freshwater
which could ultimately impact local marine waters and ecosystems
it is crucial to adopt a holistic perspective from source to sea that considers the needs of multiple social sectors while ensuring the resilience and conservation of ecological resources and services in freshwaters
This requires the implementation of sustainable practices towards adaptation that balances human activities with the preservation of all water resources and aquatic ecosystems
Future research should address the likely reductions of water and nutrients under sustainable practices considering
the direct impacts of climate change on nutrient delivery pathways and marine hydrodynamics (e.g.
the underlying hydrodynamic model used in the Blue2MF framework has been designed to represent the whole oceanic basin
While their relatively high spatial resolution of 9 km permits to represent the complexity of oceanic structures at mesoscale
its ability to address local impacts (e.g.
specific estuaries or specific parts of coastal regions) is limited
This limitation should be considered in future investigations using appropriate modelling tools such as coupled models of different resolutions or of variable mesh resolution
The findings of this study emphasise the need for proactive measures to mitigate the potential negative impacts of reduced freshwater inflow on marine ecosystems in the Mediterranean Sea and wherever water availability is at threat
These measures should include the development and implementation of adaptive management strategies ensuring their long-term resilience and the preservation of the vital services they provide to both the environment and society
Blue2MF is constituted of different components summarised below
Those different modelling components are linked to each other either offline (i.e.
the results of one model are the inputs to the next) or online (i.e.
the atmospheric conditions) are identical to all models to ensure consistency in the tested scenarios
The freshwater flux and nutrient loads at the land / sea interface are used as inputs by the hydrodynamic and biogeochemical ocean model
very small rivers (mean flow < 5 m3/s) or those that seasonally disappear are not included in the modelling framework
This implies the elimination of a number of rivers
particularly on the northern African coast
but the nutrient loads from those rivers are not strongly relevant for the marine ecosystems
except maybe very close to the estuarine outlet (which
is beyond the hydrodynamic model resolution
describing the ocean biogeochemistry (nitrate
detritus) and the lower trophic levels of the ecosystem (3 phytoplankton functional types
phytoplankton biomass) fields generated by the coupled hydrodynamic-biogeochemical model
where functional groups substitute for individual species
and the number of functional groups is generally fixed
the index permits the describe functional group evenness
which represents the biomass distribution across functional groups (maximum evenness is achieved when all functional groups have equal biomass)
The reference scenario (REF) is compared with alternative scenarios that consider a reduction in freshwater only (constant nutrient total loads
NUTS) and of both freshwater and nutrient loads (EXT) reaching the river outlet
The alternative scenarios described below represent a situation where freshwater is extracted from the catchment and used before it reaches the marine environment
the Representative Concentration Pathways RCP 8.5 emission scenario is considered
The estimation of the future river flows is set on a 30 yr window around the year that global warming reaches 4 oC above preindustrial temperature
For models that have a warming of 4 oC later than 2085
The period 1981–2010 is then used as a reference to obtain the relative change in monthly mean river streamflow
The river flow in the 30-year ENSEMBLE mean is around 91% of the REF value with both positive and negative streamflow changes for individual river outlets
However, as our aim is to test the impacts of an extreme flow reduction scenario, we reduced the values on the ENSEMBLE mean by an additional 50% (91–50%), i.e., a 41% flow level of the 2008–2018 level, for every outlet in the Mediterranean Sea (Fig. 1)
This extreme ‘low flow’ scenario is constrained such that the total reduction in individual rivers streamflow compared to the reference scenario cannot exceed the upper threshold of 90% as we assumed that it is unlikely to deplete a river completely
While this study adopts an extreme approach
it is data-driven (based on the ENSEMBLE mean)
aiming to maintain the nonlinear behaviour of the river streamflow dynamics into the Mediterranean Sea
which could make streamflow decline more severe than estimated in the ENSEMBLE scenario
we assume direct abstraction of the flowing waters and no alteration of the chemical properties of the remaining river flow
This scenario ('low flow' + constant nutrient concentration) is named the EXT scenario in the context of this investigation
A major assumption in this EXT freshwater scenario is
the sustained nutrient concentrations in flowing waters (which implies a reduction in the nutrient loads)
when water is withdrawn from rivers for terrestrial use
a portion of it typically returns to the rivers with a different chemical composition
leading most likely to an increase in nutrient concentration
The exact nutrient concentration in the reduced flow scenario is challenging to calculate
but it must be constrained by a minimum (i.e.
the value in the EXT scenario) and a maximum (corresponding to a situation in which water flow is reduced but total nutrient loads remain unchanged)
we used a second water-reduction scenario (NUTS)
in which water flow is reduced in the same amount as in the EXT
but total loads of nutrients to the sea are kept constant as in REF
The impacts on the biogeochemical conditions of the Mediterranean Sea of this NUTS scenario are presented in the main text (‘Impacts on the biogeochemistry section’)
The marine models within Blue2MF (biogeochemical and HTL) are forced with the EXT and NUTS freshwater scenarios during the period 2008–2018 (see Fig. 1a)
and ecological variables are extracted for the period 2015–2018
to minimise any drift from the initial conditions
while removing the potential effects of eutrophication (maximum chlorophyll-a threshold)
further supporting the use of OPFish as a proxy for potential fish productivity
The datasets generated during and/or analysed during the current study are available at figshare with the identifier (https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.26840299) and from the corresponding author on reasonable request
The numerical codes for the models used in the current study are available from the corresponding author
Water Resources Across Europe — Confronting Water Stress: an Updated Assessment
De Roo, A. et al. The water-energy-food-ecosystem nexus in the mediterranean: Current issues and future challenges. Front. Clim. 3, https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2021.782553 (2021)
De Roo, A., Bisselink, B. &Trichakis, I. Water-Energy-Food-Ecosystems pathways towards reducing water scarcity in Europe – Analysis using the Water Exploitation Index Plus, Publications Office of the European Union, https://data.europa.eu/doi/10.2760/478498 (2023)
How will climate change modify river flow regimes in Europe
Bisselink, B. et al. Impact of a Changing Climate, Land Use, and Water Usage on Europe’s Water Resources, EUR 29130 EN, Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg, https://doi.org/10.2760/847068 (2018)
Bisselink, B. et al. Climate Change and Europe’s Water Resources, EUR 29951 EN, Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg, https://doi.org/10.2760/15553 (2020)
Increased economic drought impacts in Europe with anthropogenic warming
The world’s road to water scarcity: shortage and stress in the 20th century and pathways towards sustainability
The potential of water reuse for agricultural irrigation in the EU: A Hydro-Economic Analysis
Can seawater desalination be a win-win fix to our water cycle
Putting the cart before the horse: Water governance and IWRM
in Revisiting Integrated Water Resources Management
Water governance in a comparative perspective: From IWRM to a ‘nexus’ approach
Fredston-Hermann, A. et al. Where does river runoff matter for coastal marine conservation? Front. Mar. Sci. 3, https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2016.00273 (2016)
Representing the function and sensitivity of coastal interfaces in Earth system models
A Bayesian model for anchovy (Engraulis encrasicolus): the combined forcing of man and environment
Major fertilization sources and mechanisms for Mediterranean Sea coastal ecosystems
A global review of the critical link between river flows and productivity in marine fisheries
Li, J., Roughan, M., Kerry, C. & Rao, S. Impact of mesoscale circulation on the structure of river plumes during large rainfall events inshore of the east Australian current. Front. Mar. Sci. 3, https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2022.815348 (2022)
and management of estuarine and marine nurseries for fish and invertebrates: a better understanding of the habitats that serve as nurseries for marine species and the factors that create site-specific variability in nursery quality will improve conservation and management of these areas
Meteorological and oceanographic factors influencing Engraulis encrasicolus early life stages and catches in the Gulf of Cádiz
Effects of nutrient management scenarios on marine food webs: A pan-european assessment in support of the marine strategy framework directive
Macias, D. et al. Water/marine zero pollution outlook, EUR 31314 EN, Publications office of the European Union, Luxembourg, ISBN 978-92-76-59109-2, https://doi.org/10.2760/681817 (2022)
Friedland, R. et al. Effects of nutrient management scenarios on marine eutrophication indicators: A Pan-European, multi-model assessment in support of the marine strategy framework directive. Front. Mar. Sci. 8. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2021.596126 (2021)
The 63-year changes in annual streamflow volumes across Europe with a focus on the Mediterranean basin
Weise, Z., Zimmermann, A., Europe’s next crisis: Water. Politico, 28 April. https://www.politico.eu/article/europe-next-crisis-water-drought-climate-change/ (2023)
Biogeochemical control of marine productivity in the Mediterranean Sea during the last 50 years
Hydrological cycle of the Mediterranean-Black Sea system
Encyclopedia of Ocean Sciences (Academic Press
Atlantic forcing of the Mediterranean oligotrophy
A non Redfieldian stoichiometry driven by phytoplankton phosphate frugality explains nutrients and chlorophyll patterns in the Mediterranean Sea
Seasonal and inter-annual variability of plankton chlorophyll and primary production in the Mediterranean Sea: a modelling approach
River discharges of water and nutrients to the Mediterranean and Black Sea: Major drivers for ecosystem changes during past and future decades
Mentaschi, L. et al. Projected climate oligotrophication of the Adriatic marine ecosystems. Front. Clim. 6, https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fclim.2024.1338374 (2024)
The microbial carbon pump concept: potential biogeochemical significance in the globally changing ocean
Effect of Climate Change on Marine Ecosystems
On the trophic regimes of the Mediterranean Sea: a satellite analysis
Bosc, E., Bricaud, A., Antoine, D. Seasonal and interannual variability in algal biomass and primary production in the Mediterranean Sea, as derived from 4 years of SeaWiFS observations. Glob. Biogeochem. Cycles 18, https://doi.org/10.1029/2003GB002034 (2004)
Comparison of hypoxia among four river-dominated ocean margins: The Changjiang (Yangtze)
Deep winter convection and phytoplankton dynamics in the NW Mediterranean Sea under present climate and future (horizon 2030) scenarios
Ageostrophic frontal processes controlling phytoplankton production in the Catalano-Balearic Sea (Western Mediterranean)
Observation of convection in the Gulf of Lion
Impact of open-ocean convection on nutrients
Modelling the Mediterranean Sea ecosystem at high spatial resolution to inform the ecosystem-based management in the region
Plankton in the open Mediterranean Sea: a review
Marine Ecoregions of the World: A Bioregionalization of Coastal and Shelf Areas
The pelagic food web of the Western Adriatic Sea: a focus on the role of small pelagics
Is the pelagic-demersal ratio from fishery landings a useful proxy for nutrient availability
A preliminary data exploration for the semi-enclosed seas around Europe
STECF (Scientific, Technical and Economic Committee for Fisheries), The 2023 Annual Economic Report on the EU Fishing Fleet (STECF 23-07). Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg. https://doi.org/10.2760/423534 (2023)
EUMOFA (European Market Observatory for Fisheries and Aquaculture Products). https://www.eumofa.eu/data (2023)
STECF (Scientific, Technical and Economic Committee for Fisheries), 2023. Monitoring of the performance of the Common Fisheries Policy (STECF-adhoc-23-01). Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg. https://doi.org/10.2760/361698 (2023)
Sustainability of global water use: Past reconstruction and future projections
River flow in the near future: A global perspective in the context of a high-emission climate change scenario
Globally observed trends in mean and extreme river flow attributed to climate change
Colorado River flow dwindles as warming-driven loss of reflective snow energizes evaporation
Groundwater depletion causing reduction of baseflow triggering Ganges river summer drying
Current and future global water scarcity intensifies when accounting for surface water quality
Macias, D., Garcia-Gorriz, E. & Stips, A. Productivity changes in the Mediterranean Sea for the twenty-first century in response to changes in the regional atmospheric forcing. Front. Mar. Sci. 2, https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2015.00079 (2015)
Historical changes of the Mediterranean Sea ecosystem: modelling the role and impact of primary productivity and fisheries changes over time
Changes of nitrogen and phosphorus loads to European seas
LISFLOOD—Distributed Water Balance and Flood Simulation Model—Revised User Manual; OPOCE: Luxembourg
Simulating the temporal and spatial dynamics of the North Sea using the new model GETM (general estuarine transport model)
Plume spreading test case for coastal ocean models
Recent regional changes in nutrient fluxes of European surface waters
EURO-CORDEX: new high-resolution climate change projections for European impact research
Why the 2022 Po river drought is the worst in the past two centuries
Future global streamflow declines are probably more severe than previously estimated
Mesoscale productivity fronts and local fishing opportunities in the European Seas
The chlorophyll-a gradient as primary Earth observation index of marine ecosystem feeding capacity
Satellite-based indicator of zooplankton distribution for global monitoring
Download references
We are grateful to our colleagues at the Ocean and Water unit for their valuable contributions to the research and ideas presented in this paper
We would also like to acknowledge the support of the European Commission Directorate General of Environment (DG ENV) for their continuous support in the development of the Blue2 Modelling Framework
developed the freshwater flow modelling; B.G.
developed the freshwater nutrients modelling
run the hydrodynamic-biogeochemical simulations
run the high trophic level model simulations
organised the information and drafted the paper and figures
All authors contributed to the final drafting of the manuscript
Nature Communications thanks Barbara Robson and the other anonymous reviewers for their contribution to the peer review of this work
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-54979-4
Metrics details
A two-decade-long accumulation of freshwater in the Arctic Ocean’s Beaufort Gyre has recently started to be released
Here we use satellite observations and model simulations to show that changes in wind regimes and sea ice declines are causing freshwater to accumulate close to the export gateways to the North Atlantic
This emerging buffer zone plays an important role in modulating the propagation of freshwater into the subpolar North Atlantic
we use a combination of satellite observations and model simulations to show that the Arctic Ocean freshwater system entered a new state recently
While the Beaufort Gyre was releasing freshwater
a buffer zone north of Greenland was accumulating freshwater
Our results suggest that this buffer zone plays a crucial role in modulating the propagation of Arctic low-salinity anomalies to the SPNA
The Beaufort Gyre region and buffer zone are indicated in a–c with black and magenta lines
Other main geographic areas mentioned in the text are labelled in c: EEB
causing the accumulation of freshwater in this region
a, The change in dynamic ocean topography (DOT) obtained from satellite observations23
The sea level pressure (SLP) anomaly in 2019–2022 relative to the long-term mean of 1980–2022
The simulated sea surface height (SSH) change
we found that the Arctic Ocean’s Beaufort Gyre has started to release freshwater after accumulating it for an unusually prolonged period
while a buffer zone situated close to the Arctic export gateways has shown an emerging ability to accumulate freshwater
With the contraction of the Beaufort Gyre and the strengthening of the cyclonic circulation mode of the Arctic Ocean
anomalous freshwater has shifted into this buffer zone
The propagation of the Arctic freshwater anomaly to the North Atlantic was delayed in the buffer zone under the recent wind conditions
Given the anticipated increase in the ocean’s sensitivity to winds due to sea ice decline
the role of the buffer zone in modulating the propagation of freshwater to the North Atlantic warrants greater attention
the buffer zone contains 25% more dye tracer in the control simulation compared with the wind-perturbation simulation
this portion of the dye tracer has exited the Arctic Ocean
the buffer zone can influence the time it takes for the Arctic fresh
cold surface water to transit into the North Atlantic
the estimate based on hydrography observations now covers the period of 2003–2021
These observational estimates together with model results are used to illustrate the changes in Beaufort Gyre FWC over the past two decades
satellite altimeter data can be interpreted as a metric for assessing FWC in the Arctic basin
mass changes may play a relatively large role
so changes in sea surface height have less correspondence with changes in FWC
We define vertically integrated FWC (in metres) within a water column as
where S represents ocean salinity, Sref is the reference salinity, which is set to the mean salinity of the Arctic Ocean (34.8)37
D represents the depth of the 34.8 isohaline and z represents the vertical coordinate
By integrating the vertically integrated FWC over an area
one obtains the volumetric FWC (in cubic metres)
they consistently show the temporal changes in the Beaufort Gyre FWC
Trajectory shifts in the Arctic and Subarctic freshwater cycle
Freshwater and its role in the Arctic Marine System: sources
and physical and biogeochemical consequences in the Arctic and global oceans
The large-scale freshwater cycle of the Arctic
A review of Arctic–Subarctic ocean linkages: past changes
Stability of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation: a review and synthesis
Arctic freshwater impact on the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation: status and prospects
The Great Salinity Anomaly in the Northern North-Atlantic 1968–1982
Propagation of the ‘Great Salinity Anomaly’ of the 1990s around the northern North Atlantic
Ocean circulation causes the largest freshening event for 120 years in eastern subpolar North Atlantic
Mechanisms behind the temporary shutdown of deep convection in the Labrador Sea: lessons from the Great Salinity Anomaly years 1968–71
How much Arctic fresh water participates in the subpolar overturning circulation
Analysis of the Beaufort Gyre freshwater content in 2003–2018
A synthesis of the upper Arctic Ocean circulation during 2000–2019: understanding the roles of wind forcing and sea ice decline
Rapid change in freshwater content of the Arctic Ocean
Western Arctic Ocean freshwater storage increased by wind-driven spin-up of the Beaufort Gyre
and location between 2003 and 2014 from satellite observations
Biophysical consequences of a relaxing Beaufort Gyre
Recent state transition of the Arctic Ocean’s Beaufort Gyre
Two circulation regimes of the wind-driven Arctic Ocean
The Arctic Oscillation signature in the wintertime geopotential height and temperature fields
The cyclonic mode of Arctic Ocean circulation
Retreat of the cold halocline layer in the Arctic Ocean
Atlantic-origin water extension into the Pacific Arctic induced an anomalous biogeochemical event
Stronger variability in the Arctic Ocean induced by sea ice decline in a warming climate: freshwater storage
Labrador Sea freshening linked to Beaufort Gyre freshwater release
The Finite Element Sea Ice-Ocean Model (FESOM) v.1.4: formulation of an ocean general circulation model
Phc: a global ocean hydrography with a high quality Arctic Ocean
JRA-55 based surface dataset for driving ocean–sea-ice models (JRA55-do)
Arctic sea ice decline significantly contributed to the unprecedented liquid freshwater accumulation in the Beaufort Gyre of the Arctic Ocean
Arctic sea ice decline preconditions events of anomalously low sea ice volume export through Fram Strait in the early 21st century
Intensification of the Atlantic Water supply to the Arctic Ocean through Fram Strait induced by Arctic sea ice decline
Arctic sea surface height variability and change from satellite radar altimetry and GRACE
ATLAS/ICESat-2 L3B Monthly 3-Month Gridded Dynamic Ocean Topography
Version 1 (NASA National Snow and Ice Data Center Distributed Active Archive Center
The role of sea ice and other fresh-water in the Arctic circulation
Wang, Q. FESOM model data used in the study on the buffer zone for great salinity anomaly. Zenodo https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.10409535 (2023)
Download references
This work was supported by the German Federal Ministry for Education and Research (BMBF) within the EPICA project with grant no
03F0889A (Q.W.) and by the AWI INSPIRES programme (Q.W.)
Open access funding provided by Alfred-Wegener-Institut
Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research
contributed to the interpretation of the results and improving the paper
Nature Geoscience thanks John Toole and the other
reviewer(s) for their contribution to the peer review of this work
in collaboration with the Nature Geoscience team
Normalized wind curl over the Canada Basin
Change in dynamic ocean topography (DOT) obtained from satellite observations
Sea level pressure (SLP) anomaly in 2004-2009 relative to the long-term mean of 1980-2022
Sea level pressure (SLP) anomaly in 2014-2019 relative to the long-term mean of 1980-2022
Sea level pressure (SLP) anomaly in 2019-2022 relative to the long-term mean of 1980-2022
SLP anomaly in 2019-2022 in case the perturbation shown in (c) is added
(b) is obtained by adding (c) to (a) in the area indicated by the black circles
The wind perturbation associated with this SLP perturbation (shown by arrows) is used in the perturbation simulation to reveal the impacts of winds on the ocean
Beaufort Gyre dye tracer at the end of 2022 in the historical control simulation
which corresponds to the atmospheric circulation condition in (a)
which corresponds to the atmospheric circulation condition in (b)
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-024-01592-1
Sign up for the Nature Briefing newsletter — what matters in science
‘Acid rain’ has caused the decline of many sensitive species in the UK’s lakes
rivers and streams ever since the Industrial Revolution when we began burning fossil fuels
Ecological researchers at Queen Mary University of London
in collaboration with policy and academic partners
it shows how wildlife in lakes and streams responds to air pollution policies that curb acid rain
Their data justified stricter global air pollution legislation in 2012
and today continues to help the UK government set air pollution limits that protect nature
the research now provides a valuable picture of aquatic wildlife’s health in the face of this accelerating threat.
emissions of the pollutants that cause acid rain have plummeted since the 1970s - by 98% for sulphur dioxide and 78% for nitrogen oxides in the UK
When these emissions enter lakes and rivers in rainfall they turn the waters toxic to many species.
But freshwater ecosystems have been slow to improve in response to this dramatic clean up
Alan Hildrew (Emeritus Professor of Ecology
School of Biological and Behavioural Sciences) has studied damaged freshwater ecosystems since the 1970s.
Hildrew helped establish the UK Acid Water Monitoring Network
a valued resource for environmental policymakers and managers since 1988
Its data reveal how nature responds - or not - to changes in pollution.
Today, Queen Mary’s River Communities Group, led by Professor Iwan Jones
expands on the acidification work that Hildrew began in the ‘70s
enriching the unique dataset that supports a brighter future for biodiversity.
Alan Hildrew co-established the UK Acid Water Monitoring Network in 1988, now called the UK Upland Waters Monitoring Network and coordinated by UKCEH
chemists and environmental managers from Queen Mary
UCL and Marine Scotland investigate the chemical and ecological impact of acid deposition across 23 sensitive lakes and streams
Iwan Jones’s research team has led Queen Mary’s contribution since 2020. Using established methods
the group samples and identifies a wide spectrum of species
expanding the programme’s datasets yet further
The UK Upland Waters Monitoring Network provides policymakers with evidence to help evaluate the impacts of emissions reductions policy on freshwater ecosystems and set new targets
The Environment Agency describes its datasets as of “the highest quality” for this purpose.
Defra used the consortium’s research
to argue for tighter limits on acidifying pollutants under the Gothenburg Protocol
This landmark UN Treaty and major environmental success story was subsequently revised in 2012
The researchers’ discovery that acidic waters trigger hard-to-reverse damage in food webs strengthened Defra’s call for even more ambitious targets.
the Environment Agency has contracted Jones’s River Communities Group to conduct ecological monitoring for the Network
The UK Government uses the data to determine whether current pollution limits under the National Emission Ceilings Regulations are safe
appropriate as they do not damage the Network’s sensitive ecosystems.
acid rain is probably at its lowest levels since the early stages of the Industrial Revolution
This is thanks to the ambitious policies set by the UN
and which are supported by the UK Upland Waters Monitoring Network’s data.
This dramatic change is making a difference to nature
the Network reported that 19 of its 23 sites have become far less acidic
the greater the recovery of the lake or stream
Other scientists have reported similar improvements in North America and north-western Europe
These changes “serve as a demonstration of what can be achieved where there is a common international resolve to mitigate an environmental problem.” (UK Upland Waters Monitoring Network
Not all of the UK Upland Waters Monitoring Network’s 23 sites are in a healthy state
Several barriers may be hindering straightforward recovery
Among these is climate change.
the Network’s data help paint a picture of freshwater biodiversity in the face of a changing climate. The researchers have installed temperature loggers and level gauges to investigate climate change’s impacts on the sites
giving the Network increasing pertinence to wider biodiversity policies
climate change policies and Net Zero strategies.
the Forestry Commission’s research agency
understand the impacts of commercial forestry on upland waters and led to more protective practices by the forestry sector.
Long-term ecological monitoring allows policymakers and environmental managers to understand the effects of their actions to develop effective policies and practices.
the UK Upland Waters Monitoring Network can help reveal its shifting influence on nature to support biodiversity and climate change policies
The UK Upland Waters Monitoring Network welcomes collaboration with partners in policy, management and research. Please contact Professor Iwan Jones for opportunities
so that's an achievement that won't be missed by us
but we know we've got three more games to keep building on that."
Is the Queensland boss the right man to lead Australia forward
And will Joe Schmidt be tempted to stick around for Rugby World Cup 2027
Former England prop Perry Freshwater will be on the move in the Top 14 at the end of this season, with a French media story claiming he will swap Perpignan for a stint with Paul Gustard’s Stade Francais
L’Equipe have reported that scrum coach Freshwater
the ex-Leicester front-rower who won the 2009 Top 14 with Perpignan as a player
is poised to leave the Catalan club for a Parisian adventure
began his post-playing career helping English-speaking players to settle at Perpignan but has been in charge of the club’s scrum since 2016
window.scriptsToInit.push('BrightCoveEmbeddedScrollVideo.init("6366341740112");');
A L’Equipe report read: “Stade Francais has a reinforcement for its staff for next season
the Parisian club has reached an agreement with the English technician
“The former England prop will bring his knowledge of the scrum
as he has done in Perpignan since 2016 following his playing career
“Freshwater recently confirmed his departure to his management after reaching an agreement with Stade Francais
The latter also announced on Monday the recruitment of Mathieu Blin as a consultant until the end of the season to take care of the scrum before the arrival of Freshwater.”
After reaching last season’s semi-final with a second place finish, Stade have been in free fall this season and last weekend’s 19-46 home loss to leaders Bordeaux left them 13th in the 14-team league
Irishman Davidson had been told earlier this season that his contract would not be renewed at the end of the 2024/25 campaign
Go behind the scenes of both camps during the British and Irish Lions tour of South Africa in 2021. Binge watch exclusively on RugbyPass TV now
Join free and tell us what you really think
Is the Queensland boss the right man to lead Australia forward
Northampton Saints found a way of beating the fabled Jacques Nienaber blitz and inflicting another 'horrific' Champions Cup loss on the Leinster giants
Warren Gatland forged a sense of togetherness in his 2013 Lions but faced personal 'vitriol' after leaving out a legend
A hard read this time Nick but as always backed by observations
One of the big problems in coaching Australia seems to be speaking nicely but carry a big stick
I think Les will do the nicely bit and add some variation to play
but the Wallabies can easily slip back into old habits unless they are held to account
Schmidt has a reputation that anyone in rugby could appreciate
Not sure the current players will give Les that understanding when tough decisions need to be taken
I suspect he will be a bit like Ewen McKenzie
The saving grace will be that the ARU are not the soft and useless bunch Ewen had to deal with
Les will also have the support of Qld and the hatred of NSW and since NSW seem to heading in their standard direction of failure
BTW he needs to dramatically improve Qld D and not just Ryan
Not shutting the Drua down early by utilising an umbrella(?) D and letting them run is always a recipe for disaster
Wasn’t the 3 option a 50/50
hard for a breakout season 10 to go all the way and claim the title for his team
Let them/him build over the next few seasons
Noting the scrum too after you said that JGP did have a bit of a quite game for his standards
Can Les give the Wallabies the Kiss of Life?',1);"> The very predictable and inevitable
let’s bag Less Kiss article from the hasbeen Welsh analyst
trying to get his other mate and employer the failed pommie Lancaster a job in Australia
so that the hasbeen welshman can score some employment off him
Try and spend more time trying to help your own country instead of constantly undermining them by supporting your former employer NZ rugby
Yeap nip them in the bud
that’s just one guys opinion which I’m sure would have been more widely known if true (points by quarter)
that they just need to run these guys into the ground and cross their fingers they get through
Is that how they started off winning Champs do you know
This is the same line up they’ve gone with in previous games right
Surely because he doesn’t have the same cohesion
Sam and Jordie seemed to have a good combo going though
I doubt it would have looked any different than when Jordie was on the park myself
To think that the best in Europe will not be able to keep up with Aus because Aus play in SRP
This is the B & I Lions we are talking about playing against Aus the #8 team on the rankings
I suppose upsets do happen but how can anyone see anything less than a 3-0 to the Lions
No national team made up of SRP players will be able to match the Lions on a rugby field imho
If they were playing basketball maybe but not rugby
They didn’t seem to have any trouble accruing points in the second half GD
Sorry to hear this
In the end it all came down to whether Leinster could convert that penalty to points
and then Pollock pilfered the ball after going to ground lol
Yes
it is possible to recover your lost Bitcoin with the assistance of professional recovery experts
Regardless of how long your Bitcoin has been stolen or the circumstances surrounding its loss
they can help you retrieve it all just like they helped me recover my scammed $624,000 USD back to me within 48 hours
they has the expertise to assist you in recovering your lost funds
contact them on: Recoveryeagles009@gmail.com
Have you ever fallen victim to a Bitcoin investment scam or had your assets stolen
To hire a recovery expert who can help you get your assets back
Don’t know where you are getting the idea that the Europeans are going to be any better than Taniela Tupou or Angus Bell at scrummaging tbh
Yeah boss
If the Wallabies force the Lions into playing a fast game
I think the Wallabies have the edge with experience at high pace
but it is easier to slow down a game than to speed it up
Tizzano
Conan
Porter and Barrett all start in their strongest XV for that game
starting Baird over McCarthy would have been a better move too
Also unlikely that Byrne or even Frawley are Prender-gassed on the outside by Pollock either
Saints were long shots to make up 6
8 & 9 pt deficits on the three teams ahead for bottom spot in the play offs even before Saturday and if Dowson has any smarts
particularly with the injuries they’re also carrying
Pretty likely that Saints first XV atm has Threeman in the centre with back 3 of Furbs
Great to see you recognise that Leinster were at full strength
Yes I’d think they’d prefer a England/Saints type match up
Really
I must say it didn’t seem as though Snyman was really all though
and I wondered why he wasn’t just bringing his enthusiasm in off the bench like normal
I could imagine him feeling more comfortable in that role
Metrics details
As freshwater lakes undergo rapid anthropogenic change
long-term studies reveal key microbial dynamics
evolutionary shifts and biogeochemical interactions
yet the vital role of viruses remains overlooked
leveraging a 20 year time series from Lake Mendota
we characterized 1.3 million viral genomes across time
Double-stranded DNA phages from the class Caudoviricetes dominated the community
We identified 574 auxiliary metabolic gene families representing over 140,000 auxiliary metabolic genes
including important genes such as psbA (photosynthesis)
pmoC (methane oxidation) and katG (hydrogen peroxide decomposition)
which were consistently present and active across decades and seasons
Positive associations and niche differentiation between virus–host pairs
Inorganic carbon and ammonium influenced viral abundances
underscoring viral roles in both ‘top-down’ and ‘bottom-up’ interactions
Evolutionary processes favoured fitness genes
reduced genomic heterogeneity and dominant sub-populations
This study transforms understanding of viral ecology and evolution in Earth’s microbiomes
Prices may be subject to local taxes which are calculated during checkout
Codes used in this project are available via GitHub at https://github.com/AnantharamanLab/TYMEFLIES_Viral
Biogeochemistry goes viral: towards a multifaceted approach to study viruses and biogeochemical cycling
Virocell metabolism: metabolic innovations during host–virus interactions in the ocean
IMG/VR v4: an expanded database of uncultivated virus genomes within a framework of extensive functional
Microbial oceanography and the Hawaii Ocean Time-series programme
Overview of the US JGOFS Bermuda Atlantic Time-series Study (BATS): a decade-scale look at ocean biology and biogeochemistry
Interannual dynamics and phenology of bacterial communities in a eutrophic lake
Genome-wide selective sweeps and gene-specific sweeps in natural bacterial populations
Ecogenomics of virophages and their giant virus hosts assessed through time series metagenomics
Modeling the fitness consequences of a cyanophage-encoded photosynthesis gene
Ecology of inorganic sulfur auxiliary metabolism in widespread bacteriophages
Energy limitation of cyanophage development: implications for marine carbon cycling
Photosynthesis genes in marine viruses yield proteins during host infection
Carrying photosynthesis genes increases ecological fitness of cyanophage in silico
Large freshwater phages with the potential to augment aerobic methane oxidation
Transfer of photosynthesis genes to and from Prochlorococcus viruses
Prevalence of viral photosynthesis genes along a freshwater to saltwater transect in Southeast USA
Prevalence and evolution of core photosystem II genes in marine cyanobacterial viruses and their hosts
Ecology and evolution of viruses infecting uncultivated SUP05 bacteria as revealed by single-cell- and meta-genomics
Sulfur oxidation genes in diverse deep-sea viruses
and ecologically distinct marine Thaumarchaeota viruses that encode amoC nitrification genes
Oxygen minimum zones harbour novel viral communities with low diversity
Species invasions shift microbial phenology in a two-decade freshwater time series
Rohwer, R. R. et al. Two decades of bacterial ecology and evolution in a freshwater lake. Nat. Microbiol. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41564-024-01888-3 (2025)
CheckV assesses the quality and completeness of metagenome-assembled viral genomes
Comparative metagenomics of microbial traits within oceanic viral communities
Auxiliary metabolic gene functions in pelagic and benthic viruses of the Baltic Sea
Virus-associated organosulfur metabolism in human and environmental systems
CpeT is the phycoerythrobilin lyase for Cys-165 on β-phycoerythrin from Fremyella diplosiphon and the chaperone-like protein CpeZ greatly improves its activity
Viruses inhibit CO2 fixation in the most abundant phototrophs on earth
Phage auxiliary metabolic genes and the redirection of cyanobacterial host carbon metabolism
Radical scavenging and singlet oxygen quenching activity of marine carotenoid fucoxanthin and its metabolites
Viral burst size of heterotrophic prokaryotes in aquatic systems
Bacterial growth rate and marine virus–host dynamics
Competition for nutrients and light: testing advances in resource competition with a natural phytoplankton community
Methane-derived carbon flows into host–virus networks at different trophic levels in soil
Long-term seasonal and temporal changes of hydrogen peroxide from cyanobacterial blooms in fresh waters
Culturing the ubiquitous freshwater actinobacterial acI lineage by supplying a biochemical ‘helper’ catalase
Prevalence of psbA-containing cyanobacterial podoviruses in the ocean
Host-hijacking and planktonic piracy: how phages command the microbial high seas
The neutral theory of molecular evolution in the genomic era
Howard-Varona, C. et al. Phage-specific metabolic reprogramming of virocells. ISME J. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41396-019-0580-z (2020)
Virion-associated restriction endonucleases of chloroviruses
The DNA methylation landscape of giant viruses
A systematics for discovering the fundamental units of bacterial diversity
Structural basis for the recognition and cleavage of polysialic acid by the bacteriophage K1F tailspike protein EndoNF
Proposed acquisition of an animal protein domain by bacteria
Novel alternatives to antibiotics: bacteriophages
In situ field experiment shows Lyngbya majuscula (cyanobacterium) growth stimulated by added iron
Interactions between organic and inorganic carbon sources during mixotrophic cultivation of Synechococcus sp
Nitrogen assimilation and nitrogen control in cyanobacteria
Rohwer, R. R. & McMahon, K. D. Lake iTag measurements over nineteen years, introducing the limony dataset. Preprint at bioRxiv https://doi.org/10.1101/2022.08.04.502869 (2022)
Phage puppet masters of the marine microbial realm
Rohwer, R. R. & McMahon, K. D. Lake Mendota Microbial Observatory temperature, dissolved oxygen, pH, and conductivity data, 2006-present. Environmental Data Initiative https://doi.org/10.6073/PASTA/7E533C197ED8EBD27777A89A2C8D7DFE (2022)
Magnuson, J. J., Carpenter, S. R. & Stanley, E. H. North temperate lakes LTER: physical limnology of primary study lakes 1981 - current. Environmental Data Initiative https://doi.org/10.6073/PASTA/316203040EA1B8ECE89673985AB431B7 (2021)
Magnuson, J., Carpenter, S. & Stanley, E. North temperate lakes LTER: high frequency water temperature data - Lake Mendota Buoy 2006 - current. Environmental Data Initiative https://doi.org/10.6073/PASTA/8CEFF296AD68FA8DA6787076E0A5D992 (2020)
Robertson, D. Lake Mendota water temperature secchi depth snow depth ice thickness and meterological conditions 1894 - 2007. Environmental Data Initiative https://doi.org/10.6073/PASTA/F20F9A644BD12E4B80CB288F1812C935 (2016)
Magnuson, J. J., Carpenter, S. R. & Stanley, E. H. Lake Mendota multiparameter sonde profiles: 2017 - current. Environmental Data Initiative https://doi.org/10.6073/PASTA/5F15BF453851987FC030B2F07A110B21 (2021)
Rohwer, R. R. & McMahon, K. D. Lake Mendota microbial observatory secchi disk measurements 2012-present. Environmental Data Initiative https://doi.org/10.6073/PASTA/3B650E19D28CBC7B9ED631F0A7878033 (2022)
Magnuson, J., Carpenter, S. & Stanley, E. North temperate lakes LTER: chlorophyll - Madison Lakes area 1995 - current. Environmental Data Initiative https://doi.org/10.6073/PASTA/F9C2E1059BCF92F138E140950A3632F2 (2022)
Magnuson, J. J., Carpenter, S. R. & Stanley, E. H. North temperate lakes LTER: phytoplankton - Madison Lakes area 1995 - current. Environmental Data Initiative https://doi.org/10.6073/PASTA/43D3D401AF88CC05C6595962BDB1AB5C (2022)
Magnuson, J., Carpenter, S. & Stanley, E. North temperate lakes LTER: zooplankton - Madison Lakes area 1997 - current. Environmental Data Initiative https://doi.org/10.6073/PASTA/D5ABE9009D7F6AA87D1FCF49C8C7F8C8 (2022)
metaSPAdes: a new versatile metagenomic assembler
IMG/M v.5.0: an integrated data management and comparative analysis system for microbial genomes and microbiomes
annotation and curation of microbial viruses
and evaluation of viral community function from genomic sequences
vRhyme enables binning of viral genomes from metagenomes
Metagenomic compendium of 189,680 DNA viruses from the human gut microbiome
Using MCL to extract clusters from networks
dRep: a tool for fast and accurate genomic comparisons that enables improved genome recovery from metagenomes through de-replication
Reference Sequence (RefSeq) database at NCBI: current status
Camargo, A. P. et al. Identification of mobile genetic elements with geNomad. Nat. Biotechnol. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41587-023-01953-y (2023)
iPHoP: an integrated machine learning framework to maximize host prediction for metagenome-derived viruses of archaea and bacteria
MetaPop: a pipeline for macro- and microdiversity analyses and visualization of microbial and viral metagenome-derived populations
Zhou, Z. et al. TYMEFLIES vMAGs and related properties. Figshare https://figshare.com/articles/dataset/TYMEFLIES_vMAGs_and_related_properties/24915750 (2023)
Download references
a Department of Energy Office of Science User Facility
is supported by the Office of Science of the US Department of Energy operated under contract number DE-AC02-05CH11231
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
visualization of results and content organization
P.Q.T.) reviewed the results and edited and approved the manuscript
Nature Microbiology thanks Timothy Ghaly, Andrew Millard and David Pearce for their contribution to the peer review of this work. Peer reviewer reports are available
a Binned/unbinned scaffold percentage after binning by vRhyme and bin member number frequency for all bins (vMAGs)
Only bin member numbers with frequencies > 1% are shown in the bar plot
Numbers of scaffolds and numbers of bins are labeled accordingly
b Length and completeness change after binning
and CheckV quality to viral genome length distribution
Viral scaffold or/and vMAG (viral genome) numbers are labeled accordingly
“Viral scaffolds”: total viral scaffolds before binning; “vMAGs+unbinned scaffolds”: vMAGs and unbinned scaffolds after binning; “vMAGs”: vMAGs after binning; “Binned scaffolds (within vMAGs)”: binned scaffolds (the scaffolds that are in the vMAGs) after binning; “Unbinned scaffolds”: unbinned scaffolds after binning
Statistical significance was assessed using two-sided t-tests for the indicated comparisons
with p-values indicating significance between comparisons
d The rarefaction curve of species-level vOTU numbers
Ten replicates with a random starting sample were made to generate error bars
The left bar plot represents the AMG cluster presence ratio pattern among all AMG cluster and species combinations
The x-axis indicates the size category of species and the number of AMG cluster and species combinations
The y-axis indicates the fractions of four quartiles of AMG cluster presence ratios
The right scatter plot represents the AMG cluster count fraction (the percentage of one AMG cluster being encountered among all AMG clusters within a species) to the mean AMG cluster presence ratio (the percentage that one AMG cluster appears among all members within a species) across all species
This scatter plot used the AMG cluster and species combinations of the 1st quartile (75-100%) of AMG cluster presence ratio category (the highest presence ratio) with the species size in the 4th quartile (the largest species size)
which was shown as the connection by dash lines
High occurrence AMG clusters (distributed > 400 metagenomes) were colored red
b Seasonal distribution of high occurrence AMG clusters (distributed > 400 metagenomes)) across metagenomes
The percentage indicates the AMG cluster containing metagenome number over the total metagenome number in each season
Unclassified hosts were not depicted and low abundance families (with abundance < 5% in all eight AMG clusters) were integrated into a group named “Others”
and total species and AMG abundance across 20 years for psbA- (a)
ahbD-containing (d) viruses are summarized
high occurrence species were picked according to the occurrence across 20 years
high abundance AMGs were picked according to the non-zero mean relative abundance across 20 years
and the abundance for each year was represented by the season with the highest/second to the highest species abundance in each year (Late Summer for psbA
Species and AMGs were colored in blue and orange
Star-labeled AMGs indicate the overlap of the high occurrence species and high abundance AMG in subpanels a
The abundance values (for both species and AMGs) were normalized by 100 M reads/metagenome
only species with ≥ 20 occurrences out of 471 metagenomes were included in the analysis; for pmoC- and katG-containing viruses
only species with ≥ 5 occurrences out of 471 metagenomes were included in the analysis
The species and AMG abundance percentage calculation was based on the total occurrence-filtered viral species
a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41564-024-01876-7
Sign up for the Nature Briefing: Microbiology newsletter — what matters in microbiology research
Geneva, 6 November 2024 –Climate change is taking a toll on the six countries of the Caucasus, causing glaciers to shrink and impacting river flows, finds a new UN Environment Programme (UNEP) report launched ahead of the UNFCCC COP29
Glaciers have already retreated by an average of 600 metres over the past century, while more than 11 billion tonnes of freshwater — previously stored in ice — has been lost since the year 2000, according to the second edition of the Caucasus Environment Outlook (CEO-2) report
The publication focuses on the ecoregion covering Armenia
as well as regions of the Islamic Republic of Iran
The new report includes 20 maps to visualize environmental trends
Water is increasingly becoming an unevenly distributed resource - river flows in most countries are expected to drop 20% by 2100
river flow already plummeted 26% in Armenia and by 20% in Azerbaijan
annual flow at the closing section of the Kura river — which spans Türkiye
groundwater withdrawals have doubled in Armenia since 2000 and shot up by 400% in Azerbaijan
With reduced snow and glacier cover in the mountains
the report’s authors expect freshwater supply to further substantially decrease in the coming decades
calling for innovative solutions and transboundary data sharing and monitoring
Average temperatures in the region could rise by up to 3.6°C by the end of the century compared to the 1970–2000 baseline, under an IPCC upper-medium scenario, with the fastest warming seen in mountainous regions
Glacial melting already poses a severe flood hazard and raises the need for constant monitoring
Illustrating the impacts of climate change in the region
triggered by intense rainfall and glacial melt
caused significant destruction and the loss of at least 24 lives in the village of Shovi
the need to slash emissions and adapt to climate change is laid bare,” said UNEP’s Europe Office Director
“UNEP’s 2024 Emissions Gap Report recently revealed that while the 1.5-degree goal is still within reach
current policies are taking us towards a global catastrophic temperature rise of 3.1 degrees Celsius. In the Caucasus
the CEO-2 report doesn’t just sound the alarm
It provides valuable guidance to help mitigate climate impacts for people and the environment.”
the report’s authors state that climate change and adaptation measures should be integrated into policies and legislation
Urban planning should also take the environment into account to a greater extent
while transboundary water basin management plans should be drawn up
While increased heatwaves are foreseen across the region
the number and duration of extremely hot days and heatwaves during the summer months in Azerbaijan is already significant
air temperatures reached at least 35°C and above in the country’s capital
This figure rose to 365 days in total during the 1991–2020 period
often caused by a combination of heavy rains
poses a further growing environmental threat and reduces arable land for rural livelihoods
large proportions of land in Türkiye are under severe strain from erosion
with around 71% of agricultural lands and 59% of rangelands affected
the potential exists for environmental strides to be made
the report finds that an opportunity exists for governments and the private sector to ensure cost-efficient renewable energy greatly expands and serves as substitute for polluting energy sources over the next decade
the protected land area in the Caucasus region has been increasing
For example, Azerbaijan protects over 9% of its territory
while just under 11% of Georgia is protected
rising from a little over 6% over the same period
such as revitalizing vineyards against soil erosion or improving grazing methods
exist across the Caucasus ecoregion — a term for an area with similar climate and natural features
Other pathways for adapting to climate change can be found in UNEP’s ADAPT: Solutions from the South Caucasus publication.
“Environmental and socioeconomic processes in the Caucasus countries are highly similar
each country independently seeks solutions to problems
whereas joint efforts would yield better results,” said Dmitry Koryukhin
a young scientist from the Caucasus involved in the report.
The publication was co-authored by more than 30 leading national and regional experts from the six countries
along with 40 international and national reviewers
and features insights from young and early-career scientists from the Caucasus.
UNEP will now support the development of Georgia’s national climate adaptation plan
A Regional Adaptation Dialogue in the South Caucasus will furthermore be held in April 2025 to discuss region-wide solutions.
The UN Environment Programme is the leading global voice on the environment
It provides leadership and encourages partnership in caring for the environment by inspiring
informing and enabling nations and peoples to improve their quality of life without compromising that of future generations
For more information and to arrange interviews, please contact:Alejandro Laguna, Head of Communication, UNEP Europe OfficeNews and Media Unit
views and stories from the front lines of conservation
A new study is ringing alarm bells for freshwater species
finding nearly a quarter are at risk of extinction.
The study, from researchers at the International Union for the Conservation of Nature (IUCN), named dams, farms, invasive species and pollution as responsible for the decline, Julia Jacobo reported for ABC News.
The findings are “alarming,” Catherine Sayer
“We have about a quarter of species which are on their way to extinction if we don’t do anything to stop it,” she said
which assessed more than 23,000 freshwater species
lakes and wetlands cover less than 1 percent of Earth’s surface yet support at least 10 percent of the planet’s species
Freshwater ecosystems also provide critical benefits including flood control
as well as sustaining local livelihoods and providing food and water to communities
It’s estimated that monitored populations of freshwater species have fallen by 84 percent
and nearly one-third of freshwater ecosystems have been lost since 1970 due to human activities that degrade habitats and decrease water quality
rivers and ponds are easy to overlook," said Stephanie Wear
who leads Conservation International's Moore Center for Science
they are essential to keeping these waterways healthy and supporting billions of people
It's critical that we take this news seriously
and act to protect freshwater habitats for the wildlife that benefit our own well-being."
For example, a Conservation International project in Mexico is providing a blueprint for how people can work with nature to create a more sustainable future
an ancient wetland system of lakes and canals built by the Aztecs to grow crops are also the only home to the endangered axolotl
this ecosystem has been drained and polluted; Conservation International is helping restore it by supporting farmers’ transition to pesticide-free farming and helping install biofilters to clean the water so these wetlands can thrive into the future
Read the full story from ABC News here
Mary Kate McCoy is a staff writer at Conservation International. Want to read more stories like this? Sign up for email updates. Also, please consider supporting our critical work
Several southern EU countries rely on desalination to fulfil the demand for fresh water for drinking and agriculture
the process is expensive and energy-intensive
It also produces large amounts of concentrated sea solution and chemicals
Technological improvements are making desalination cheaper and more sustainable
we need to protect and restore the water cycle and ensure that it is used efficiently by encouraging reuse
reducing water leakages and cutting abstractions
Watch the latest Water Matters video below to discover more or read more on Euronews
What if we saw water differently?
EU taxonomy for sustainable activities
Desalination
EU Environment newsletters deliver the latest updates about the European Commission’s environmental priorities straight to your inbox.
Nearly a quarter of animals living in rivers
lakes and other freshwater sources are threatened with extinction
according to new research published Wednesday
“Huge rivers like the Amazon can appear mighty, but at the same time freshwater environments are very fragile,” said study co-author Patricia Charvet, a biologist at Brazil's Federal University of Ceará
Freshwater habitats – including rivers, lakes, ponds, streams, bogs and wetlands – cover less than 1% of the planet’s surface, but support 10% of its animal species, said Catherine Sayer, a zoologist at the International Union for Conservation of Nature in England
The researchers examined around 23,500 species of dragonflies
crabs and other animals that depend exclusively on freshwater ecosystems
They found that 24% were at risk of extinction – classified as vulnerable
endangered or critically endangered – due to compounding threats from pollution
“Most species don’t have just one threat putting them at risk of extinction
but many threats acting together,” said Sayer
is the first that time researchers have analyzed the global risk to freshwater species
Previous studies have focused on land animals including including mammals
Duke University ecologist Stuart Pimm
called it “a long-awaited and hugely important paper."
“Almost every big river in North America and Europe is massively modified" through damming
the vast Amazon River ecosystem also faces threats from deforestation
Illegal fires to clear forest result in waves of ash polluting the river
and unlicensed gold miners dump mercury into the water
Rivers and wetlands “concentrate everything that happens around them," she said
There’s nowhere else for these animals to go.”
The Associated Press Health and Science Department receives support from the Howard Hughes Medical Institute’s Science and Educational Media Group. The AP is solely responsible for all content.
Below you’ll find the latest features highlighting the upcoming events here on the Isle of Wight
If you would like to promote an event to OnTheWight readers, find out more
Our Travel section is the place to check for fast and accurate travel updates from all the ferry companies
we’ll also let you know about road closures and diversions
Below are articles relating to Isle of Wight travel
climate change and biodiversity,” said Dianna Kopansky
global political commitments for sustainable water management have never been higher
including through the passing of a water resolution at the last UN Environment Assembly in February
but they are not being matched by required finance or action
are halting further loss and show that reversing degradation is within reach
Widespread degradationA reported 90 countries
are experiencing the degradation of one or more freshwater ecosystems
over-abstraction and climate change contribute to degradation of freshwater ecosystems.Influenced by climate change and land use
river flow has decreased in 402 basins worldwide – a fivefold increase since 2000
A much smaller number is gaining in river flow.Loss of mangroves due to human activities (e.g.
aquaculture and agriculture) poses a risk to coastal communities
and climate due to their water filtration and carbon sequestering properties
Significant decreases of mangroves were reported in Southeast Asia
though the overall net rate of deforestation has leveled off in the last decade.Lakes and other surface water bodies are shrinking or being lost entirely in 364 basins worldwide
A continued high level of particles and nutrients in many large lakes can lead to algal blooms and low-oxygen waters
primarily caused by land clearance and urbanization
the construction of reservoirs contributes to a global net-gain in permanent water
Low levels of water quality monitoringThe poorest half of the world contributes under 3 per cent of global water quality data points
including only 4,500 lake quality measurements out of almost 250,000
This reveals an urgent need to improve monitoring capacity.Lack of data on this scale means that by 2030 over half of humanity will live in countries that have inadequate water quality data to inform management decisions related to address drought
impacts from wastewater effluents and agricultural runoff.Where good data are available
it shows that freshwater quality has been degrading since 2017
the signs are not promising.Report authors recommend the expansion and development of routine government-funded monitoring programmes
as well as incorporating citizen science into such national programmes
and exploring the potential of satellite-based Earth observation and modelled data products to help fill the data gap
Inadequate progress on water resources management in over 100 countriesBalancing competing needs for sustainable water use from society and the economy requires the implementation of integrated water resources management (IWRM) across sectors
at all levels and across borders by 2030.47 countries have fully reached or almost reached IWRM
63 countries need to accelerate implementation
while 73 countries have only limited capacity for IWRM
the world will only achieve sustainable water management by 2049
This means that by 2030 at least 3.3 billion people in over 100 countries are likely to have ineffective governance frameworks to balance competing water demands.Solutions include unlocking finance through revenue raising and cost recovery arrangements
investments in infrastructure and management
greater institutional capacity and better monitoring networks
NOTES TO EDITORS About the UN Environment Programme (UNEP) UNEP is the leading global voice on the environment
informing andenabling nations and peoples to improve their quality of life without compromising that of future generations.
About UN-Water UN-Water coordinates the UN’s work on water and sanitation. It is comprised of UN Members States and international organizations working on water and sanitation issues. UN-Water’s role is to ensure that Members and Partners ‘deliver as one’ in response to water-related challenges.For more information, please contact: News and Media Unit
Support independent journalism, starting from less than $2 a week.
By continuing, you agree to our Terms & Conditions and Privacy Policy
It looks like your email isn't registered yet—let’s get you set up
We've sent a code to the below email.
Where were Peter Dutton’s quiet Australians?
Even in the days before his party’s devastating election loss
the opposition leader maintained the public polls didn’t gel with what he was seeing from the private researchers contracted by the Liberal Party
Dutton hinted on the campaign trail that he had seen internal numbers that were far more promising for the Coalition.
“Well, if you have a look at conversations we’re having and what we’re seeing in seats around the country at the moment, including outer-metropolitan electorates, there’s a very different conversation going on,” he said on April 26. “There are a lot of quiet Australians out there.”
With such a decisive swing away from the Liberals — so far they’ve only picked up 39 seats against Labor’s 85 — it begs the question: was Dutton being dishonest about the internal polling
Liberal sources told Crikey they believed it was the latter.
“Changing from CT to Freshwater was disastrous
Another said the party’s internal polling was held extremely tightly during the campaign
and the federal director of the Liberal Party among the few people who would have been privy to it.
But news.com.au reported this morning some insiders claimed Dutton’s political adviser Jamie Briggs had cautioned Freshwater Strategy’s pollster Michael Turner “about research in the seat of Dickson because it might spook the leader”
The research was considered a critical piece of intelligence that needed to be kept out of the media so that the party’s opponents wouldn’t be able to take advantage of it.
and it’s because they know I talk to people like you,” a Coalition senator told Crikey earlier in the campaign.
It’s unknown what the contract would have cost, but some Liberals have said it’s in the “millions of dollars”
It’s understood the contract was paid for by donations to the federal campaign.
The Liberal Party parted ways with its usual research firm CT Group
Rumours from inside the Liberal Party suggested that the break came after CT led polling for the Yes campaign in the Voice to Parliament referendum.
Freshwater Strategy, which also does polling for The Australian Financial Review, is directed by Turner, a former CT pollster. Turner acknowledged in a column for the AFR on Sunday that his firm had “underestimated” Labor’s strength
The polling overestimated how many Labor voters would “defect” to the Coalition
“particularly those who voted No at the Voice referendum”
for all the noise about the preference flows being different in a way that would substantially benefit Coalition performance
it appears that the outcome simply did not materialise
The primary vote collapse for the Coalition was too much for any benefit from additional preference flows,” Turner continued
Given that all pollsters seem to have underestimated the swing to Labor
and everyone’s fieldwork would have been over the earlier days in that week
it strongly suggests that there was a late swing among ‘soft’ or undecided voters in the final days that was very hard for pollsters to pick up.”
“We spent millions of dollars on it and will be keen to know what went wrong.”
This Collection supports and amplifies research related to SDG 14 Life Below Water, SDG 13 Climate Action, and SDG 6 Clean Water and Sanitation
lakes and wetlands have crucial roles in global biogeochemical cycles and in supporting human wellbeing through a variety of ecosystem services
freshwater biodiversity is in steep decline and freshwater habitats are uniquely vulnerable to the effects of global change given their physical isolation or fragmentation
often in already heavily exploited and human-modified landscapes
The potential consequences from global change factors such as climate warming
pollution and species invasions are serious
but freshwaters are also relatively understudied and insufficiently prioritised compared to terrestrial and other aquatic ecosystems
we invite submissions of papers that will help deepen our ecological understanding of contemporary freshwater ecosystems and the threats they face from global change
We encourage submission of studies that focus on natural freshwaters
We are particularly interested in studies that provide insight into the effects of global change factors on freshwater populations
as well as multidisciplinary studies involving earth and environmental science in which the focus is on freshwater biodiversity
Extreme drought-heatwave events reduce alpha diversity
and disrupt the community network structure of aquatic plankton in the Yangtze River
according to an analysis using the environmental DNA approach
Groundwater N pollution in China displayed an overall decline since 2016
while persistent pollution has lingered owing to long-term legacy N
machine learning and decision tree-heatmap analysis
The anammox and denitrification bacteria tend to co-occur in aquatic ecosystems
suggesting that anammox should be included in nitrogen budgets
according to a global meta-analysis of 136 peer-reviewed articles
and virus–host interactions change dynamically in response to increasing lake salinity as the climate warms
according to metagenomic sequencing in a lake on the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau
Plankton species richness and individual density
and bird diversity decreased where water-surface photovoltaic systems were installed
according to a field survey in the Yangtze River basin
China during the winter and summer of 2022
It is unclear whether stream detritivore diversity enhances decomposition across climates
Here the authors manipulate litter diversity and examine detritivore assemblages in a globally distributed stream litterbag experiment
finding a positive diversity-decomposition relationship stronger in tropical streams
Temperature increases the potential harmful effects of antibiotics on the concentration of greenhouse gases through increased methanogenesis
according to anaerobic incubation experiments with freshwater sediments
Whether non-native species are more or less likely to become established in communities that host close relatives is debated
This global study shows that non-native fish species phylogenetically close to native species are more likely to establish in freshwater ecosystems
It is unclear how far the impact of deforestation can spread
Here the authors analyse freshwater eDNA data along two rivers in the Amazon forest
and find that low levels of deforestation are linked to substantial reductions of fish and mammalian diversity downstream
By sampling environmental DNA across a large riverine network over multiple seasons
the varied dynamics between biodiversity and food-web dynamics are revealed
The responses of freshwater stream biodiversity and biomass to temperature in Arctic regions varies with biogeography
In the natural Vjosa River network in Europe
the high geodiversity in the catchment and the structure of the river network control algae periphyton biodiversity and its function through regional dispersal and local species sorting
suggests an analysis of environmental and ecological data from 46 river sites
Wildfire smoke reduced shortwave radiation fluxes and rates of primary production and ecosystem respiration in lakes
according to metabolic rates in lakes estimated from hourly dissolved oxygen data
Metrics details
Ecology and evolution are considered distinct processes that interact on contemporary time scales in microbiomes
to observe these processes in a natural system
471-metagenome time series from Lake Mendota (Wisconsin
We assembled 2,855 species-representative genomes and found that genomic change was common and frequent
By tracking strain composition via single nucleotide variants
we identified cyclical seasonal patterns in 80% and decadal shifts in 20% of species
In the dominant freshwater family Nanopelagicaceae
environmental extremes coincided with shifts in strain composition and positive selection of amino acid and nucleic acid metabolism genes
These genes identify organic nitrogen compounds as potential drivers of freshwater responses to global change
Seasonal and long-term strain dynamics could be regarded as ecological processes or
Rather than as distinct interacting processes
we propose a conceptualization of ecology and evolution as a continuum to better describe change in microbial communities
Tracking contemporary microbial evolution in a changing ocean
Investigating the eco-evolutionary response of microbiomes to environmental change
Experimental evolution and the dynamics of adaptation and genome evolution in microbial populations
Rohwer, R. R. & McMahon, K. D. A two-decade microbial time series from a freshwater lake, introducing the limony and TYMEFLIES datasets. Preprint at https://doi.org/10.1101/2022.08.04.502869 (2024)
Microbial observatories: exploring and discovering microbial diversity in the 21st century
Long-Term Dynamics of Lakes in the Landscape: Long-Term Ecological Research on North Temperate Lakes (Oxford Univ
Trends and abrupt changes in 104 years of ice cover and water temperature in a dimictic lake in response to air temperature
Patterns of climate change across wisconsin from 1950 to 2006
Lake ice records used to detect historical and future climatic changes
Perspectives on the eutrophication of the Yahara lakes
Extreme daily loads: role in annual phosphorus input to a north temperate lake
Early changes in the benthic community of a eutrophic lake following zebra mussel (Dreissena polymorpha) invasion
Invasive species triggers a massive loss of ecosystem services through a trophic cascade
Development of a sub-seasonal cyanobacteria prediction model by leveraging local and global scale predictors
Defining seasonal marine microbial community dynamics
and warming on free-living and particle-associated marine prokaryotic community structure
Seasonal and interannual variability of the free-living and particle-associated bacteria of a coastal microbiome
Explaining microbial genomic diversity in light of evolutionary ecology
Rossum, T. V., Ferretti, P., Maistrenko, O. M. & Bork, P. Diversity within species: interpreting strains in microbiomes. Nat. Rev. Microbiol.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41579-020-0368-1 (2020)
inStrain profiles population microdiversity from metagenomic data and sensitively detects shared microbial strains
Single-amino acid variants reveal evolutionary processes that shape the biogeography of a global SAR11 subclade
Temperature-related short-term succession events of bacterial phylotypes in Potter Cove
Contrasting patterns of genome-level diversity across distinct co-occurring bacterial populations
Differentiated evolutionary strategies of genetic diversification in Atlantic and Pacific thaumarchaeal populations
Geographic population structure and distinct intra-population dynamics of globally abundant freshwater bacteria
Towards a more precise—and accurate—view of eco-evolution
Feedbacks link ecosystem ecology and evolution across spatial and temporal scales: empirical evidence and future directions
Past and future species definitions for Bacteria and Archaea
scalable and accurate tool for assessing microbial genome quality using machine learning
Microbial species delineation using whole genome sequences
High throughput ANI analysis of 90K prokaryotic genomes reveals clear species boundaries
Olm, M. R. et al. Consistent metagenome-derived metrics verify and delineate bacterial species boundaries. mSystems https://doi.org/10.1128/msystems.00731-19 (2020)
Adaptive genetic traits in pelagic freshwater microbes
Microdiversification in genome-streamlined ubiquitous freshwater Actinobacteria
Effects of changing climate on ice cover in three morphometrically different lakes
Response of water temperatures and stratification to changing climate in three lakes with different morphometry
Meteorological drivers of hypolimnetic anoxia in a eutrophic
Climate and food web effects on the spring clear-water phase in two north-temperate eutrophic lakes
Zhou, Z. et al. A 20-year time-series of a freshwater lake reveals seasonal dynamics and environmental drivers of viral diversity, ecology, and evolution. Nat. Microbiol. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41564-024-01876-7 (2025)
Time-series metagenomics reveals changing protistan ecology of a temperate dimictic lake
ecosystem-wide exploration of nucleotide and structural microdiversity of lake bacterioplankton genomes
Quantifying the changes in genetic diversity within sequence-discrete bacterial populations across a spatial and temporal riverine gradient
Microhabitats are associated with diversity–productivity relationships in freshwater bacterial communities
Long-term ecological research and the invisible present
ecosystems and abrupt change: science priorities
In situ evolutionary rate measurements show ecological success of recently emerged bacterial hybrids
Magnuson, J. J., Carpenter, S. R. & Stanley, E. H. North temperate lakes LTER: ice duration—Madison lakes area 1853–current. Environmental Data Initiative https://doi.org/10.6073/PASTA/69B3391E13955392587413ECBFC7C298 (2023)
Daily Discharge 00060 (US Geological Survey National Water Information System
Increased anoxia following species invasion of a eutrophic lake
Biotic and thermal drivers alter zooplankton phenology in western Lake Erie
Extreme precipitation and phosphorus loads from two agricultural watersheds
Using wavelet analyses to examine variability in phytoplankton seasonal succession and annual periodicity
Spatial and temporal variability of dissolved organic matter molecular composition in a stratified eutrophic lake
Walsh, J. R., Munoz, S. E. & Vander Zanden, M. J. Outbreak of an undetected invasive species triggered by a climate anomaly. Ecospherehttps://doi.org/10.1002/ecs2.1628 (2016)
Time lags: insights from the US Long Term Ecological Research Network
KEGG for taxonomy-based analysis of pathways and genomes
Taxonomic and environmental distribution of bacterial amino acid auxotrophies
metabolic variety and unusual biology in the CPR and DPANN radiations
Auxotrophy and intrapopulation complementary in the ‘interactome’ of a cultivated freshwater model community
Metabolic potential of a single cell belonging to one of the most abundant lineages in freshwater bacterioplankton
Metabolic network analysis and metatranscriptomics reveal auxotrophies and nutrient sources of the cosmopolitan freshwater microbial lineage acI
Terrestrial carbon inputs to inland waters: a current synthesis of estimates and uncertainty
Attribution of global lake systems change to anthropogenic forcing
Roy, H. E. et al. IPBES invasive alien species assessment: summary for policymakers. Zenodo https://zenodo.org/record/8314303 (2023)
Zwart, J. A. et al. Cross‐scale interactions dictate regional lake carbon flux and productivity response to future climate. Geophys. Res. Lett. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL083478 (2019)
Decrease in CO2 efflux from northern hardwater lakes with increasing atmospheric warming
The ecological role of water-column microbes in the sea
Tiedje, J. M. et al. Microbes and climate change: a research prospectus for the future. mBio https://doi.org/10.1128/mbio.00800-22 (2022)
Strain-resolved metagenomics approaches applied to biogas upgrading
metabolic and phenotypic variability shapes ecological differentiation and intraspecies interactions of Alteromonas macleodii
Global scale phylogeography of functional traits and microdiversity in Prochlorococcus
An active microbiome in Old Faithful geyser
Metagenomic and metatranscriptomic insights into population diversity of microcystis blooms: spatial and temporal dynamics of mcy genotypes
including a partial operon that can be abundant and expressed
Microdiversity of the vaginal microbiome is associated with preterm birth
Cross-cohort single-nucleotide-variant profiling of gut microbiota suggests a novel gut-health assessment approach
Niccum, B. A., Kastman, E. K., Kfoury, N., Robbat, A. & Wolfe, B. E. Strain-level diversity impacts cheese rind microbiome assembly and function. mSystems https://doi.org/10.1128/msystems.00149-20 (2020)
Microbial populations are shaped by dispersal and recombination in a low biomass subseafloor habitat
Ecological stability emerges at the level of strains in the human gut microbiome
Interactions between strains govern the eco-evolutionary dynamics of microbial communities
Multispecies coalescent delimits structure
Genetic diversity and conservation units: dealing with the species-population continuum in the age of genomics
Brock, T. D. A Eutrophic Lake: Lake Mendota, Wisconsin (Springer, 1985); https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4419-8700-6_7
Clum, A. et al. DOE JGI metagenome workflow. mSystems https://doi.org/10.1128/msystems.00804-20 (2021)
Bushnell, B. BBMap short read aligner and other bioinformatic tools. OSTI.GOV https://www.osti.gov/biblio/1241166 (2014)
Launcher: a simple tool for executing high throughput computing workloads
The sequence alignment/map format and SAMtools
MetaBAT 2: an adaptive binning algorithm for robust and efficient genome reconstruction from metagenome assemblies
Chaumeil, P.-A., Mussig, A. J., Hugenholtz, P. & Parks, D. H. GTDB-Tk: a toolkit to classify genomes with the Genome Taxonomy Database. Bioinformatics https://doi.org/10.1093/bioinformatics/btz848 (2019)
GTDB: an ongoing census of bacterial and archaeal diversity through a phylogenetically consistent
rank normalized and complete genome-based taxonomy
Aroney, S. T. N. et al. CoverM: read coverage calculator for metagenomics. Zenodo https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.10531254 (2024)
Prodigal: prokaryotic gene recognition and translation initiation site identification
KofamKOALA: KEGG ortholog assignment based on profile HMM and adaptive score threshold
R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing (R Foundation for Statistical Computing
Barrett, T. et al. Data.table: extension of ‘data.Frame’. R package version 1.16.99 (2024); https://Rdatatable.gitlab.io/data.table
Tange, O. GNU Parallel 20230822 (‘Chandrayaan’). Zenodo https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8278274 (2023)
compositions: compositional data analysis (v.2.0-6)
vegan: community ecology package (v.2.6-4)
strucchange: An R Package for Testing for Structural Change in Linear Regression Models
DeCicco, L., Hirsch, R., Lorenz, D., Watkins, D. & Johnson, M. dataRetrieval: R packages for discovering and retrieving water data available from US Federal Hydrologic web services (v.2.7.14). https://doi.org/10.5066/P9X4L3GE (2023)
Magnuson, J. J., Carpenter, S. R. & Stanley, E. H. North temperate lakes LTER: chemical limnology of primary study lakes: major ions 1981–current. Environmental Data Initiative https://doi.org/10.6073/pasta/bb563f16c7338fdb3ddf82057ef43cc6 (2023)
Rohwer, R. R. & McMahon, K. D. Lake Mendota microbial observatory temperature, dissolved oxygen, pH, and conductivity data, 2006–present. Environmental Data Initiative https://doi.org/10.6073/PASTA/7E533C197ED8EBD27777A89A2C8D7DFE (2022)
Magnuson, J. J., Carpenter, S. R. & Stanley, E. H. North temperate lakes LTER: physical limnology of primary study lakes 1981–current. Environmental Data Initiative https://doi.org/10.6073/PASTA/316203040EA1B8ECE89673985AB431B7 (2021)
Magnuson, J., Carpenter, S. & Stanley, E. North temperate lakes LTER: high frequency water temperature data—Lake Mendota Buoy 2006–current. Environmental Data Initiative https://doi.org/10.6073/PASTA/8CEFF296AD68FA8DA6787076E0A5D992 (2020)
Robertson, D. Lake Mendota water temperature secchi depth snow depth ice thickness and meterological conditions 1894–2007. Environmental Data Initiative https://doi.org/10.6073/PASTA/F20F9A644BD12E4B80CB288F1812C935 (2016)
Magnuson, J. J., Carpenter, S. R. & Stanley, E. H. Lake Mendota multiparameter sonde profiles: 2017–current. Environmental Data Initiative https://doi.org/10.6073/PASTA/5F15BF453851987FC030B2F07A110B21 (2021)
Magnuson, J. J., Carpenter, S. R. & Stanley, E. H. North Temperate Lakes LTER: phytoplankton—Madison Lakes Area 1995–current. Environmental Data Initiative https://doi.org/10.6073/PASTA/43D3D401AF88CC05C6595962BDB1AB5C (2022)
Magnuson, J., Carpenter, S. & Stanley, E. North Temperate Lakes LTER: zooplankton—Madison Lakes Area 1997–current. Environmental Data Initiative https://doi.org/10.6073/PASTA/D5ABE9009D7F6AA87D1FCF49C8C7F8C8 (2022)
heatwaveR: a central algorithm for the detection of heatwaves and cold-spells
Adaptive protein evolution at the Adh locus in Drosophila
Rohwer, R. TYMEFLIES Robinning MAGs not included in NCBI SRA BioProject PRJNA1158976. OSF https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/TX2JG (2024)
Rohwer, R. R. rrohwer/TYMEFLIES_manuscript: v1.0. Zenodo https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.10663021 (2024)
Download references
is supported by the Office of Science of the US DOE operated under contract no
acknowledges support from the US DOE JGI (CSP 504350)
the US Department of Agriculture (USDA) (WIS01516 and WIS01789)
DEB-1344254) and the US NSF Microbial Observatory program (MCB-9977903
acknowledges support from the Simons Foundation Investigator in Aquatic Microbial Ecology Award (LI-SIAME-00002001)
This work would not be possible without the long-term support of the US NSF NTL-LTER (DEB-9632853
Institute for Chemistry and Biology of the Marine Environment
conceptualized the research and obtained initial funding
conducted field and laboratory work and curated data
performed analyses and created visualizations
wrote the final draft incorporating edits provided by M
Nature Microbiology thanks Timothy Ghaly, David Pearce and the other, anonymous, reviewer(s) for their contribution to the peer review of this work. Peer reviewer reports are available
Includes metadata for metagenome samples including JGI
GOLD and NCBI sample identifiers as well as McMahon Lab identifiers that pair metagenome samples with previous 16S rRNA gene sequencing2
NCBI identifiers corresponding to each species-representative genome
as well as genome quality calculated by CheckM219
and average relative abundance calculated by coverM89
KEGG annotations of consistently positively selected genes in a Nanopelagicus species that experienced a step change in strain composition in 2012 (ME2011-09-21_3300043464_group3_bin69)
Table row order matches heat map row order in Fig
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41564-024-01888-3
Metrics details
Three different studies in this issue use metagenomics to study the bacterial and viral dynamics of freshwater microbiomes
highlighting the ecological and environmental drivers of these ecosystems
Rohwer, R. R. et al. Nat. Microbiol. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41564-024-01888-3 (2025)
Zhou, Z. et al. Nat. Microbiol. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41564-024-01876-7 (2025)
Michoud, G. et al. Nat. Microbiol. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41564-024-01874-9 (2025)
Download references
Reprints and permissions
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41564-024-01898-1