Democratic Statewide Candidates Lead Republican Candidates  New Emerson College Polling/The Hill swing state surveys find a tight race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former president Donald Trump Harris has a slight edge over Trump in Michigan (50% to 47%) The candidates are tied in Pennsylvania (48% to 48%) Trump has a one-point edge over Harris (49% to 48%) and Trump leads by three in Arizona (50% to 47%) “The race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump continues to be tight within each state’s margin of error,” Spencer Kimball executive director of Emerson College Polling “Harris leads Trump among independents in each state Trump has a two-point edge on Harris among women voters a group that broke for Biden by about three points in 2020.” The Democratic candidate leads the Republican candidate on the Senate or gubernatorial ballot in Arizona Voters were asked if “Project 2025” makes them more or less likely to support Donald Trump a plurality in all states say it makes no difference or they are not familiar.  Voters were asked if taxes on tips should be eliminated Voters were asked how they think President Biden will go down in history – as an outstanding president The sample size for Arizona is n=720 likely voters The sample size for Georgia and Michigan is n=800 per state with a credibility interval for each state of +/-3.4% The sample size for North Carolina is n=775 Data was weighted by statewide voter parameters and voter registration (state secretary of state) and turnout data (exit polling).  The survey was administered by contacting respondents’ cell phones via MMS-to-web and landlines via Interactive Voice Response with respondents provided by Aristotle along with an online panel provided by CINT The survey was conducted by Emerson College Polling and sponsored by Nexstar Media It is important to remember that subsets based on demographics carry with them higher credibility intervals Survey results should be understood within the poll’s range of scores and know with a confidence interval of 95% a poll will fall outside the range of scores 1 in 20 times FULL RESULTS Democratic Statewide Candidates Hold Edge Over Republican Candidates The final Emerson College Polling/The Hill swing… Democratic Statewide Candidates Outperform Harris in Arizona & North Carolina New Emerson College Polling/RealClearWorld surveys… Lake 40% A new Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey in Arizona… Sinema 21% A new Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey of Arizona… The survey showed Harris ahead in Michigan The candidates were statistically tied in Nevada and Wisconsin though all the polling was within each survey's margin of error an unexpected reversal in a state where Democrats and Republicans alike believed a Trump victory was virtually certain will conclude her campaign in Pennsylvania by holding rallies in Philadelphia and Pittsburgh Election Day live updates Latest news and results on the 2024 presidential election The final swing state surveys from Emerson College Polling/The Hill continue to forecast a race that will come down to the wire in seven battleground states a poll of 790 people showed Harris with a two-point edge over former president Trump with a margin of error of 3.4 percentage points A survey of 840 people showed a tie at 48% in Nevada (with a margin of error of 3.3 percentage points) while 800 polled in Wisconsin showed a deadlock between both candidates at 49% (3.4% margin of error) Trump has a one-point edge in Georgia (50% to 49%) Those findings were within the margin of error in each poll which ranged from 3 percentage points to 3.4% a poll of 900 voters showed Trump leads Harris 50%-48% which is still within a 3.2% margin of error The surveys were conducted Wednesday to Saturday Trump and Harris were tied in Pennsylvania and Michigan while Trump was ahead in Arizona though every result was within the margin of error The polls were conducted with likely voters between Oct 2 and surveyed 7,879 likely voters across the battleground states with a margin of error of ±3.5% in each state What are the swing states? See the latest polls from places likely to decide the election The margin of error describes how accurately we can count on the survey results being representative of the entire population When a candidate's lead is "inside" the margin of error, it is considered a "statistical tie," according to Pew Research Center. Pew has also found the majority of pollsters have changed their methods since the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections where Trump's performance was significantly underestimated Election Day is here. Sign up for USA TODAY's On Politics newsletter for updates on the count Contributing: James Powel Eric Lagatta covers breaking and trending news for USA TODAY Democratic Statewide Candidates Hold Edge on GOP Candidates   New Emerson College Polling/The Hill surveys of key swing states finds a tight presidential race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump Since the last round of Emerson/The Hill swing state polls three weeks ago the race has shifted slightly: Harris lost a point in Arizona and North Carolina and her support did not move in Michigan and Nevada gained a point in Pennsylvania and North Carolina “Vice President Harris performs stronger than President Biden among Asian voters and young voters but underperforms Biden’s 2020 support among independents and older voters,” Spencer Kimball “Trump has held at 49% for several months in Emerson surveys in Wisconsin raising questions about whether he has hit a ceiling there the race remains too close to call in key swing states “Voters in union households break for Harris by 10 points in Michigan (54% to 44%) and by 26 points in Wisconsin (62% to 36%),” Kimball added Non-union households lean toward Trump in Michigan (50% to 48%) and Wisconsin (52% to 46%) female voters tend to support Harris while male voters support Trump where Trump leads among both men and women The survey measured the favorability of Harris the Democratic candidate maintains an edge over the Republican in swing states.  propositions will appear on the ballot to establish a constitutional amendment that would provide a right to abortion up until fetal viability A majority of voters in Arizona (54%) plan to vote “yes” on Proposition 139 Economic concerns continue to be the top issue for voters in their state where immigration is the top issue for 30% of voters Pennsylvania and Wisconsin is n=1,000 likely voters The sample size in Nevada is n=900 with a credibility interval of +/-3.2% and voter registration/turnout data.  All questions asked in this survey with the exact wording and cross tabulations can be found under Full Results FULL RESULTS 50% of voters expect Trump to win presidency 49% Harris The final Emerson College Polling… Craig (D) 43% A new Emerson College Polling/WHDH survey in New… Harris 48% | Wisconsin Trump 49% Harris 48% WI: Baldwin (D)… 49% favorable of Trump This week’s Emerson College… Democratic Statewide Candidates Outperforming GOP Candidates New Emerson College Polling/The Hill surveys of likely voters in seven critical swing states find former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris neck and neck in the 2024 presidential election the candidates are tied with 48% support each “There has been marginal movement in the presidential election since the late August Emerson swing state polls before the presidential debate,” Spencer Kimball Trump’s support stayed the same in Michigan while Harris’ support decreased by a point in Michigan Trump gained two points and Harris lost two.” regardless of who they support for president which candidate they expect to be president after the 2024 election A majority of voters in all swing states expect Harris over Trump to be president in 2024 Voters expect Harris over Trump in Nevada 50% to 48% and by a larger 53% to 46% margin in North Carolina.  The top issue voters name facing their state is the economy Concern for immigration is at its highest in Arizona while concern for housing affordability is highest in Nevada.  The sample size for Arizona is n=868 likely voters The sample size for Georgia is n=975 with a credibility interval of +/-3.1% The sample size for Michigan is n=875 with a credibility interval of +/-3.2% The sample size for Nevada is n=895 with a credibility interval of +/3.2% The sample size for Pennsylvania is n=880 with a credibility interval of +/-3.2% The sample size for each North Carolina and Wisconsin is n=1,000 Data was collected between the evening of September 15-18 FULL RESULTS Democratic Statewide Candidates Lead Republican Candidates  New Emerson College Polling/The Hill swing state surveys find… Economy is Top Issue for GOP Primary Voters A new Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey… Democrats Maintain Lead over Republicans in Five Senate Races New Emerson College Polling/The Hill swing… New Emerson College Polling/The Hill statewide polls find Donald Trump leading Kamala Harris by ten in Ohio while Harris leads Trump in California 60% to 36% Races in Florida and Texas are within the polls’ margin of error while California and Ohio fall outside the polls’ margin of error.  “The gender divide in the 2024 election shows significant increases in male support for Trump across key states while Harris has either held steady or gained modestly among female voters with the most pronounced shifts in California,” Spencer Kimball and Texas are within the polls’ margin of error.  “There are varying degrees of ticketing splitting in these statewide polls,” Kimball said Brown leads by 2 points despite Harris trailing by 10 46% support Republican incumbent Senator Rick Scott and 45% support Democrat Debbie Mucarsel-Powell In Ohio, 46% support incumbent Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown, 44% support Republican Bernie Moreno; 10% are undecided. Since March 2024, before the Ohio Republican Primary when 39% of registered voters supported Brown and 34% Moreno the difference between the candidates has tightened to two points among likely voters.  In Texas, 48% support incumbent Senator Ted Cruz, while 44% support Democratic challenger Colin Allred; 8% are undecided. The race has moved more in favor of Cruz since the last Emerson Texas poll of registered voters conducted in January, 2024, which found Cruz with 42% and Allred with 40%.  Regarding the Florida ballot measure to provide a constitutional right to abortion before fetal viability Support for the measure to legalize marijuana surpasses the 60% threshold: 64% plan to vote “yes” while 27% plan to vote “no”.  The economy is the top issue in California (39%) while immigration is the top issue for Texas voters (29%) closely followed by the economy (25%) A majority of Texas voters (55%) consider the current abortion law that bans abortion after six weeks of pregnancy to be “too strict,” while 31% consider it to be about right The sample size for California and Florida is n=815 likely voters with a respective credibility interval of +/-3.4% The sample size in Texas is n=845 likely voters The survey was administered by contacting respondents’ cell phones via MMS-to-web (list provided by Aristotle) FULL RESULTS A new Emerson College Polling/Inside California Politics/The Hill survey of the June 2026 primary election… Garvey 33% A new Emerson College Polling/Inside California Politics/The Hill survey of California… The final Emerson College Polling/Inside California Politics/The Hill California poll finds Democratic Rep Lee 9% A new Emerson College Polling/Inside California Politics/The Hill survey… Democratic Statewide Candidates Hold Edge Over Republican Candidates The final Emerson College Polling/The Hill swing state surveys continue to find a race that is too close to call Vice President Harris has a two-point edge over former president Trump All polls are within each survey’s margin of error.  “The gender gap on the ballot continues to sharply divide voting intentions,” Spencer Kimball men and women break in opposite directions: men for Trump by 12 men support Trump by a wider margin than women support Harris.” 57% of voters plan to vote in favor of Arizona Proposition 239 a constitutional amendment that would provide a fundamental right to abortion up until fetal viability Thirty-six percent plan to vote against it 56% plan to support the state constitutional amendment to provide a fundamental right to abortion similar to a poll’s margin of error of +/-3.2% The sample size for North Carolina is n=860 with a credibility interval of +/-3.3% The sample size for Pennsylvania is n=1,000 with a credibility interval of +/-3.4% The sample size for Georgia is n=800 with a credibility interval of +/-3.4% and voter registration/turnout data per state.  Data was collected between October 30-November 2 The surveys were conducted by Emerson College Polling and sponsored by Nexstar Media FULL RESULTS A new Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey of Texas voters finds 53% of voters support former President Donald Trump for president in 2024 while 46% support Vice President Kamala Harris One percent plan on voting for a third party and 1% are undecided.  “Harris’ support has remained at 46% for the last three surveys in Texas while Trump’s support increased by three points since early September,” Spencer Kimball “Trump’s increase in support is driven by shifts in key groups: Independent voters who broke for Harris by six points in September Trump’s lead extended among men from 19 to 23 points this month while women are consistent since last month in favoring Harris by six points.” regardless of which candidate they support A majority of Texas voters (56%) expect Donald Trump to be president after the election In the U.S. Senate election, 48% support Republican incumbent Ted Cruz and 47% support Democrat Colin Allred. Five percent are undecided. Since the September Texas Emerson/The Hill poll while Allred’s support increased by two percentage points while these same voters break for Trump 49% to 47%,” Kimball noted.  Forty-nine percent have a favorable view of Cruz Half of voters have an unfavorable view of Cruz while 44% have an unfavorable opinion of Allred and 10% are not familiar with the Democratic Senate candidate.  “Allred’s name recognition has improved since last month; 18% had never heard of him in early September and to 10% this month,” Kimball noted.  Immigration is the top issue for Texas voters The Emerson College Polling Texas survey was conducted October 18-21 and region based on 2024 likely voter modeling Turnout modeling is based on voter registration and election data and with a confidence interval of 95% a poll will fall outside the range of scores 1 in 20 times.  Data was collected by contacting cell phones via MMS-to-web text landlines via Interactive Voice Response (IVR) (both lists provided by Aristotle) and an online panel of voters provided by CINT This survey was sponsored by Nexstar Media FULL RESULTS 55% of Voters Expect World War Within the Next Four Years A new Emerson College… the Holidays Are a Time to be Thankful for Family and… Majority of Democrats in Swing States Say Harris Should be Nominated at DNC  New Emerson College Polling/The Hill polling in five swing states finds Vice President Kamala Harris trailing former President Donald Trump in four states 47% support Harris and Trump respectively.  Support for Harris surpassed Biden’s support from earlier this month in all five states; in Arizona by four points (Biden’s 40% to Harris’ 44%) and Wisconsin by four points (43% to 47%).  “Harris has recovered a portion of the vote for the Democrats on the presidential ticket since the fallout after the June 27 debate,” Spencer Kimball “Harris’ numbers now reflect similar support levels to those of Biden back in March.” “Young voters have shifted toward Harris: her support compared to Biden increased by 16 points in Arizona and one in Wisconsin since earlier polling this month.” Regarding Vice President Harris’ selection of a running mate a plurality of Arizona voters prefer Senator Mark Kelly (36%) 27% of Michigan voters prefer Gretchen Whitmer 40% of Pennsylvania voters support Josh Shapiro while 14% of Wisconsin voters support Bernie Sanders and 12% Pete Buttigieg.  A majority of Democratic voters in each state think Kamala Harris should be nominated at the Democratic National Convention this August.  the Democratic candidate continues to lead the Republican candidate The credibility interval for each state is +/-3.4% and voter registration and turnout data.  The survey was conducted by Emerson College Polling and sponsored by Emerson College & Nexstar Media FULL RESULTS A new Emerson College Polling/WTNH/WCTX/The Hill survey of Connecticut’s 5th congressional district finds 49% of voters plan to support incumbent Democratic Representative Jahana Hayes for re-election Five percent of voters are undecided.  “There is a stark gender divide on the congressional ballot: men break for Logan 52% to 42% while women break for Hayes 55% to 40%,” Spencer Kimball Over half (52%) of voters have a favorable view of Hayes while 43% have an unfavorable view of the congresswoman Forty-nine percent have a favorable view of Logan 48% of voters in the 5th district plan to support Vice President Kamala Harris while 47% support former President Donald Trump Four percent are undecided and 2% plan to vote for someone else.  50% of 5th district voters support incumbent Senator Chris Murphy while 44% support Republican Matt Corey “Five percent of Murphy voters also plan to support Trump for president compared to less than a percent of Corey voters who would split their ticket and vote for Harris,” Kimball noted A majority of voters (53%) in the district think the state is headed in the wrong direction while 47% think the state is headed in the right direction.  The top issue for Connecticut’s 5th district voters is the economy at 45% The Emerson College Polling/WTNH/WCTX/The Hill Connecticut 5th district survey was conducted October 9-11 The sample of Connecituct’s 5th district likely voters is n=725 and party affiliation based on 2024 likely voter modeling Turnout modeling per state is based on U.S Data was collected by contacting cell phones via MMS-to-web text (phone list provided by Aristotle) and an online panel of voters provided by CINT FULL RESULTS NY US Congress District 17: Lawler (R) 49% Jones (D) 44% NY US Congress District… A new Emerson College Polling/Inside California Politics/The Hill survey of California’s 22nd Congressional District finds… Voters split on ballot initiatives on abortion marijuana A new Emerson College Polling/KELO-TV/The Hill poll… Mondaire Jones (D) 44% NY18: Pat Ryan (D) 48% A new Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey of Montana voters finds 55% of voters support former president Donald Trump while 40% support Vice President Kamala Harris in November When undecided voters are asked the candidate they lean toward “Since the March 2024 Emerson poll in Montana while Harris improved five points on Biden’s 35%,” Spencer Kimball “Harris has picked up ground among women voters — 47% support Harris compared to 40% who supported Biden while Trump maintains around 61% support among male voters Voters with college degrees have also flipped; in March Senate election between Democrat Jon Tester and Republican Tim Sheehy “The share of undecided voters has decreased from 14% to 5% as November draws closer and Sheehy has benefited with a six-point increase in support while Tester’s support has only increased by two points,” Kimball said President Joe Biden holds a 31% job approval rating and 60% disapprove of the job he is doing in office Governor Greg Gianforte holds a 41% job approval while 41% disapprove of the job he is doing in office Vice President Harris is viewed favorably by 42% of Montana voters Donald Trump is viewed favorably by 55% of Montana voters while 45% have an unfavorable view of him.   The top issue for Montana voters is the economy (40%) The Emerson College Polling Montana survey was conducted August 5-6 and region based on 2024 registration modeling All questions asked in this survey with exact wording This survey was funded by Nexstar Media & Emerson College FULL RESULTS Harris 39% A new Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey of Montana voters finds… Economic concerns & housing affordability are top issues for Montana voters A new Emerson College… The latest Emerson College poll of Montana voters finds President Trump with a 13 point… A new Emerson College poll of Montana finds President Donald Trump at 53% and former… A new Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey of Colorado’s 8th Congressional District finds 48% of voters support Democrat Yadira Caraveo Seven percent are undecided ahead of Election Day.  Since the early October Emerson poll and the number of undecideds decreased from 12% to 7%.  “There is a significant gender divide separating the two congressional candidates; Evans leads among men 55% to 42% while Caraveo leads among women 52% to 37%,” Spencer Kimball 49% of Colorado’s 8th district voters support Vice President Kamala Harris while 48% support former president Donald Trump Three percent support someone else and 1% are undecided.  The Emerson College Polling/KDVR/KWGN/The Hill Colorado 8th district survey was conducted October 24-26 The sample of CO 8 district likely voters is n=485 FULL RESULTS Trust Lags Behind Use — Social Media Top News Source Despite Low Public Confidence An… Majority Support Increasing Firefighting Resources 70% Think Climate Change Contributed to Wildfires  A new Emerson… Majority of Virginians Think State on Right Track Though 51% Report Their Economic Situation Worsened… A new Emerson College Polling survey of Michigan’s 7th Congressional District finds 47% of voters… A new Emerson College Polling/Inside California Politics/The Hill survey of California’s 22nd Congressional District finds 47% of voters support Democrat Rudy Salas and 45% support incumbent Republican Representative David Valadao for Congress Since the early October poll of the district that found each candidate with 45% The poll remains within the +/- 4.2 percent margin of error executive director of Emerson College polling The economy is the top issue for 35% of voters followed by homelessness (17%) and immigration (13%) The Emerson College Polling/Inside CA Politics/The Hill California 22nd district survey was conducted October 22-26 The sample of CA 22nd district likely voters is n=525 The survey was offered in English and Spanish FULL RESULTS A new Emerson College Polling/WTNH/WCTX/The Hill survey of Connecticut’s 5th congressional district finds 49% of… Majority support ballot measures on abortion access & sports gambling An Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey of Missouri voters finds former President Trump leading Vice President Kamala Harris 53% to 43% on the 2024 presidential ballot and 40% support Democrat Lucas Kunce; 8% are undecided In the gubernatorial election between Republican Mike Kehoe and Democrat Crystal Quade 52% support Kehoe and 36% support Quade; 11% are undecided.  A majority of voters (58%) plan to vote in favor of the ballot measure to amend the Missouri Constitution to provide the right to reproductive freedom “Democrats support the abortion ballot measure Fifty-two percent plan to support the ballot measure to legalize sports wagering for individuals over 21 “Men support the sports gambling measure at a higher rate than women: 59% to 46%,” Kimball added.  The economy is the top issue for 40% of Missouri likely voters immigration (9%),  abortion access (8%) The Emerson College Polling Missouri survey was conducted September 12-13 FULL RESULTS Senate Election A new Emerson College Polling/The… New Emerson College Polling surveys of Colorado 68% of Residents Consider Themselves Kansas City Chiefs Fans  A new Emerson College Polling survey… Majority Of Voters with College Degrees Oppose Student Loan Cancellation Program The latest Emerson College… A new Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey of Montana voters finds 50% of voters support Republican Tim Sheehy and 46% support incumbent Democrat Jon Tester in the election for US Senate Since the last Emerson poll in Montana in August Sheehy’s support has increased by two points the incumbent Senator’s support among Montana voters faces a test as Trump appears poised to exceed his 2020 margin of 16.4 percentage points in the state,” Spencer Kimball “Split-ticket voters are crucial for Tester with about 1 in 10 Trump voters also backing him on the Senate ballot while virtually no Harris supporters lean toward Sheehy.” the race finds a stark gender divide: women’s break for Tester by about 14 points Both candidates have identical favorability ratings with 48% of voters holding favorable views of Tester and Sheehy and Harris’ support decreased one point.  Thirty-seven percent hold a favorable view of Vice President Harris Fifty-seven percent of Montana voters hold a favorable view of Donald Trump while 43% hold an unfavorable view of him.  Thirty percent of Montana voters approve of the job President Biden is doing in office Montana Governor Greg Gianforte holds a 45% job approval Nineteen percent feel neutral about the job he is doing as governor.  The top issue for Montana voters is the economy Other issues of concern include threats to democracy (10%) The Emerson College Polling Montana survey was conducted October 23-25 Data was collected by contacting cell phones via MMS-to-web text (list provided by Aristotle) FULL RESULTS Jon Tester 46% A new Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey of Montana… Majority Support Increasing Firefighting Resources 70% Think Climate Change Contributed to Wildfires  A new Emerson College Polling/Inside California Politics/The Hill survey in California finds a majority of primary voters (57%) who are Democrats would support former Vice President Kamala Harris if she ran for Governor 4% support former Speaker of the California State Assembly Antonio Villaraigosa and Lieutenant Governor Eleni Kounalaki respectively; 17% are undecided a plurality of Democrats (45%) are undecided Governor Gavin Newsom has a 42% job approval among California voters while 40% disapprove of the job he is doing in office President Donald Trump holds a 37% job approval rating and 53% disapproval Sixty-two percent think the California government should spend more on firefighter staffing and equipment knowing increased funding may require a tax increase while 35% think they should spend the same and 3% think the state should spend less.  and independents (54%) support increased state spending on firefighter staffing and equipment reflecting heightened concern amid wildfire threats,” Kimball said A majority of California voters (70%) think climate change contributed to California’s recent wildfires “Voters under 40 (75%) and over 70 (73%) are most confident climate change contributed to recent wildfires though a majority of all age groups agree,” Kimball noted Regarding Trump’s order to open dams in Central California 52% think it was a bad thing for the state while 48% think it was a good thing.  “There is a partisan divide on Trump’s actions in California: 72% of Democrats think the opening of Central California dams was a bad thing for the state while 83% of Republicans think it was a good thing,” Kimball said “Independents best represent the divide: 51% think it was a good thing and 49% a bad thing.” When asked about the ability of Trump and Newsom to work together a plurality of voters (43%) think President Trump will not do enough to work with Governor Newsom on fire-related issues while 26% think Newsom won’t do enough to work with Trump Seventeen percent think neither will do enough to work together and 14% think Trump and Newsom will equally work together half of voters (50%) are confident they can effectively prevent wildfires while 37% are not confident; 13% are unsure.  A majority of voters (56%) think mass deportations of undocumented immigrants in California are a bad thing for California while 44% think they are a good thing for the state.  Fifty-four percent think California’s high-speed rail project is a good use of state funds while 46% think it is a bad use of funds.  The Emerson College Polling California survey was conducted February 10-11 The sample of California registered voters The sample of Primary voters includes n=469 Data was collected by contacting cell phones via MMS-to-web text and landlines via IVR (phone list provided by Aristotle) and an online panel of voters provided by Rep Data Panel responses were matched to the Aristotle voter file using respondents’ full name and ZIP code All questions asked in this survey with the exact wording and ordering This survey was funded by Emerson College/Nexstar Media FULL RESULTS A new Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey of Colorado’s 8th Congressional District finds 48% of… A new Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey in Indiana finds 57% of likely voters support former President Donald Trump for president in 2024 while 40% support Vice President Kamala Harris “The presidential race in Indiana reflects 2020 with the same share of voters supporting Trump now than they did last cycle,” Spencer Kimball “Harris’ support reflects Biden’s 2020 support: who received 41% of the Indiana vote.” President Biden holds a 28% job approval among Indiana likely voters while 64% disapprove of the job he is doing as president Governor Eric Holcomb holds a 35% job approval while 31% disapprove of the job he is doing.   Republican Mike Braun leads Democrat Jennifer McCormick while 6% support Libertarian Donald Rainwater; 13% are undecided while 33% support Valerie McCray; 5% support the libertarian candidate Andrew Horning Republican Todd Rokita leads Democrat Destiny Wells 49% to 35%; 16% are undecided.  The top issue for Indiana voters is the economy at 44% “Voters under 30 are most likely to rate the economy as the top issue facing their state voters over 70 are most concerned about threats to democracy (12%) and immigration (10%),” Kimball said The Emerson College Polling Indiana survey was conducted September 12-13 FULL RESULTS The Economy is Top Concern for Indiana Voters A new Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey… An Emerson College Polling survey in Indiana finds a plurality of voters (39%) to be… The final Emerson College poll before the November 3rd election finds the former Vice President… A new Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey of Ohio voters finds that 54% of voters support Donald Trump for president while 42% support Vice President Kamala Harris Two percent plan to vote for a third party and 2% are undecided.  The last Emerson College Ohio poll in early September found Trump leading Harris by ten points Harris’ support decreased by one point and Trump’s support increased by one point.  With undecided voters’ support accounted for but among those planning to vote in person Brown’s support decreased by two percentage points and Moreno’s support increased by four points while the share of undecided voters decreased from 10% to 6%.  “Eight percent of voters are splitting their ticket—2% of Harris voters while 6% of Trump voters are supporting Brown Fifty-four percent of Ohio voters have a favorable opinion of former President Trump Forty-four percent have a favorable view of Harris while 56% have an unfavorable opinion of the Vice President.  A majority (58%) of Ohio voters disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President Thirty-eight percent approve of the job Mike DeWine is doing as Governor The economy is the top issue among Ohio voters The Emerson College Polling national survey was conducted October 30-November 2 FULL RESULTS New Emerson College Polling/The Hill statewide polls find Donald Trump leading Kamala Harris by ten… The final Emerson College Polling Ohio Republican Primary poll fielded Sunday-Monday before the Tuesday election,… A new Emerson College Polling/The Hill poll in Ohio finds State Senator Matt Dolan is… Democratic US Senate Candidates Outperforming Biden New Emerson College Polling/The Hill state polls find former President Donald Trump with a slight edge on President Joe Biden in Arizona (47% to 43%) Wisconsin (47% to 44%) Nevada (46% to 43%) while Biden splits with Trump in Minnesota (45% to 45%) “In our first polling in several key swing states since Trump’s conviction last month with support for both Trump and Biden staying largely consistent since November,” Spencer Kimball results fall within the poll’s margin of error.” “Independent voters break for Trump in all seven states – however there has been some movement among these voters since April,” Kimball said Trump’s support among independents dropped five points Biden lost support among independents in Georgia the Democratic Senate candidate leads the Republican candidate in Arizona Democratic Senate candidates outperform Biden by two in Arizona Voters in Arizona and Nevada were asked if they would vote “yes” or “no” on a potential ballot measure to establish the constitutional right to abortion in their state 56% would vote “yes,” 26% would vote “no,” and 18% are not sure yet 58% would vote “yes,” 20% “no,” and 21% are not sure yet.  Regarding a ballot measure in Arizona that allowed for state and local police to arrest noncitizens who cross the border unlawfully and allow state judges to order deportations 55% would vote “yes,” 29% “no,” and 16% are not sure.  The most important issue for each state remains the economy: 27% in Arizona note it as their top issue Immigration closely follows the economy as a top concern in Arizona Perceived impact of Trump conviction & Hunter Biden conviction Voters were asked if Donald Trump’s criminal conviction of 34 felonies impacts their vote this November A plurality in all states say it has no impact on their vote.  Voters were asked if Hunter Biden’s criminal conviction of three felonies impacts their vote for Biden this November or if it has no impact.  A majority of voters in each state said it has no impact on their vote.  The sample for each state included n=1,000 registered voters for the sample is +/- 3% in 19 of 20 cases in each state The survey was administered by contacting respondents’ cell phones via MMS-to-web and landlines (except for MN) via Interactive Voice Response with respondents provided by Aristotle FULL RESULTS Majority Support Boston Immigration Policy Boston-based WNBA Team The first Emerson College… NYC Voters Divided on Deportations: 42% See Negative Impact 41% Positive The first Emerson College… Majority Feel Their Family Income is Falling Behind Cost of Living The first Emerson College… Though 51% Report Their Economic Situation Worsened Over Last Four Years The first Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey of the 2025 Virginia gubernatorial election finds 42% of voters support Democratic former Representative Abigail Spanberger and 41% support Republican Lieutenant Governor Winsome Earle-Sears “Ten months before the 2025 Virginia gubernatorial election the race is tight overall but with clear demographic differences standing out,” said Spencer Kimball “Support for Earle-Sears is found among male voters who break for the Lieutenant Governor 52% to 37% and both older and young voters: those over 70 A majority of voters (51%) feel their economic situation is worse than it was four years ago “Among those who feel their economic situation is worse than four years ago 56% think the state is headed in the right direction and 56% have a favorable view of the Governor 66% of those who feel they are worse off than four years ago have an unfavorable view of President Biden suggesting they may be blaming the president rather than Governor Youngkin for their current economic situation,” Kimball said Term-limited Governor Glenn Youngkin holds a 48% favorable rating while 35% have an unfavorable view of the Governor Twenty-four percent are neutral and 17% are not familiar with the candidate and 18% are not familiar with the Lieutenant Governor.  Virginia voters are split on their view of President-elect Donald Trump: 47% have a favorable view of Trump and 47% have an unfavorable view of him President Joe Biden holds a 43% favorable rating among Virginia voters while 50% have an unfavorable view of the President.  Fifty-nine percent of voters think Virginia is headed in the right direction while 41% think the state is on the wrong track The top issue for Virginia voters is the economy (38%) followed by housing affordability (14%) A plurality of voters (41%) feel their community’s safety has remained unchanged over the past four years Following a significant snowstorm that impacted parts of Virginia 56% agree it is possible that the heavy snowstorms could be caused by climate change The Emerson College Polling Virginia survey was conducted January 6-8 landlines via interactive voice response and (phone list provided by Aristotle) FULL RESULTS New Emerson College Polling/PIX11/The Hill surveys of New York’s 17th and 18th congressional districts find close elections for the two US House seats 45% support incumbent Republican Congressman Michael Lawler while 44% support former congressman Mondaire Jones Three percent support Working Families Party Anthony Frascone “Mondaire Jones is leading among young voters under 40 “The Working Families Party candidate also pulls 6% among voters under 40.” Lawler has a 47% favorable rating in the district Thirteen percent are not familiar with him Twenty percent are not familiar with Jones.  48% plan to support incumbent Democratic Representative Pat Ryan while 43% support Republican Alison Esposito “There is a sharp gender divide in the 18th district: men break for Esposito 52% to 40% A majority of voters (52%) have a favorable view of Ryan while 37% have an unfavorable view of him and 11% are not familiar with the congressman Forty-seven percent have a favorable view of Esposito while 30% have an unfavorable view of her.  The presidential election is neck-and-neck in both NY17 and 18 and 49% support Donald Trump for president The top issue for NY17 voters is the economy (32%) The top issue for NY18 voters is the economy (39%) Voters were asked if the number of migrants seeking sanctuary in the United States is a crisis A majority of voters in both districts think it is a crisis: 56% in NY17 and 53% in NY18 Thirty-four percent in NY17 and 35% in NY18 think it is a problem but not a crisis while 10% in NY17 and 13% in NY18 think it is not a problem at all.  The Emerson College Polling/Pix11/The Hill 17th district and 18th district surveys were conducted October 1-3 The sample of NY 17th district likely voters is n=630 The sample of NY 18th district likely voters is n=630 NY17 FULL RESULTS NY18 FULL RESULTS The first poll of 2025 dropped this morning and we can draw three conclusion from the results of this Emerson/Hill: Jack Ciattarelli is probably an early GOP gubernatorial nomination frontrunner The Democrat clown car primary is all bunched up with no clear leader There are a sh*t ton of undecideds owing to the low name recognition of most candidates Click here to read the full report Here are the results (of each party’s respective primary voters): “With less than six months until New Jersey’s gubernatorial primaries 2021 Republican gubernatorial candidate Ciattarelli emerges as the early favorite in the primary with presumably higher name recognition,” opined Spencer Kimball the executive director for Emerson College Polling though the 55% share of undecided voters leaves room for any candidate in the race to consolidate support.” It’s not great news for the Democrats; a longer bruising primary could damage the party’s prospects in the general election The first GOP debate co-sponsored by Save Jersey is scheduled for February 4th GOP gubernatorial hopeful Bramnick criticizes Trump’s January 6th pardons Affordable Energy for New Jersey GunForHire.com Job Creators Network Jersey 1st Monmouth GOP Copyright © 2025 | WordPress Theme by MH Themes and wherever else amazing podcasts are found A new Emerson College Polling/The Hill/Nexstar Media poll of Texas voters finds 51% of voters support former President Donald Trump, while 46% support Vice President Kamala Harris in the 2024 presidential election. Three percent are undecided. When undecided voters were asked whom they lean toward, Trump’s support increased to 52% and Harris to 47%. Since the early September Emerson Texas poll Trump’s support increased by one point while Harris held 46%.  “Hispanic voters in Texas break for Harris 54% to 41% The overall gender divide finds women break for Harris by six while men break for Trump by 19.” Regardless of who they support for president Forty-six percent have a favorable view of Kamala Harris Trump’s favorability is split: 50% have a favorable view of the former president and 50% have a favorable view of him.  In the US Senate Election between incumbent Republican Senator Ted Cruz and Democratic Congressman Colin Allred, 49% support Cruz and 45% support Allred. Six percent are undecided.  Cruz and Allred both increased a point since the poll earlier this month which found 44% supporting Allred and 48% Cruz.  Half of voters (50%) have an unfavorable view of Cruz Forty-four percent of voters view Allred favorably Fifteen percent have never heard of the Democratic candidate.  A majority of Texas voters (56%) disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as president Forty-six percent approve of the job Greg Abbott is doing as governor Voters were asked if the current abortion law in Texas which bans abortion after approximately six weeks of pregnancy A majority of Texas voters (53%) think the current abortion law is too strict Immigration is the top issue for 32% of Texas voters Immigration is the top issue for a majority of Republican voters (53%) while Democrats are more split between the economy (25%) and abortion access (22%) The Texas survey was conducted September 22-24 Turnout modeling is based on information provided by voter registration/statewide demographic databases.  FULL RESULTS A new Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey of Virginia voters finds 45% support former President Donald Trump and 43% support President Biden in a 2024 election When undecided voters are pushed to choose the candidate they lean toward Trump and Biden’s overall support increases to 50% respectively.  “In a state Biden won by 10 points in 2020 the president is now essentially tied with Trump,” Spencer Kimball a group that broke for Biden in 2020 by double digits.” “Trump also leads Biden among male voters by 12 points expanding his lead among this group since 2020 while Biden leads among women by six points In a matchup between Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris and 2% Jill Stein; 8% are undecided.  Incumbent Democratic Senator Tim Kaine leads his Republican challenger Hung Cao by 10 points “Eight percent of those voting for Kaine say they plan to vote for Trump compared to 3% of Cao voters supporting Biden,” Kimball noted “Kaine leads his opponent by 27 points among voters in their 30s while Biden leads Trump by 7 points among these same voters.”  A majority of Virginia voters (71%) think the United States is on the wrong track while 29% think the country is headed in the right direction 59% of voters think the state is headed in the right direction President Biden holds a 37% job approval among Virginia voters; 53% disapprove of the job he is doing Governor Glenn Youngkin holds a 46% approval rating 38% disapprove of the job he is doing.  The economy is the top issue among Virginia voters at 40% Voters were asked if they would like to see abortion laws in Virginia made more strict or remain as they are: 44% would like to see abortion laws be less strict A plurality of Republicans (43%) would like to see abortion laws made more strict while 68% of Democrats think they should be made less strict and independents think they should either remain as they are (42%) or be less strict (39%) The sample of Virginia voters consists of n=1,000 registered voters FULL RESULTS A new Emerson College Polling/The Hill poll in Missouri finds 23% of voters support Secretary of State Jay Ashcroft and 20% support Lieutenant Governor Mike Kehoe in the August Republican Primary for Governor; 46% are undecided Six percent support State Senator Bill Eigel “Kehoe’s strength is older voters: 26% of voters over 60 support Kehoe while 18% support Ashcroft Ashcroft performs best with voters in their 30s and 50s: 31% of whom support Ashcroft while 15% support Kehoe,” Spencer Kimball 53% of Missouri voters support former president Donald Trump and 1% support Cornel West and Jill Stein respectively.  reflecting a trend in statewide and national polling,” Kimball said.  In the U.S. Senate Election, 47% support incumbent Republican Senator Josh Hawley, while 38% support Democrat Lucas Kunce. Ten percent are undecided. Since February Hawley’s support has increased by four points while Kunce’s support increased by eight points The economy is the top issue for 34% of Missouri voters “The share of voters who say abortion is the most important issue facing their state in Missouri is higher than any state poll we have conducted in the past year,” Kimball noted “These voters break for Biden and Kunce on the ballot in November for Biden over Trump 83% to 13% and Kunce over Hawley 79% to 12% Voters who say the economy is the top issue break for Trump 72% to 21% A majority of Missouri voters (56%) agree with the Supreme Court ruling on the availability of mifepristone a pharmaceutical used in medicated abortion while 25% disagree and 19% are not sure.  Missouri voters are split on sports betting if it were to be on the ballot: 38% would vote to legalize sports betting Voters were asked how important it is to them that the Kansas City Chiefs and Royals remain in Missouri.  The Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey in Missouri was conducted June 17-19 The sample consisted of n=1000 registered voters The sample of likely Republican Primary voters consists of a sample of n=489 and age based on 2024 registration modeling voter registration data provided by the Missouri Secretary of State Data was collected by landlines via Interactive Voice Response (IVR) phone lists provided by Aristotle and an online panel provided by CINT FULL RESULTS Majority support ballot measures on abortion access & sports gambling An Emerson College Polling/The Hill… A new Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey in New Mexico finds Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump by 10 points Harris’ lead decreases to eight points when the candidate undecided voters lean toward is included “Harris’ lead is similar to Joe Biden’s 10.8 point win over Trump in 2020,” Spencer Kimball “Independent voters in New Mexico break for Harris Men break for Harris by a narrow two-point margin The economy is the top issue for 29% of New Mexico voters “Voters who find the economy to be the top issue break for Trump and abortion all break for Harris significantly When asked who they trust more to handle immigration in New Mexico and 46% trust Trump more; 6% trust neither candidate.  Fifty-three percent of voters have a favorable view of Vice President Harris while 45% have an unfavorable view of Harris Forty-two percent have a favorable view of Trump while 57% have an unfavorable view of him.  Senate Election between incumbent Democrat Martin Heinrich and Republican Nella Domenici Democratic candidates lead the Republicans in all three U.S incumbent Democrat Melanie Ann Stansbury leads Republican Steve Jones 51% to 37%; 12% of voters are undecided while 41% support Republican Yvette Herrell 52% support Democrat Teresa Leger Fernandez while 39% support Republican Sharon Clahchishchilliage; 9% are undecided A majority of New Mexico voters say they feel less safe in New Mexico than they did five years ago while 15% feel more safe and 32% feel the same amount of safe.  The Emerson College Polling/The Hill New Mexico survey was conducted August 20-22 exit polling and voter registration data.  FULL RESULTS Majority of Voters Expect Jury to Find Trump Guilty on Some or All Counts A new Emerson College Polling/The Hill/PIX11 survey of New York voters finds President Joe Biden with 48% support in the 2024 presidential election while 41% support former President Donald Trump; 12% are undecided When undecided voters are asked which candidate they lean toward and 1% Jill Stein; 11% are undecided.  “Independent voters in New York who traditionally vote for Democrats have flipped to lean toward Trump by a margin of ten points New York voters were asked about Trump’s criminal trial regarding charges of falsifying business records including a hush money payment to Stormy Daniels Twenty-seven percent expect the jury to find him guilty on all counts Regarding if voters would find Trump guilty or not based on what they have heard “71% of Democrats would find Trump guilty of all charges while 71% of Republicans would find him not guilty Independents are split: 37% say he’s not guilty and 29% think he’s guilty of some but not all counts,” Kimball noted and 46% of Republicans expect the jury to find him guilty of some or all charges.” Regarding aid to Israel in the war with Hamas Regarding humanitarian relief to Palestinians The economy is the top issue for 34% of New York voters Forty-four percent of voters think there is more crime in their area compared to a year ago 41% think there is about the same amount of crime A majority of voters (58%) consider the number of migrants seeking sanctuary in the United States a crisis 35% think it is a problem but not a crisis and 7% think it is not a problem at all.  President Biden holds a 39% job approval in New York while 50% disapprove of the job he is doing Governor Kathy Hochul holds a 34% job approval Voters were asked if they have a favorable or unfavorable view of New York politicians: 30% have a favorable view of Mayor Eric Adams while 60% have an unfavorable view of Adams Forty-five percent (45%) of New York City voters have a favorable view of Andrew Cuomo and 49% have an unfavorable view of the former governor.  The Emerson College Polling New York survey was conducted May 28-29 Turnout modeling is based on US Census parameters Data was collected by contacting cell phones via MMS-to-web and landlines via Interactive Voice Response (IVR) (provided by Aristotle) FULL RESULTS A new Emerson College Polling/Pix11/The Hill survey in New York finds 54% of voters support… Israel and Ukraine Aid Divisive in District; 83% of Voters Find Santos Unfavorable A new… Democratic primary voters align more with Latimer on Israel-Hamas war A new Emerson College Polling/PIX11/The Hill survey of the New York 16th Congressional District Democratic Primary finds 48% of voters support Westchester County Executive George Latimer while 31% support incumbent Representative Jamaal Bowman “Voters under 40 break for Bowman: 44% to 35% while voters over 40 break for Latimer,” Spencer Kimball “Democratic primary voters ages 40-59 break for Latimer 53% to 31% while voters in their 60s break for Latimer 46% to 29% and voters over 70 break for Latimer 53% to 22%.” Fifty-one percent have a favorable view of the incumbent congressman Sixty-five percent of voters have a favorable view of Latimer President Joe Biden holds a 69% job approval among Democratic primary voters while 23% disapprove of the job he is doing Governor Kathy Hochul has a 55% job approval while 26% disapprove of the job she is doing in office.  The economy (22%) and housing affordability (21%) are the top issues for Democratic primary voters in the district Forty-five percent of voters align more with George Latimer on the war between Israel and Hamas A plurality of Democratic primary voters (43%) are less inclined to support a member of Congress who opposes a ceasefire in Gaza while 37% are more inclined to support a candidate who opposes a ceasefire Twenty percent say it has no impact on their support.  Half (50%) of Democratic primary voters think the U.S government is spending too much on aid to Israel in the war with Hamas Regarding humanitarian relief to Palestinians in Gaza A majority of voters (55%) think there is about the same amount of crime in their area as there was a year ago Sixty-four percent of Democratic primary voters approve of President Biden’s executive order that prevents migrants from seeking asylum at the U.S.-Mexico border once the average number of daily encounters hits 2,500 between ports of entry The Emerson College Polling/PIX11/The Hill survey of the New York 16th Congressional District Democratic primary was conducted June 6-8 The sample of likely Democratic primary voters has a margin of error (MOE) of +/- 4.7 percentage points.  voter registration data provided by New York Secretary of State Data was collected by contacting cell phones via MMS-to-web and landlines via Interactive Voice Response (IVR) FULL RESULTS Sign In Subscribe Now While people across British Columbia rang in the 2025 New Year family was welcoming new life and the province's first baby of the year into the world Emerson at Royal Inland Hospital in Kamloops 10 ounces is Elijah and Jordan's first child.  "This is our first child so we had a lot of uncertainties and unknowns about what to expect but everything has been amazing we're just super excited to have a healthy baby." on Tuesday morning and they were admitted into Royal Inland around 7:30 p.m both Jordan and Elijah had the thought in the back of their minds that their baby could be born on Jan 1 but never thought it would actually happen.  "We had thought about it but we never really thought it'll be a real thing until we got admitted," said Elijah Little Emerson is also a duel citizen as Elijah is American and splits time between Kamloops and Olympia The new family of three will get to go home on Thursday morning Sign up for free account today and start receiving our exclusive newsletters Dialogue and debate are integral to a free society and we welcome and encourage you to share your views on the issues of the day. We ask that you be respectful of others and their points of view, refrain from personal attacks and stay on topic. To learn about our commenting policies and how our community-based moderation works, please read our Community Guidelines Democrats Maintain Lead over Republicans in Five Senate Races New Emerson College Polling/The Hill swing state polls find President Biden trailing former President Trump in the states of Arizona and Wisconsin; the differences are within each survey’s margin of error Trump leads by four points: 48% to 44%; 8% are undecided “The state of the presidential election in swing states has remained relatively consistent since Emerson and The Hill started tracking them last November,” Spencer Kimball “The share of undecided voters has reduced and Biden gained ground in Georgia and Nevada while Trump has maintained a slight edge on Biden in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.” “Independent voters break for Trump over Biden in Arizona (48%-38%) However they break for Biden over Trump in Georgia (42%-38%) and Wisconsin (44%-41%),” Kimball noted.  When third-party candidates are included on the ballot support is pulled away from Biden more than Trump in five states: Georgia Support is drawn evenly from each candidate in Arizona and Michigan As the criminal trial is being held in New York voters were asked which statement comes closer to their view: the trial is appropriate to hold Trump accountable A plurality of voters in all swing states consider the trial appropriate to hold the former president accountable Voters were asked how a Trump guilty verdict would impact the likelihood of supporting him for president in 2024 A majority of Republicans say it would make them more likely to support Trump in 2024 while 15% of Pennsylvania Republicans say they are less likely to support Trump Impact of a guilty verdict on independent voters’ likelihood to support Trump: In the Arizona U.S. Senate election, 45% support Democrat Ruben Gallego to replace retiring Senator Kyrsten Sinema, while 43% support Republican Kari Lake; 12% are undecided. Since March Gallego’s support has increased by one point 46% support incumbent Democratic Senator Bob Casey 42% support Democrat Elissa Slotkin for the open seat 46% of voters support incumbent Democratic Senator Tammy Baldwin In the North Carolina gubernatorial election Five percent plan to vote for someone else and 12% are undecided Senate matchup between incumbent Democrat Jacky Rosen and Republican Sam Brown When Rosen is matched up against Republican Jeff Gunter Data was weighted by statewide general population parameters education and voter registration and turnout data The survey was administered by contacting respondents’ cell phones via MMS-to-web and landlines via Interactive Voice Response with respondents provided by Aristotle FULL RESULTS Democratic Statewide Candidates Outperforming GOP Candidates New Emerson College Polling/The Hill surveys of likely voters… Hogan with Majority Support in GOP Primary A new Emerson College Polling/The Hill/DC News Now survey in Maryland finds the Democratic U.S Senate primary in a dead heat: 42% of voters support Angela Alsobrooks When undecided voters are asked which candidate they lean toward and are accounted for in the candidate’s total support “Since the February Maryland poll while those who are likely but have not yet voted break for Alsobrooks In the Republican Senate primary, a majority (56%) support Larry Hogan, 18% support Robin Ficker, and 20% are undecided. Since the February poll following Hogan’s announcement to enter the race both Alsobrooks and Trone lead Hogan in hypothetical matchups: Alsobrooks leads 48% to 38% Hogan’s support has decreased from 42% against Trone while the Democratic candidates have increased support in the general election Voters were asked if they had a favorable or unfavorable view of Alsobrooks President Biden holds a 48% job approval among Maryland voters  With third-party candidates included on the ballot The economy is the top issue for 31% of voters Fifty-one percent of voters generally disapprove of the pro-Palestine demonstrations on college campuses and 19% are not familiar or have no opinion.  The Emerson College Polling/The Hill Maryland poll was conducted May 6-8 The sample consisted of n=1,115 Maryland registered voters and with a credibility interval similar to a poll’s margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points and education based on US Census parameters and Maryland voter registration and voter turnout data by regions (MD SOS) Data was collected by contacting a list of cell phones via MMS-to-web and landlines via Interactive Voice Response (IVR) and know that with a confidence interval of 95% a poll will fall outside the range of scores 1 in 20 times Numbers included in the press release are rounded to the nearest whole number therefore totals might not always equal 100 This survey was conducted by Emerson College Polling and sponsored by Nexstar Media full results and cross tabulations can be found below FULL RESULTS Harris 63%, Trump 33% A new Emerson College Polling/DC News Now/The Hill survey of Maryland… A new Emerson College Polling/DC News Now/The Hill poll finds 49% of Maryland likely voters… Trump’s Criminal Indictments Raise More Doubts for Voters than Bidens’ Age  Economy and Crime are… Three new Emerson College polls, commissioned by Smart Approaches to Marijuana (SAM), measured American attitudes… CBC LiteSectionsNews • Canada • British ColumbiaHere are B.C.'s 1st babies of 2025CBC News | Posted: January 1, 2025 11:31 PM | Last Updated: January 1 1st baby born in B.C. in 2025 was at 12:02 a.m. PT in Kamloops Caption: Jordan Hill, left, and partner Elijah Hill of Kamloops, B.C., welcomed baby boy Emerson on Jan. 1 at 12:02 a.m. (Interior Health) Caption: Jordan and Elijah Hill smile at their newborn baby Emerson. (CBC) Caption: Jamie Carballo and Jeremy Borys welcomed the first baby in Fraser Health, a boy who weighed seven pounds one ounce. (Fraser Health) .embed_embed__gX4nW button { display: none; }In the Fraser Health region, the first baby was delivered at 12:07 a.m. PT at New Westminster's Royal Columbian Hospital. Jamie Carballo and Jeremy Borys are the proud parents of a seven pound one ounce boy who has yet to be given a name. Island Health's first baby also arrived at 12:07 a.m. PT. Baby boy Zion Ebo Zormelo-Kika was born at Victoria General Hospital, weighing in at eight pounds three ounces.Image | Island Health baby Caption: Zion Ebo Zormelo-Kika was the first baby born in the Island Health region in 2025. (Island Health) .embed_embed__gX4nW button { display: none; }Providence Health Care said the first baby at Vancouver's St. Paul's Hospital arrived at 11:10 a.m. PT. Uma Suna and her partner welcomed baby girl Deena Suna, who weighed seven pounds one ounce.CBC News has reached out to Vancouver Coastal Health and Northern Health for information about the first babies born in their respective regions.Image | Providence first baby Caption: Uma Suna and her partner welcomed Deena Suna at Vancouver's St. Paul’s Hospital at 11:10 a.m. PT on Jan. 1. (Providence Health Care) .embed_embed__gX4nW button { display: none; }The first baby born in B.C. in 2024 was born at 12 a.m. on the dot at Royal Columbian Hospital in New Westminster Parents Julia Goryn and Travis Stutsky were beaming with excitement over the arrival of their first child More Stories Like ThisThe related links below are generated automatically based on the story you’ve just read Sign up for a free account today and start receiving our exclusive newsletters A new Emerson College Polling/KLAS-TV/The Hill poll in Nevada finds 44% of voters support Donald Trump for president in 2024 With the candidate undecided voters lean toward accounted for “Nevada Hispanic voters support Biden over Trump while white voters break for Trump over Biden Thirty-five percent of Trump voters support the former president because they care about an issue A quarter (25%) support Trump because they like him Forty-two percent of Biden supporters support him because they dislike Trump When third-party candidates are added to the ballot When asked if Joe Biden deserves to be re-elected in November a majority of voters (61%) believe he does not deserve to be re-elected while 39% say he deserves a second term.  Voters were also asked if Donald Trump deserves another chance to run for President after what happened on January 6 Fifty-three percent say Trump does not deserve another chance to run while 47% think he does deserve another chance.  Senate election between Democratic Senator Jacky Rosen and Republican Sam Brown The economy is the top issue for 30% of voters Voters were asked how concerned they were about the following issues in Nevada: crime and border security A majority of voters (57%) think Formula 1 racing is generally a good thing for Nevada The Emerson College Polling/KLAS-TV/The Hill Nevada survey was conducted March 12-15 and with a confidence interval of 95% a poll will fall outside the range of scores 1 in 20 times Data was collected by contacting an Interactive Voice Response (IVR) system of landlines and a consumer list of emails (both provided by Aristotle) and an online panel of voters provided by Alchemer along with full results and cross tabulations can be found under “Full Results.” FULL RESULTS Brown (R) 45% A new Emerson College Polling/RealClearWorld poll of likely Nevada… A new Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey in Michigan finds 45% of voters support former President Donald Trump and 44% support President Joe Biden in a 2024 presidential election Trump and Biden’s support increases to 50% each.  When these independent undecided voters are pushed their overall ballot test is split: 51% support Trump and 49% Biden,” Spencer Kimball “While 35% of voters express interest in a third-party candidate only 7% ultimately opt for one when given additional choices,” Kimball added Fifty-one percent think after what happened on January 6 Donald Trump does not deserve another chance to run for president Biden holds 39% job approval among Michigan voters Governor Gretchen Whitmer holds 49% job approval In a hypothetical presidential election between Whitmer and Donald Trump Senate election between Democrat Elissa Slotkin and Republican Mike Rogers In a hypothetical matchup between Slotkin and Republican Sandy Pensler Between Republican Peter Meijer and Slotkin In a matchup between Republican Justin Amash and Slotkin The economy is the top issue for Michigan voters at 38% Support for 2024 presidential candidate by top issue: The Emerson College Polling/The Hill Michigan survey was conducted March 14-18 Data was collected by contacting an Interactive Voice Response (IVR) system of landlines a consumer list of emails (both by Aristotle) and an online panel of voters provided by Alchemer.This survey was conducted by Emerson College Polling and sponsored by Nexstar Media FULL RESULTS A new Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey of Wisconsin voters finds 46% support Donald Trump and 43% support President Joe Biden in the 2024 presidential election “Independent voters in Wisconsin break for Biden 42% to 37% “The race tightens among independents when undecideds are pushed: 51% overall support Biden Sixty-three percent of voters are satisfied with the options of Biden and Trump while 37% say they want to see a third-party candidate on the ballot and 1% support Cornel West and Jill Stein respectively Fifty-one percent think Donald Trump deserves another chance to run for president after January 6 while 49% think he does not deserve another chance.  45% support incumbent Democratic Senator Tammy Baldwin The economy is the most important issue for 35% of voters President Biden holds a 38% job approval and 53% disapproval Governor Tony Evers holds a 42% job approval and 42% disapproval The Emerson College Polling/The Hill Wisconsin survey was conducted March 14-18 FULL RESULTS Brown (D) 45% A new Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey of Ohio… Deaton (R) 36% A new Emerson College Polling/WHDH survey in… A new Emerson College Polling/The Hill poll of the June Republican primary in South Carolina’s 1st congressional district finds incumbent Representative Nancy Mace with 47% support Twenty-four percent are undecided ahead of the June primary.  “With just under three weeks until the South Carolina primary elections Mace holds a significant lead over her primary challengers Templeton and Young,” Spencer Kimball “Mace’s support is strongest among voters over 70 A plurality of SC-01 Republican primary voters (43%) say former President Donald Trump’s endorsement of Mace does not impact their vote while it makes 37% more likely to vote for Mace and 20% less likely to support the Congresswoman.  “Male voters are 13 percentage points more likely than women voters in the 1st district to say Trump’s endorsement makes them more likely to support Mace If Donald Trump were to receive a guilty verdict in his criminal trial in New York 51% of Republican Primary voters say it would not impact their vote in 2024 36% say it would make them more likely to support the former president The economy is the top issue for 46% of SC-01 Republican primary voters Voters were asked which Republican primary candidate for Congress they trust to do a better job on a series of issues: border security A majority of voters trust Mace to do the best job on each issue.  The Emerson College Polling/The Hill South Carolina 1st District poll was conducted May 19-21 The sample consisted of n=400 South Carolina 1st district likely Republican primary voters and with a margin of error of +/- 4.9 percentage points and South Carolina voter registration and voter turnout data FULL RESULTS A new Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey of South Carolina voters finds former President Donald… Plurality of Primary Voters Oppose Six-week Abortion Law A new Emerson College Polling survey of… A final Emerson College Polling/Nexstar South Carolina poll finds former Vice President Joe Biden at… 2019 — One year out from the South Carolina primary A new Emerson College Polling/The Hill poll in Pennsylvania finds 47% of voters support former president Donald Trump and 43% support President Joe Biden for president in 2024 When voters are asked which candidate they lean toward “There is a distinction in motivation between Biden and Trump voters,” Spencer Kimball “Trump voters support the former president because they care about an issue (28%) whereas a plurality of Biden voters (33%) support the president because they dislike Trump and 24% support Biden because they like him as a candidate.” With third-party candidates included on the ballot The economy is the top issue for 36% of voters Senate matchup between incumbent Democratic Senator Bob Casey and Republican Dave McCormick President Biden holds a 38% job approval among Pennsylvania voters and a 55% job disapproval Governor Josh Shapiro holds a 47% job approval and 31% disapproval Pennsylvania voters were asked which presidential candidate they think would do a better job on immigration and border security Voters were asked if Biden’s age or Trump’s criminal indictments raise doubts in their minds about voting for each candidate in 2024 while Trump’s indictments raise doubts for 55% Independents are equally concerned: 61% say Biden’s age and Trump’s indictments raise doubts for voting for each candidate.  The Emerson College Polling/The Hill Pennsylvania survey was conducted March 10-13 Data was collected by contacting cell phones via MMS-to-web and consumer list of emails provided by Aristotle along with an online panel of voters provided by Alchemer FULL RESULTS McCormick (R) 46% New Emerson College Polling/RealClearPennsylvania polling shows 49% of Keystone… Pennsylvania Senate Election Remains Close New Emerson College Polling/RealClearPennsylvania survey finds 48% of voters support… Baldwin Leads Potential GOP Opponent Hovde A new Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey in Wisconsin finds 45% of voters support former President Donald Trump and 42% President Joe Biden in a 2024 presidential election matchup Biden’s support has decreased by three percentage points “Independent voters in Wisconsin break for President Biden over Trump 41% to 35%,” Spencer Kimball “Voters under 30 are split: 39% support Trump 1% support Cornel West and Jill Stein respectively The economy is the top issue for 31% of Wisconsin voters “Voters who find the economy to be the top issue break for Trump over Biden while voters who say threats to democracy is the top issue break for Biden over Trump President Biden’s age raises serious doubts in the minds of 62% of voters in supporting Biden in 2024 while 39% say Biden’s age is not a serious consideration for them Trump’s criminal indictments raise doubts for 56% of voters while 44% do not consider his indictments to be a serious consideration in their vote.  Senate Election between incumbent Democratic Senator Tammy Baldwin and Republican Eric Hovde “Among those who support Trump in the presidential general election 9% plan to split their ticket and vote for Baldwin 4% plan to split their ticket and vote for Hovde Biden holds a 38% job approval among Wisconsin voters; 53% disapprove of the job he is doing in office Governor Evers holds a 46% approval; 41% disapprove of the job he is doing in office Forty-four percent think the things in Wisconsin are on the wrong track while 36% think the state is headed in the right direction.  The Emerson College Polling/The Hill Wisconsin survey was conducted February 20-24 a consumer list of emails (both provided by Aristotle) FULL RESULTS A new Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey of Arizona voters finds 46% support former President Donald Trump and 43% support President Joe Biden in a 2024 rematch and 1% support Cornel West and Jill Stein respectively; 10% are undecided.  “Independent voters narrowly break for Biden “Another key group that carried Biden’s win in Arizona in 2020 was the female vote who are split between Trump and Biden with 44% apiece.” Biden’s age raises serious doubts in voting for him for 59% of Arizona voters while 41% say it is not a serious consideration in their vote Trump’s criminal indictments raise doubts in voting for him for 55% of voters while 45% say it is not a serious consideration.  Other prominent Democrats trail Trump: Vice President Harris 40% to 48% and California Governor Newsom 34% to 47%.  Immigration is the top issue facing Arizona for 31% of voters Senate election between incumbent independent Krysten Sinema she splits the vote among independents with Gallego However in a head-to-head between Gallego and Lake independents break for the Democrat: 42% support Gallego The Emerson College Polling/The Hill Arizona survey was conducted February 16-19 FULL RESULTS Trump and Biden with Majority Support Ahead of Tuesday Primary A new Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey of Michigan voters finds 46% of voters support former President Donald Trump and 44% President Joe Biden in a potential 2024 presidential general election matchup Biden’s support has increased by three percentage points “Male voters in Michigan break for Trump by twelve points whereas women voters break for Biden by five “Michigan’s independent voters break for Trump over Biden 43% to 37%.” 69% of Republican primary voters plan to support Donald Trump When the 11% of undecided voters are asked which candidate they lean towards 9% plan to vote “uncommitted” on the ballot With the 12% undecided pushed to ask which candidate they lean toward The economy is the top issue for 31% of Michigan voters “Voters who say the economy is the top issue facing Michigan break for Trump over Biden along with immigration 86% to 7%,” Kimball said “Those who say threats to democracy break for Biden 76% to 19%.” President Biden’s age raises serious doubts in the minds of 57% of voters in supporting Biden in 2024 while 43% say Biden’s age is not a serious consideration for them Trump’s criminal indictments raise doubts for 55% of voters while 45% do not consider his indictments to be a serious consideration in their vote.  Biden’s age presents more of a concern among voters under 50 than over 50: 63% of voters under 50 say Biden’s age raises doubts about voting for him compared to 53% of voters over 50,” Kimball said.  Biden holds a 38% job approval among Michigan voters while 52% disapprove of the job he is doing in office Governor Whitmer holds a 49% approval rating while 40% disapprove of the job she is doing in office Forty-four percent think the things in the state are on the wrong track while 40% think the state is headed in the right direction.  A majority (61%) of voters think the Michigan Legislature’s recently passed series of bills on gun control will be effective (19% very effective while 21% think it will be not too effective Regarding the impact of legislation that will make energy generation in Michigan renewable by 2040 42% think it will make Michigan’s energy supply less reliable The Emerson College Polling/The Hill Michigan survey was conducted February 20-24 FULL RESULTS Trump Voters Motivated by an Issue; Biden Voters Motivated by Disdain for Trump A new Emerson College Polling/The Hill Georgia poll finds 46% of voters support former President Donald Trump and 42% support President Joe Biden in a likely 2024 presidential matchup Trump’s support increases to 52% and Biden to 48% “Biden voters are twice as likely to be motivated by their dislike for Trump (30%) compared to Trump voters’ motivation by their dislike for Biden (15%),” Spencer Kimball “A plurality of Trump voters (32%) are breaking for him due to their concern about an issue with the economy (29%) and immigration (21%) being the top priorities for these voters.” When independent candidates are added to the ballot and 3% of Republicans when third parties are on the ballot,” Kimball noted.  The economy is the most important issue facing Georgia at 32% Voters were asked if they think Biden or Trump would do a better job on immigration and border security Joe Biden holds a 37% approval rating among Georgia voters while 53% disapprove of his performance in the Oval Office Governor Brian Kemp holds a 48% approval rating while 30% disapprove of the job he is doing as Governor Thirty-seven percent of voters think Georgia is heading in the right direction while 39% say the state is on the wrong track.  The Emerson College Polling Georgia survey was conducted March 5-7 Note on graphics: figures may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding Data was collected by contacting a voter list of cell phones via MMS-to-web Interactive Voice Response (IVR) system of landlines and a consumer list of emails (both provided by Aristotle) FULL RESULTS A new Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey in Georgia finds 48% of voters support former… The Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey of Georgia voters ahead of the December 6 Senate… Economic concerns & housing affordability are top issues for Montana voters A new Emerson College Polling/The Hill poll of Montana voters finds 44% support incumbent Democratic Senator Jon Tester, and 42% support Republican Bridger Aerospace CEO Tim Sheehy. Fourteen percent are undecided. The last Emerson poll in October 2023 found Tester with 39% “Independent Montana voters break for Senator Tester by 10 points Executive Director of Emerson College Polling “Fourteen percent of 2024 Trump voters plan to split their ticket and vote for Tester President Joe Biden holds a 28% job approval and a 62% disapproval among Montana voters Governor Greg Gianforte holds a 37% job approval while 37% disapprove of the job he is doing Forty-one percent of voters think Montana is on the wrong track while 31% think the state is heading in the right direction.  In a 2024 presidential election between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump “Trump’s support in this survey at 56% is reflective of his 2020 support of 56.9% whereas Biden’s 35% is down from his 41% showing in 2020,” Kimball said “The 21-point margin Trump leads by in Montana is more reflective of Trump’s 20-point win over Clinton in 2016.” Biden’s age raises doubts for 68% of voters in supporting Biden in 2024 while it is not a serious consideration for 32% Former President Donald Trump’s criminal indictments raise serious doubts for 50% while 50% say it is not a serious consideration The economy (27%) and housing affordability (26%) are the top two issues Montana voters think are facing their state Montana voters were asked a series of hypothetical candidate questions.  The Montana poll was conducted February 26 – March 2 The sample consisted of 1,000 registered voters similar to a poll’s margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points and Montana voter registration and voter turnout data by regions (MT SOS) Data was collected by contacting cell phones via MMS-to-web and emails provided by Aristotle along with an online panel of voters provided by Alchemer.  This survey was conducted by Emerson College Polling and the questions included in this release are all sponsored by Nexstar Media along with full results and cross tabulations can be found here FULL RESULTS The idiom “wearing many hats” is an understatement for Nakia Hill because I am invested in the city of Boston,” said Hill who recently became the first-ever Director of Communications for Boston’s newly-formed Community Engagement Cabinet The Community Engagement Cabinet leads the City of Boston’s work eliminating silos between Boston residents and City Hall Their goal is to better connect neighborhood services They want to improve how Boston includes community voices in its decision-making.  “I look at my job as a messenger and translator — to translate complex initiatives and policies to residents so they are aware of what is happening in their city I also want to make sure that I am communicating that the city welcomes constituents to have a seat at the table to be a part of city efforts so residents are a part of the decision-making process and their voices and opinions are not only heard The Cabinet also raises awareness about Boston’s Neighborhood Liaisons who help residents navigate issues and challenges that could include everything from opening a new business to finding shelter after a house fire Much of the Cabinet of Community Engagment’s work is boots on the ground in Boston neighborhoods to meet people where they’re located That could mean attending a community meeting or connecting residents to available resources offered by the various city departments from Arts and Culture to Food Justice Hill’s prior jobs included working at the nonprofit 826 Boston as the director of youth writing program innovation and partnerships She was an artist-in-residence for the City of Boston Department of Arts and Culture which she said sparked her interest in government She was the first Black woman to be an editor for the Boston Art Review where she is a founding board member.  produced several books from ideation to publication and collaborated with Boston Public School teachers and leaders.  and forging relationships with local government All of those experiences and skills that I have gained during my previous work experiences are all transferable to my current role in local government,” said Hill.  community has always been at the center of my work I always shared my passion for journalism and writing with them in hopes that they are inspired to create their own path in whatever career they want to pursue or role they want to play in society.” While getting her Masters in Print and Multimedia Journalism at Emerson Hill found a community within a small cohort She also hosted two WERS radio shows: The Secret Spot and Rockers “My experience in grad school at Emerson was really hands-on It was like working in the newsroom during each class,” said Hill We hit Tremont Street to conduct man-on-the-street interviews during our first week of classes because I was teaching GED prep classes in Roxbury during the day squeezing in time to study or intern in the afternoon and then I had classes at Emerson in the evening.”  Hill said Senior Journalist-in-Residence Cindy Rodriguez and Professor Emeritus Manny Paraschos were extremely supportive and motivational during her time at Emerson.  “Professor Rodriguez truly spoke life into me during those moments I felt overwhelmed in grad school because I didn’t have the privilege to be just a student,” said Hill “I had to work to pay bills while being focused on excelling academically She also encouraged me to attend journalism conferences connecting me to other BIPOC journalists and open my eyes into fellowships which offered nurturing environments to journalists of color Hill also created and led an anonymous survey about women in the workplace while she was a Boston artist-in-residence The survey was available to all women who lived or worked in Boston with a goal of gaining a better understanding how women of color are treated in Boston workplaces “I really wanted to learn more about women’s experiences beyond my circle I graduated college [from Howard University] a year before the [Great] Recession I was unemployed for a year and had a really difficult time finding a full-time job in journalism,” said Hill “ I spent that year journaling about my experiences temping at local temp agencies I wanted to collect stories and see how our experiences as women were dissimilar or the same.”  Hill said the survey netted responses across many industries She said the goal of the survey is to one day take those stories and develop policies that would protect women in the workplace.  She’s currently working on an anthology about spatial justice, with a focus on women of color’s memories and experiences in Boston’s public parks. This book project is supported by an Olmsted Now grant “Soon there’ll be a public open call for submissions encouraging women to write about their connections in public parks,” said Hill How does one feel in public spaces based on race or gender or we fall in love in front of the water in a public space or not feel anything at all while walking our dog I want women in Boston to explore this in writing in this spatial justice book project.” one thing rings true with Hill: She wants to help lift up as many people as possible and connect them to resources to make their lives better.  “I believe knowledge is power,” Hill said “If you don’t have the knowledge you can’t tap into the power you have within and be inspired to break down barriers to be the change you want to be in your community or the world I don’t believe in waiting for someone else to make change for us I believe we have the power to do that ourselves and collectively as a community.”  News & Stories , , , Addressing Acts of IntoleranceThere’s Still Time to Join ‘Justice at Work’Discover the Cultural Center: Your Space for Community and More! Emerson College is internationally recognized as the nation’s premier institution of higher learning devoted to communication and the arts. Learn more about Emerson College. E-mail Emerson Today Privacy Policy The Economy is Top Concern for Indiana Voters A new Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey of Indiana voters finds U.S Senator Mike Braun leading in the gubernatorial Republican primary with 34% support A plurality of voters (43%) are undecided.  “Republican primary voters who find immigration to be the top issue facing the state break for Braun at 48% “Braun’s support in the Republican primary is about ten points higher among men than women as 51% of women are undecided ahead of the May election.” which candidate for Governor they trust to do the best job on a series of issues while 14% support former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley who dropped out of the race after this poll was conducted Four percent support someone else and five percent are undecided.  President Joe Biden holds a 30% job approval among Indiana voters while 59% disapprove of the job he is doing in office Indiana Governor Eric Holcomb holds a 36% job approval and a 30% disapproval rating “Governor Holcomb holds a 44% approval rating among Republican voters and 35% among independent voters,” Kimball noted.  In a potential 2024 general presidential election The most important issue for Indiana voters is the economy (34%) The Emerson College Polling/The Hill Indiana poll was conducted March 2-5 The Republican primary consisted of 526 likely Republican primary voters and Indiana voter registration and voter turnout data by regions (IN SOS) Data was collected by contacting an online panel of voters provided by Alchemer cell phones via MMS-to-web provided by Aristotle.  FULL RESULTS & Senate Races A new Emerson College Polling/The Hill… You are using an outdated browser. Please upgrade your browser or activate Google Chrome Frame to improve your experience is not entertaining in his latest rendition as a local blues singing talent When The Dart landed on State Street Thursday Hill alongside his three children and mother said he has gravitated toward music since he was young The 28-year-old musician described music as not only a strong passion of his but also something that helped him to develop as a youngster “I was doing things in the streets that I had no business doing But when he and his family relocated from the Windy City to Natchez in 2007 “This is the place for the blues,” Hill said including his latest album titled Room 102 with his hit title track Hill noted he performs anywhere between seven and nine shows each month and performed this past weekend at the local club Joe Carter’s in addition to making an appearance in Rayville But perhaps the most difficult shows he has performed came just a few weeks ago in late March Hill said he had a musical performance the night of her death Hill noted his grandmother was his biggest supporter of all corralling his three children continues to occupy the remainder of his time All three of Hill’s children are 9 and under “We like to run around and play video games,” Hill said Hill said he works hard to instill good values and traits in his children often passing along his own experiences and views I try to let them know about real stuff and let them be themselves,” he said Monday’s SWAC college basketball lineup has lots in store Among those contests is the Southern Jaguars squaring off… Ranked squads are on the Monday college basketball schedule in two games including the Wake Forest Demon Deacons… Monday’s college basketball schedule has several interesting games including the matchup between the McNeese Cowboys and the Stephen… which includes the Tampa Bay Lightning taking on the Florida Panthers Top-25 teams will take the court across two games on Monday’s college basketball slate Adams County residents: Could you live with once-a-week garbage pick up if it would save you significantly on your monthly garbage collection bill View Results The latest Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey of Pennsylvania voters finds Mehmet Oz with a two point lead over Lieutenant Governor John Fetterman, 48% to 46% in the race for US Senate. Four percent are undecided. With undecided voters’ support accounted for, Oz holds 48% and Fetterman increases one point to 47%. Since September Oz has increased five percentage points and Fetterman has increased one A majority of Pennsylvania voters (54%) expect Oz to win the election while 47% expect Fetterman to win Democratic Attorney General Josh Shapiro leads Republican State Senator Doug Mastriano in the gubernatorial election 50% to 41% Shapiro’s support increases to 53% and Mastriano to 43% Executive Director of Emerson College Polling said “About 9% of those voting for Shapiro for Governor split their ticket and plan to support Oz for Senate Women voters break for Fetterman by a four-point margin and for Shapiro by a wider 13-point margin a lot (68%) or a little (25%) about the recent Pennsylvania Senate debate between John Fetterman and Mehmet Oz A plurality of voters (44%) say the debate improved their opinion of Mehmet Oz while 25% say it worsened their opinion of Oz Half of voters (50%) say the debate worsened their opinion of Fetterman 20% say it improved their opinion of Fetterman or read only a little or nothing about the debate A plurality of voters (47%) say they trust Republican Mehmet Oz more to lower energy prices President Biden holds a 39% approval among Pennsylvania voters while 56% disapprove of the job he is doing In a hypothetical election between President Biden and former President Trump voters are split: 44% support Trump and 44% support Biden Eight percent would support someone else and 4% are undecided.  The economy is the most important issue for a 51% majority of Pennsylvania voters The Emerson College Polling survey of Pennsylvania voters was conducted October 28-31 The sample consisted of very likely voters n=1,000 with a Credibility Interval (CI) similar to a poll’s margin of error (MOE) of +/- 3 percentage points party affiliation and region based on 2022 turnout modeling It is important to remember that subsets based on demographics carry with them higher margins of error Data was collected using a cellphone sample using SMS-to-web and an Interactive Voice Response (IVR) system of landlines