Lance Lambert August 07
After putting it on the market for rent in July 2022
and putting it back on the market at a lower asking rent
FirstKey Homes decided to put the rental home for sale at $400,000 in February 2024
having seen its price cut six times to $336,000
it’d represent a -25% decline from its May 2022 purchase
While national aggregate home price indices are hovering around all-time highs
some regional housing markets in states like Florida
and Louisiana are experiencing home price corrections
This includes the Punta Gorda metro area in Southwest Florida
For today’s piece, ResiClub did a deep dive examination of Punta Gorda’s housing market
Click here to view an interactive of the chart below
While the Pandemic Housing Boom was fierce across the board
it was particularly intense in Punta Gorda
which was impacted by accelerated retirement and work-from-home migration
home prices jumped a staggering +73.2% in Punta Gorda
Not long after mortgage rates spiked, and migration shifted, Punta Gorda slipped into what ResiClub calls “correction mode.”
This isn’t the first time that Punta Gorda has passed through a home price correction
Punta Gorda was one of the hardest hit housing markets during the housing bubble burst in 2008
home prices fell -26.2% from the bubble peak in 2006 to the bottom in 2012
Punta Gorda home prices fell -47.8% from the bubble peak in 2006 to their bottom in 2011
ResiClub’s view: Home prices in Punta Gorda haven’t stopped falling yet
and have further to fall in the second half of 2024
The tell-tale sign is that Punta Gorda saw very little positive home price appreciation during the spring season window
housing markets that see very little appreciation during that first half period
usually see outright price declines once the market moves into the softer seasonal window in the second half of the year
The vast majority of housing markets in the Midwest and Northeast and Southern California have higher home prices now than when mortgage rates first spiked in mid-2022
Home prices in Punta Gorda are down -9.1% from its 2022 price peak
like Austin (-18.6%) and New Orleans (-13.4%)
When assessing home price momentum, ResiClub believes it's important to monitor active listings and months of supply
If active listings start to rapidly increase
as homes remain on the market for longer periods
it may indicate potential future pricing weakness
a rapid decline in active listings could suggest a market that is heating up
active inventory has been detecting sustained weakness since late 2022
active inventory in July 2024 is still -29% below pre-pandemic July 2019 levels
Punta Gorda inventory is +76% above pre-pandemic levels
Florida’s condo market is dealing with the after effects of regulation passed following the Surfside condo collapse in 2021
The biggest headwind for Punta Gorda’s housing market
The influx of demand during the Pandemic Housing Boom stretched Punta Gorda home prices too far beyond local incomes
Once rates spiked and pandemic migration cooled
Punta Gorda’s housing market in Q2 2022 was “overvalued” by 55.7%—far above the national overvaluation of 27.0% at the time
Given the ongoing correction in Punta Gorda home prices
its overvaluation came in at 28.3% in Q4 2023
that’s still higher than the 13.9% national overvaluation Moody’s estimated for that quarter
which improved slightly as price growth decelerated and income growth remained elevated
ResiClub PRO members can see overvaluation scores for +400 markets here
Punta Gorda's metro area (206,134 residents) permitted more homes during the Pandemic Housing Boom than many older Midwest and Northeast markets
including Pittsburgh (2,422,725 residents)
While single-family homebuilding isn’t the core cause of the Punta Gorda correction
the influx of new construction in this strained environment
combined with builders implementing aggressive affordability adjustments such as significant buydowns or outright price cuts
contributes to further weaken the resale market there
Why look at resale—where many existing sellers still refuse to accept that prices have fallen double-digits—when homebuilders are willing to throw out big deals in Punta Gorda
Big picture: We’re in the midst of a bifurcated housing market
where some of the darlings of the Pandemic Housing Boom
© 2025 ResiClub. Email: [email protected]
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Punta Gorda will be running its annual seawall assessment
city staff will inspect seawalls in the southwest and southeast zones of Punta Gorda Isles
The boundary of these zones is Aqui Esta Drive
and around the tract of land known as Bird Navigation
The Burnt Store Isles District will also be inspected
with the boundary of that zone from Burnt Store Isles perimeter canal and Monaco Driver
For additional information on this project
please contact Canal Maintenance Supervisor
Punta Gorda Public Works Department at (941) 575-5050 between the business hours of 7:30 a.m
WGCU is your trusted source for news and information in Southwest Florida. We are a nonprofit public service, and your support is more critical than ever. Keep public media strong and donate now
Flood waters inundate a neighborhood after Hurricane Milton came ashore on October 10
The flooding in the town was minimized as Milton was an uncharacteristically dry hurricane
during the storms approach there was little rain
It's Thursday morning, and with the sun coming up we're getting our first look at the damage brought on by Hurricane Milton in Punta Gorda. Officially, Hurricane Milton made landfall as a Category 3 hurricane near Siesta Key
but the southern surge of water is what brought damage as you can see in these pictures of Punta Gorda
Here's what things looked like in Fort Myers last night:
Members of the media work in flooded streets after Hurricane Milton made landfall in the Sarasota area on October 09
coming on the heels of the destructive Helene
hit as a category 3 storm with winds of over 100 mph
though veering south of the projected direct hit on Tampa
which earlier had reportedly spawned tornadoes
landed about 70 miles south of Tampa near Siesta Key
a strip of white-sand beaches that's home to 5,500 people
The floodwaters in the Fort Myers are were expected
what took the town off guard was the tornadoes that unexpectedly spun up
Tornadoes forming in the outer bands of hurricanes is common
but what we saw in Southwest Florida yesterday afternoon was horrifying
Related: Hurricane Milton Causes Massive Sinkhole in Hillsborough County
These are the first pictures of Punta Gorda we're seeing after the sun came up
The first batch is aerial drone photographs from Getty Images
Additional photos supplied by Charlotte County Emergency Management
Donate Now To Help Those Affected By Hurricane Milton and Hurricane Helene
PUNTA GORDA - OCTOBER 10: In this aerial view
a boat rests in a street after it was washed ashore when Hurricane Milton passed through the area on October 10
The storm made landfall as a Category 3 hurricane in the Siesta Key area of Florida
causing damage and flooding throughout Central Florida
a boat is washed ashore from when Hurricane Milton passed through the area on October 10
flood waters inundate a neighborhood after Hurricane Milton came ashore on October 10
a person walks through flood waters that inundated a neighborhood after Hurricane Milton came ashore on October 10
PUNTA GORDA - OCTOBER 10: Austin Stolpe helps clean up the Celtic Ray Public House restaurant/bar after it was inundated with flood waters when Hurricane Milton passed through the area on October 10
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Charlotte County and Punta Gorda officials were still calculating economic losses from Hurricane Ian
which devastated Southwest Florida two years ago
Helene brought a massive storm surge to Charlotte County despite making landfall more than 200 miles away
County-owned buildings remained relatively unscathed compared to Ian’s damage that has racked up losses of $362 million to date
county Budget and Administrative Services Director Gordon Burger said
we had very little building damage but are still in the early phases of assessment for damage to our parks
especially those along the water,” he said
The county provided an update on the total damage from Ian and what monies have been received to date
the Federal Emergency Management Agency dispersed $48 million of $242,300,833 to the county
While Charlotte County did not need to take out loans
it established a hurricane fund to charge all of the initial costs for anything that isn’t reimbursed to the county’s ad valorem reserves
“We are currently projecting that the county will need to cover about $26 million from ad valorem reserves,” Charlotte County Public Information Officer Brian Gleason said in August
city of Punta Gorda is still recovering from Hurricane Ian and now faces costs from Helene
The city reported nearly all decorative streetlights in the downtown area and Historic District
as well as lighting in Gilchrist and Laishley parks
Pathway lighting along Harbor Walk and Linear Trail also are out of service
Punta Gorda Mayor Lynne Matthews said a list of businesses affected by Helene is still being compiled
she did not have a status update on that number
Assistant City Manager Melissa Reichert said
“our building official has documented 50 businesses with damages
“When I visited numerous downtown shops and restaurants last week
the water lines in most of them were at least 4 feet up the walls in most cases
The residential properties were impacted by at least that much
as they are at much lower elevations than [Punta Gorda Isles]
[Burnt Store Isles] and other residential communities,” Matthews said
One of the city’s buildings seriously damaged by Ian is the now-shuttered City Hall building in the Historic District
Reichert said the City Hall building had already contracted with a Construction Management Information System for the building’s rehabilitation
Insurance estimates put damages for that structure at $538,000 with a deductible of $65,000
There has been controversy over rebuilding City Hall
saying the new building would be too costly and should be located away from the Peace River
Just think how many storms that that building has been through
Reichert said the city has a spreadsheet of Hurricane Ian’s estimated costs and FEMA
She said some of the numbers are still in question as the actual work has not been completed
At that time FEMA had yet to obligate the bulk of the dollars for the city’s reimbursement
Typical ebbs and flows of the single-family home market do not have much of an impact on the ultra
Four restaurant chains and a cake shop will join seven other businesses coming this year to the new Tree Farm..
the May 5 opening of the Hospital for Special Surgery at NCH takes the health care..
Not only has Chef Brian Roland physically and emotionally returned to public life in Southwest Florida after his life-altering tragedy..
Beeline is counting on thirsty folks making a beeline to its new upscale cocktail bar at Mercato in North Naples...
The 72-unit Verandas III opened and is fully occupied on Airport Road
marking the final phase in the redevelopment of..
— A lot happened in southwest Florida in 2024
and I'm looking back the top 4 stories in Charlotte County you clicked on the most in 2024
SOCIAL MEDIA BACKLASH FOR TRUMP COMMENT:The first story in Charlotte County you clicked on the post went viral
A Port Charlotte woman made a Facebook post celebrating the attempted assassination of then-former president Donald Trump
Several thousand people from across the country replied to her
CHENEY BROS INC. SOLD:A company in Punta Gorda
PFG says it will "create a stronger presence in the Southeast region and provide additional distribution capacity." The sale is expected to close in 2025
SGT. ELIO DIAZ SHOT AND KILLED IN THE LINE OF DUTY:Just a week before Christmas
Elio Diaz was shot and killed in the line of duty as he was trying to help a driver he pulled over for not having insurance
His death sent shockwaves through the community
PLANTS TURNING BROWN AFTER MILTON:The last story you clicked on the most is about the aftermath of Hurricane Milton
We started to notice tree leaves turning brown quickly
the high winds caused the moisture to actually blow out of the leaf
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Doing fun Christmas activities in shorts and sandals is an easy way to make your friends and family back home jealous
but that’s our normal in Punta Gorda/Englewood Beach
the days will likely have you running around free as a bird in tank tops and flip flops
We’d like to share a few of our charming holiday happenings to inspire a visit when you need a break from the cold and snow—it's never too early to start planning
homeowners along the canals of Punta Gorda go all-out decorating the backs of their homes
and their de-“light”-ful creations are only visible from the deck of a boat...which is where Christmas Lights tours come in.
Boat Cruises
Enjoy festive lights aboard the area's original tiki boat
Christmas Light Canal Cruises with Cruisin' Tikis Charlotte Harbor launch from the dock near TT's Tiki Bar
Choose from either public or private tours on this cozy and fun vessel
Christmas Lights Canal Cruises with King Fisher Fleet depart from the elaborately-decorated Fishermen’s Village three times a night for the entire month of December
The annual downtown Punta Gorda Christmas Parade happens mid-December
This welcoming community event helps set the tone for a friendly festive season
Peace River Botanical & Sculpture Gardens
this is always a must visit to window shop and buy gifts
Head over to the Charlotte County Fairgrounds any December evening to enjoy the magical throw-back experience of an enchanting Christmas light drive with the Wonderland of Lights
The fairgrounds are festooned with fun and beautiful displays sure to enchant kids and grownups alike.
The Charlotte Players can always be counted on to put on a funny
sometimes bawdy, and always touching holiday show
the Symphonic Winds of Charlotte County present a holiday concert
they presented both secular and sacred holiday music in a variety of arrangements
with The Gift of Music at The Charlotte Performing Arts Center
One of Punta Gorda's favorite people, master saxophonist Mindi Abair, usually presents a Christmas show, like 2024's I Can't Wait For Christmas Tour
The Florida Philharmonic always presents a holiday-themed concert like 2024's Home for the Holidays
takes place at the Charlotte Performing Arts Center and is always the perfect way to get into the spirit of the season
The Gulf Theater at the Military Heritage Museum presents a variety of Christmas shows
and Christmas-themed Barbra Streisand and Rat Pack tribute shows
There's also plenty of incentive to stay through the New Year: explore Things to Do for New Year's Eve
the Charlotte Harbor Gulf Island Coast is a peaceful gateway to Southwest Florida
As Florida’s premier ecotourism destination
you’ll find us to be free of crowds and off the beaten path yet still offer the comfort and amenities discerning travelers seek
Situated on Charlotte Harbor with endless miles of natural shoreline
we are home to unlimited outdoor pursuits like beaches
Come find out why “Our Best Side is Outsidesm”
© 2025 Punta Gorda/Englewood Beach Visitor & Convention Bureau
Approvals for new car washes and storage facilities in Punta Gorda will be put on pause for a period of 180 days during a moratorium begininng after the next City Council meeting Feb
5 to review current zoning for car washes and storage facilities and implement criteria adopted by city of Cape Coral
The moratorium provides the city time to review its regulations and establish criteria for those businesses
Julian said Council decided to take a closer look at its current regulations after a zoning official approved a storage facility on U.S
they decided approvals would be made by the governing body
Maps indicating current car wash and storage facility locations and areas where zoning allows new ones were included in Council’s agenda packet in addition to city of Cape Coral’s amended changes
One of the first steps Cape Coral took was changing car wash and storage facilities to Conditional Permitted Uses in certain zoning districts
location requirements include a minimum separation distance between uses of 1 mile and only on parcels having primary frontage on certain roadways
The facilities are to be located at least 500 feet away from any major intersection involving collector and/or arterial roadways
and all systems and equipment must be completely enclosed within a building
Cape Coral created specific regulations regarding location requirements
there has been a proliferation of storage facilities and car washes built throughout Charlotte County
such as trailers and recreational vehicles
Deed restrictions prohibit keeping RVs parked in driveways in certain communities
and most residential garages are not large enough to accommodate those types of vehicles
new large vehicle storage facilities were developed in the city and county
Hurricane Milton caused significant flooding in parts of Charlotte County
less than three weeks after Helene did the same thing
Storm surge damaged homes and flooded vehicles in parts of Punta Gorda along the south side of Charlotte Harbor
comfort meant a quaint home near the harbor
Now the one-two flood punch of Helene and Milton may drive him out of the community he loves
"The house is done and all our possessions are done," Goode said
So we have to decide: do we try to recoup one more time
or is this the end of our Punta Gorda?"
Goode said he could not find words for his emotions
"I'm 72 and now I have to start my life over
Milton's surge lifted large boats out of the harbor
The water flooded Bridget O'Grady's 130-year old house
Helene left a foot of water in the place just a couple of weeks ago
O'Grady said she and her husband had just cut out drywall and removed flooring to dry things out
She said Milton left more than a foot of water
"And now we're at the point of bulldozing the whole thing," O'Grady said. "That's super sad
O'Grady said she refuses to let disaster get her down
and take on the next challenge," she said of herself and her husband
"I try to not let it take over too much."
Milton toppled trees and left power lines hanging across streets in some Punta Gorda neighborhoods
The surge also flooded the Celtic Ray pub in downtown Punta Gorda
despite a mountain of sandbags at the front door
They say Helene left about four feet of water; Milton closer to five feet
Employees had just put in new drywall after Helene
Now that will have to be cut out and replaced
Twenty-six-year-old bartender Caroline Spoontz said she has worked at Celtic Ray for five years
She stopped at the pub to see the damage from the flooding
in part because my house was dry," Spoontz said
"That's part of it. But I was in shock. The emotions are hard to describe. Sadness is definitely one of them for sure. And just heartache. Nobody wants to see this kind of stuff
He said the 50 employees at the place are a family
He said he had no doubt that they will pitch in to repair damage
"This is what we sign up for," Doyle said
"But this is getting ridiculous. We can't go through this too many more times in the same place. But knock on wood."
11 Fast Company story published comparing the housing bubble burst after prices peaked in 2006 to today’s falling home prices in Punta Gorda
carried the headline: “This Florida city was hit hard when the 2008 housing bubble burst—now prices are falling again.”
Lambert cited data and a report from credit rating agency Moody’s and referred to the price spike from December 2019 and July 2022 when “Punta Gorda home prices surged a staggering 73.2%
It went on to state “Punta Gorda was one of the hardest hit housing markets during the housing bubble burst in 2008.”
it gave an example of a private equity-owned home in Burnt Store Village that was bought for $445,000 in May 2022
during the height of the pandemic housing boom
The first listing price was $400,000 in February this year
with an asking price of $336,000 after six price cuts
it would be a 25% decline from its original purchase price
What was confusing is the headline seems to target the city of Punta Gorda as one of the hardest hit price-wise
Lambert said the headline is misleading—he didn’t write the headline and reached out to his editor
the entire story refers to the Punta Gorda Metropolitan Statistical Area
He clarifies this in the story: “While national aggregate home price indices are hovering around all-time highs
Texas and Louisiana are experiencing home price corrections
This includes the Punta Gorda metro area in Southwest Florida.”
The Punta Gorda MSA includes all of Charlotte County
There are multimillion-dollar homes on Boca Grande and modest mobile home communities scattered throughout the county
In between are suburban homes with many different price ranges
Lambert acknowledged this and said his report addresses the MSA and that his report was about “just a correction
He wrote that the pandemic caused a housing boom that was “particularly intense in Punta Gorda
which was impacted by accelerated retirement and work-from-home migration.”
While home prices jumped nationwide by 42.6% from December 2019 to July 2022
prices in the Punta Gorda MSA jumped 73.2%
Lambert went on to write that home prices in Punta Gorda haven’t stopped falling and will likely continue to fall in the second half of 2024
While agreeing with the story’s statistics showing a buildup in inventory and lower prices for single-family homes and factors leading to the market’s spike of July 2022 when home prices jumped 73.2%
local Realtors and a professor said a crash is not imminent and that recovery might come sooner
Lucas Professor of Real Estate for Florida Gulf Coast University
read Lambert’s report and said he has “a slightly different take on things.”
He said there are price variations from neighborhood to neighborhood.It’s difficult to talk about prices within “a single zip code,” he said
“While we certainly had a buildup in inventory due to slower sales and new developments being built in the area
builders are currently not pulling as many permits,” he said
Weeks said Hurricane Ian contributed to the present situation along with the increasing cost of home ownership due to insurance costs
which “kept new home buyers from coming into the market.”
suddenly find that there are not enough dollars to cover the cost of owning the home
even though the price is within their range
A positive note for the area is that builders are backing off pulling permits and the pace of sales is ahead of the previous year
What led to the crash over a decade ago was “lending standards had gotten extremely loose,” and that “students waiting tables were obtaining loans,” Weeks said
Realtors of Punta Gorda-Port Charlotte-North Port-DeSoto Inc
provide monthly statistics that show in July the median price of single-family homes was $355,000
according to the Realtors association data
President of the Realtors association Leanne Walker also agreed with Lambert’s assessment that the pandemic was a factor
The demand for homes caused a price surge and multiple offers on homes
Before and during the pandemic there were bidding wars on some properties
Many new developments located along Burnt Store Road and West Port were just getting started
and inventory was low at the pandemic’s peak and migration to Southwest Florida
While Lambert writes that home prices in Punta Gorda haven’t stopped falling and will fall further in the second half of 2024
Walker said many people are “on the fence,” waiting to buy in the midst of an election
a possible interest rate reduction and high inflation
which is preventing some from entering the market
She said while the Florida Legislature is “working on getting insurers back here,” insurance rates are another barrier to those wanting to become homeowners
Now condo owners face a new Florida law that went into effect in July
requiring engineering inspections of condos three stories and higher and more than 30 years old
The inspections would be at the HOA boards’ expense
repairs would have to be made at that point and not delayed
hence homeowners would face assessment fees
Some HOA boards are running out of reserves
but they must make the mandated repairs and not put off having safety-related work done
said the area “is going to return to a state of normalcy this fall and running through April.”
PUNTA GORDA, Fla. — After a notice of pollution from the Florida Department of Environmental Protection said the City of Punta Gorda released 1.6 million gallons of “raw sewage” into Charlotte Harbor
the city responded saying in fact it was just stormwater
Watch FOX 4's Alex Orenczuk report on the City of Punta Gorda's response to an FDEP notice of pollution:
a notice of pollution submitted to FDEP by City of Punta Gorda Utility Supervisor David Brooks stated that the city reported “a wastewater release of raw sewage of approximately 1.6 million gallons from a master pump station due to storm surge” from Sept
The notice continues to say “the Charlotte Harbor has been impacted by the release
When FOX 4 asked the City of Punta Gorda about the notice
Assistant City Manager Melissa Reichert said that there was no sewage released
it was storm water that inundated the wastewater facility
Reichert explained that the form used to report pollution through FDEP does not give the option to report stormwater
the system requires the submitter to select the nearest body of water that could be impacted
“FDEP is aware that this is storm surge inundation,” said Reichert
experts say the unprecedented storm surge from Hurricane Helene will likely have adverse impacts on the quality of the water in Charlotte Harbor
“Nutrient pollution and bacteria pollution can have negative effects on our waterway health and the wildlife that depend on those waterways,” said Nicole Iadevaia
Director of Research & Restoration at the Coastal & Heartland National Estuary Partnership
“An overabundance of nutrients can cause algae blooms
which can have a cascading effect on the ecosystem
It can shade out the existing vegetation which can affect the wildlife.”
Iadevaia said it's common to have pollution notices after large storms
as many pollutants from the land wash into the waterways
She said the more often these storm events happen
the harder it is for aquatic ecosystems to bounce back
“These ecosystems are built to endure storm events
we have seen that these systems may be a little less resilient than they were in the past due to that nutrient and bacteria pollution
over time we can see that when these systems start to degrade they are less resilient when these storms do hit.”
One example Iadevaia gave was the disappearance of seagrass in Charlotte Harbor after Hurricane Irma in 2018
“We started to see seagrasses start to decline after Hurricane Irma
there was an overabundance of nutrients in the waterways
there were a lot of macro algae blooms that shaded out the seagrass and we still haven't recovered from that.”
Iadevaia said investing in infrastructure that can help stop pollutants from entering the waterways after large storms is key to the long term survival of a healthy Charlotte Harbor
“It's much easier to clean up nutrients and bacteria pollution at the source
rather than when it's already in the water,” said Iadevaia
“So working to build resilient infrastructure
working to upgrade our wastewater treatment systems
getting more people hooked up to advanced wastewater treatment rather than septic
that's really important because all of those things contribute to nutrient pollution and then that flows downstream and degrades the estuaries.”
For more information on water quality, and CHNEP programs monitoring the greater Charlotte Harbor estuarine system, CLICK HERE
Charlotte County opened shelters Wednesday afternoon to take in those who've been ordered to leave their homes
as well as anyone else who doesn't feel safe
The mandatory evacuation order covers mobile and manufactured homes
and homes on barrier islands and in low-lying areas
This is happening in advance of tropical system Helene
The forecast is that wind and rain from Helene will sweep across Charlotte County
as the system heads northward in the Gulf of Mexico
Wednesday morning John Wood said he planned to put shutters on his mobile home near Punta Gorda
He said he will clear out in advance of the storm
He said he'll go to stay with his daughter
who has a concrete block home not too far from his place
"Be kinda scary to be in this place in a storm with all the wind and rain," Wood said
"I've been here in the tropical storms we've had
Jean Frank lives in a manufactured home in Punta Gorda Isles
"I've been in my home in other storms and by the grace of God I was alright. Although there was damage to the home."
Governments generally cannot force someone out of their home because of a storm threat
But it can warn people: you're on your own
don't expect emergency services to rescue you at the height of a storm
"I will take my chances. that's what it boils down to. I know the risks," she said
Rich Waggoner said he's not leaving his concrete block home in Punta Gorda Isles
He said it was built in 2004 to the Miami-Dade construction standards
Those guidelines were put into place after Hurricane Andrew
Technically Waggoner's property is not under an evacuation order
and only a block or so from the shores of Charlotte Harbor
"I'm not losing sleep over it," Waggoner said of Helene
I would think the airport would be fine."
He explained that he and his wife have tickets to a football game at the University of Michigan in Ann Arbor
The game is Saturday and he said he would hate to miss it
Waggoner said his home is 10 feet above sea level
and he's counting on the prediction of three to five-foot storm surge to be accurate
"It's a way of life down here," he said of tropical threats
you shouldn't be here. That's my feeling."
Charlotte County said the following shelter locations will be open as of 1 p.m.:
Kingsway Elementary School at 23300 Quasar Blvd.
And Harold Avenue Regional Park Recreation Center
If you go a shelter you must bring supplies for each family member and pets
All Charlotte County shelters are pet friendly
Lance Lambert January 31
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as measured by the Zillow Home Value Index
condo prices have risen +0.4% over the same period
regional home prices have seen even stronger gains
some areas—particularly around the Gulf—are experiencing greater softness and weakness
with a few even undergoing home price corrections
Look no further than Florida—which is why today's article dives deeper into what’s happening across Florida
Among the 26 major Florida condo markets that ResiClub tracks
condo prices are falling on a year-over-year basis in 24 metro area markets
condo prices are falling in 92% of Florida’s markets
The biggest year-over-year FL condo price declines are in…
Click here to view an interactive of the FL condo chart below
Florida single-family prices are holding up better than condo prices
Among the 29 major Florida single-family markets that ResiClub tracks
single-family home prices are falling on a year-over-year basis in 19 metro area markets
single-family prices are falling in 66% of Florida’s housing markets
The biggest year-over-year FL single-family home price declines are in…
Click here to view an interactive of the FL single-family chart below
Florida's particularly intense overheating during the Pandemic Housing Boom is the key reason for its pricing vulnerability
home prices rose +41% between March 2020 and June 2022
Florida home prices surged +51% over the same period
It just takes a big enough shift in the supply-demand equilibrium for that vulnerability to manifest into falling prices
Why has the supply-demand equilibrium shifted in Florida markets
The Pandemic Housing Boom’s migration surge to Florida has fizzled out. Indeed, Florida saw net domestic migration of +64K in 2024
Without that higher influx of deep pocketed buyers from up North
Florida home prices have had to rely more on local incomes
This has had a greater impact on older coastal Florida condo buildings
Hurricane Ian spurred a greater SWFL softening
which were hard-hit by Hurricane Ian in September 2022
According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
Hurricane Ian caused an estimated $112.9 billion worth of total damage
This combination of increased housing supply for sale (i.e.
coupled with strained demand—the result of spiked home prices
and higher HOAs—has translated into market softening across much of Southwest Florida
Want to better understand what’s happening to home prices in your local housing market
ResiClub PRO members can access our latest report looking at home prices in over +800 metros and +3,000 counties here.
© 2025 ResiClub. Email: [email protected]
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condos and townhomes remains high in Charlotte County
the number of building permits pulled was down 18%
Lucas Professor of Real Estate at Florida Gulf Coast University
Weeks cited data from the university’s Regional Economic Research Institute showing a 20% overall decline in Southwest Florida permits
Because builders have sunk a lot of their costs into their homes amid price declines due to high inventory and not enough buyers
would-be buyers are sitting on the sidelines waiting for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates
The Fed cut rates last week for the first time since the pandemic
lowering borrowing costs by a half-point with the possibility of more cuts this year
Weeks said 60% to 70% of buyers are using financing
so the latest cut could entice buyers whose monthly mortgage payment would be lower
Realtors of Punta Gorda-Port Charlotte-North Port-DeSoto Inc.’s August data reflects Weeks’ analysis
the 2,924 single-family homes for sale in August represented a 6.8-month supply
It took longer to sell single-family homes in August
The 766 condos and townhomes in inventory represented an 8.8-month supply
Several planned developments with hundreds of new homes have been approved recently in the county
who along with Mike Federau forms the MLS Detectives Group at RE/MAX Anchor Realty in Punta Gorda
said the market “is still going to slide a little further because of new construction.” He cited some of the new construction in the Punta Gorda area and said some sellers have listed their properties higher than what the market will support
the influx of new homes with prices comparable to older homes are putting pressure on sellers to lower their prices
and newer homes can get closer to their asking price versus older homes
the median percentage of the original listing price received for single-family homes was 92.2%
Condo sellers received 90.4% of their listing price
Mellon said there were recent sales of homes in the $1 million range and higher
one in the Pirate Harbor neighborhood in Punta Gorda sold for $1.93 million
August statistics from the Realtors association show 17 homes were sold in August for $1 million or higher in the county
but the majority of single-family homes sold in August (174) were in the $300,000 to $399,999 range
Punta Gorda’s residential landscape is ever changing with improvements
And a recent trend has property owners splitting their property to build two homes where one once stood
Two applicants on June 28 received a green light from the city’s Development Review Committee to proceed to the next steps toward development after submitting applications to split their respective properties into two lots
that vacant lot will have two 3,000-square-foot luxury homes
Scott said he hopes to sell each home for around $1.5 million
Each house will comprise two levels; living quarters on the second floor will be above flood level while the first floor will serve as a garage and storage area
There will be an elevator to provide easy access to the second level
older Google Earth photos show significant damage to the house
Anderson said their property at 402 Carmalita St.
and it is in the process of being remodeled
Property records show the 1,596-square-foot
four-bedroom and 1.5-bath house on Carmalita Street was sold in February this year for $150,000
Anderson said he’s been building in Punta Gorda since 1984 and has built in other parts of the city
City zoning official Jessica Leatherman explained the process going forward to the applicants
They must now meet city code requirements through the Public Works
Both Scott and the Andersons will not have to go before City Council since the matter involves only two lots that will be split; had there been three or more
they would have had to get approval from City Council
Arizona-based home construction company Taylor Morrison plans to build two new communities in Punta Gorda
will be open to the public June 1–2 for viewing
located along West Marion Avenue in the Punta Gorda Isles section
Seahaven is being marketed as a luxury development
A Taylor Morrison spokesperson said the all-in pricing for units currently available range from $559,717 without a dock to $773,111 with a dock
and those with docks will pay an additional $216 per quarter
three-bath units with a balcony and stairwell to the second story where a kitchen and secondary bedroom with full bath are located
two secondary bedrooms and a full bathroom are on the third level
There is private elevator access to all the floors
and a one-car garage with extra storage is on the ground level
two others will be finished by July and another is under construction
Seahaven’s prices are comparable to other condos and townhomes in the area
which experienced massive development over the last two decades
With little land left on which to build residential homes
many developers are looking at the Burnt Store Corridor area
Taylor Morrison is building 775 single-family homes at its Esplanade at Starling development along Burnt Store Road near Notre Dame Boulevard and Seminole Road
pickleball and bocce courts and a dog park
Taylor Morrison’s Naples office is handling sales of Esplanade at Starling
but the first homes won’t be ready until early 2025
Prices will be released about two weeks prior to the grand opening and preview to the public
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January 19, 2025 by Marco Santarelli
Are you keeping a close watch on the housing market
The question on many minds is: Will the Florida housing market crash in 2025
specific metropolitan areas are showing signs of potential price declines
Florida is identified as being at a very high risk of home price decline over the next year
with a greater than 70% probability of price drops
There are several factors that can contribute to a higher risk of a price decline:
Without digging deeper into specific data related to Punta Gorda, it is not possible to say exactly why this metro is at high risk. However, the above factors are typically the primary drivers. I suspect, the rapid price increases witnessed in Florida during and after the pandemic are likely at play here, and this market is now undergoing a correction.
It’s crucial to distinguish between a market crash and a market correction. A crash typically refers to a rapid and dramatic collapse of home prices, similar to what happened in 2008. A correction, on the other hand, is a milder and usually more gradual decline in prices that corrects market imbalances. The current data suggests we’re more likely to see corrections in certain areas, like Punta Gorda, rather than a widespread crash.
Mortgage rates play a significant role in shaping housing market trends. As rates rose in 2024, buyer demand cooled, leading to slower price appreciation and even declines in some areas. I believe that this is a natural market adjustment. As long as the economy isn’t in a recession, home prices generally continue to show long term growth, although it will vary by market.
When evaluating the housing market, especially if you are considering buying or selling, it is vital to use local and current data. National averages and general statements are simply not enough to make informed decisions. I often tell people to talk to local real estate experts for real-time local market insights.
So, what can we expect in 2025? While it’s impossible to make definitive predictions, I can analyze trends and make reasoned opinions based on that:
Having observed housing market cycles for many years, I believe that the market is simply undergoing a necessary correction. After periods of rapid price growth, some areas become overheated and vulnerable to price declines. While a correction can be concerning, it's often a sign of a more sustainable market in the long term. I always advice people to think long term and not focus on a specific cycle, and I think that will be most beneficial to home buyers.
I think there is some good news though, a market correction or even a modest price decline might give some relief to potential home buyers. In other words, this may be a good time for buyers to consider the market, especially if they are looking at a long term hold.
The Florida housing market, specifically the Punta Gorda metro, appears at risk of a price decline but it's important not to generalize this risk to the entire state. While a widespread crash is not the most likely outcome for 2025, some local markets may undergo necessary corrections. It's vital to stay informed and use relevant data to make sound real estate decisions.
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Below are some fun spooky-season happenings to give you an idea of the kind of Halloween fun we enjoy in Punta Gorda/Englewood Beach
Keep an eye on the restaurants below for next year's events:
Los Mariachis Bar & Grill hosted a Mexican-style Halloween celebration with a twist
starting with great lunch specials and continuing with Halloween Happy Hour.
The Twisted Fork's Halloween Bash featured live music and dancing
The Celtic Ray Public House also featured live music and revelry
which always features a fun pet costume parade and contest
The Saturday Night Ghost Stories Tour takes you on a fun and mysterious exploration of beautiful downtown Punta Gorda
September through April—and every Saturday night in October
It's never too early to start planning to be down here for a great time at one or more of the Halloween events in Punta Gorda/Englewood Beach
Aila Slisco is a Newsweek night reporter based in New York
Her focus is on reporting national politics
where she has covered the 2020 and 2022 elections
the impeachments of Donald Trump and multiple State of the Union addresses
Other topics she has reported on for Newsweek include crime
public health and the emergence of COVID-19
Aila was a freelance writer before joining Newsweek in 2019
You can get in touch with Aila by emailing a.slisco@newsweek.com
either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter
or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources
Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content
Cities were hit with dangerous storm surges as Hurricane Milton made landfall on Florida's Gulf Coast on Wednesday night
Rapidly rising water levels were reported in multiple areas while the hurricane hit the coastline near Siesta Key in Sarasota County as a powerful Category 3 storm at around 8:30 p.m
Videos were quickly shared to social media of surges in the cities of Venice
which is located about 17 miles south of Siesta Key
located over 50 miles southeast of Siesta Key in neighboring Charlotte County
More From Newsweek Vault: 5 Steps to Build an Emergency Fund Today
"Storm surge is absolutely pouring into Venice, Florida now as hurricane #Milton makes landfall," storm chaser Bryce Shelton wrote while sharing a video to X, formerly Twitter
"Surge has now crested the protective wall in Punta Gorda, FL and is now pouring into the city," wrote storm chaser Brad Arnold while sharing a different video
While catastrophic storm surges of up to 15 feet were predicted before Milton made landfall on Wednesday
it was not immediately clear whether the surges were as large as feared
More From Newsweek Vault: What Is an Emergency Fund?
Tampa Mayor Jane Castor, who warned residents on Tuesday that they would "die" if they refused to evacuate, told CNN's Anderson Cooper that storm surges in her city would exceed those produced by Hurricane Helene but likely not match the worst predictions
"We're not gonna get the 15 feet that was predicted in the onset," Castor said
"The prediction now is anywhere from 6 to 9 feet
so expect it a little bit higher than that."
More From Newsweek Vault: Online Banks vs. Traditional Banks: Learn the Differences
"Hopefully [people in Tampa] are just sheltering in the place right now," she added
"Because the next few hours are gonna be rough here in Tampa."
The National Weather Service (NWS) declared a flash flood emergency for an area that includes Tampa
Saint Petersburg and Clearwater on Wednesday night
The emergency was in effect until 2:45 a.m
"Move immediately to higher ground," reads a warning posted to X by NWS Tampa Bay
An additional NWS flash flood emergency was later issued for an area including Brandon
The Florida Division of Emergency Management urged residents to "not walk out into receding water in Tampa Bay" in a Facebook post at 9:23 p.m.
warning that "the water WILL return through storm surge and poses a life-threatening risk."
The Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) said on Wednesday that it had "over 1,000 responders on the ground in Florida supporting Milton and previous disasters," with "over 1,400 search and rescue personnel pre-staged to support Milton response efforts."
Newsweek reached out for comment to FEMA via email on Wednesday night
Milton was downgraded to a Category 2 hurricane about one hour after making landfall and is expected to continue to weaken as it makes its way east through Florida
the hurricane is likely remain an extremely dangerous storm for those in its path until it eventually exits into the Atlantic Ocean on Thursday
ET: This article has been updated with more information
Newsweek is committed to challenging conventional wisdom and finding connections in the search for common ground
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Jim Cantore navigates the storm-ravaged coastline of Florida
detailing how dozens of stranded boats were washed ashore during Hurricane Milton
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The Weather Channel is the world's most accurate forecaster according to ForecastWatch, Global and Regional Weather Forecast Accuracy Overview
In news that will surprise no one recently cut off by a driver with a Canadian or New York license plate
Florida dominates a new list of best places for snowbirds to stay during colder months of the year
That’s according to an analysis by FinanceBuzz
When listing the top 25 warm locales where Americans and Canadians like to spend their Winter months
Florida has nine cities in that elite bunch and accounts for the entire top 5
Sebring was ranked the top locale for snowbirds in the U.S. FinanceBuzz analysts looked at 180 different cities using about two dozen factors to compile their rankings
The analysts compiled a scoring system to weigh those elements
“Sebring earned the highest overall livability score of any snowbird city
A low violent crime rate and very high walkability are major contributing factors in that regard
along with the fact that 44.3% of the population is over the age of 60
the fourth-highest rate overall,” the FinanceBuzz report said
Sebring was the most affordable snowbird city in Florida
with a cost of living 17% lower than the national average
Average mortgage costs are just under $1,300 per month
The remaining top 5 cities included Sebastian
The Villages outside of Orlando has the highest concentration of senior snowbirds
“The Villages has the highest percentage of people ages over 60 in the U.S
as well as the most golf courses per capita,” the FinanceBuzz report said
“While Florida tends to be among the first places people think of when it comes to snowbirds
Sunshine State cities only make up a little more than 50% of the top 10
Looking at the full top 25 reveals even more diversity of choice
as only four additional Florida cities crack that list.”
Georgia had the second-most cities in the top 25
Texas and Alabama had three cities each in the top 25
Other Florida cities in the top 25 included Panama City at 15th
Drew Dixon is a journalist of 40 years who has reported in print and broadcast throughout Florida, starting in Ohio in the 1980s. He is also an adjunct professor of philosophy and ethics at three colleges, Jacksonville University, University of North Florida and Florida State College at Jacksonville. You can reach him at [email protected]
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